Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PEJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jan. 28, 2008

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $14.4600 (0.7%) ($14.1400 - $14.5100) on Mon. Jan. 28, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.53% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $14.4600(0.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(84%)    XLY(80%)    SPY(79%)    QQQ(74%)    EWG(69%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -0.765% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(-1%)    LQD(17%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.765% (StdDev 1.53%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.7%

Resistance Level   $14.5
5 Day Moving Average   $14.33(0.91%)
10 Day Moving Average   $14.15(2.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $14.5(-0.28%)
To recent high   -19.8%
To recent low   6.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 3.72% (three month std-dev: 1.53%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080228

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_28_2008	16.74	14.5	14.15	14.33			14.46(0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	11	-10000	16	-3	0.17	31%	-0.18	-71.8	1.53%	0	-0.1	45	0
2	Jan_25_2008	16.77	14.56	14.12	14.16			14.36(-1.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-2	-10000	11	-42	0.01	31%	-0.18	-70.9	1.54%	0	-0.3	45	0
3	Jan_24_2008	16.8	14.64	14.14	14.04			14.65(2.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-10	-10000	11	-74	0.08	32%	-0.18	-72	1.52%	0	0	42	0
4	Jan_23_2008	16.83	14.71	14.1	13.92			14.34(3.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-25	-10000	7	-121	0.01	29%	-0.24	-70	1.49%	0	-0.5	34	0
5	Jan_22_2008	16.87	14.78	14.09	13.85			13.84(1.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-54	-10000	-9	-188	0.01	24%	-0.24	-74.2	1.41%	0	-1.2	22	0

6	Jan_18_2008	16.91	14.9	14.18	13.94			13.6(-1.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-62	-10000	-13	-208	0.01	21%	-0.24	-70.6	1.4%	0	-1.6	17	0
7	Jan_17_2008	16.95	15.02	14.29	14.07			13.77(-2.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-69	-10000	-17	-223	0	21%	-0.18	-71.8	1.4%	0	-1.5	18	0
8	Jan_16_2008	16.98	15.15	14.42	14.24			14.06(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-60	-10000	-7	-220	0.05	22%	-0.24	-71	1.39%	0	-1.4	19	0
9	Jan_15_2008	17.02	15.26	14.55	14.31			13.98(-2.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-62	-10000	-6	-231	0.14	21%	-0.18	-74.3	1.38%	0	-1.6	16	0
10	Jan_14_2008	17.05	15.39	14.73	14.37			14.29(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-64	-10000	-9	-228	0	22%	-0.23	-79.1	1.38%	0	-1.4	25	0

11	Jan_11_2008	17.09	15.51	14.89	14.46			14.23(-2.67%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-62	-10000	-8	-223	0	22%	-0.18	-79.8	1.37%	0	-1.7	22	0
12	Jan_10_2008	17.12	15.63	15.05	14.54			14.62(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-64	-10000	-10	-224	0.02	23%	-0.17	-78.8	1.35%	0	-1.4	24	0
13	Jan_9_2008	17.15	15.74	15.19	14.64			14.43(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-71	-10000	-20	-225	0.01	23%	-0.17	-75.7	1.33%	0	-1.8	18	0
14	Jan_8_2008	17.18	15.87	15.36	14.84			14.27(-3.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-75	-10000	-31	-205	0.01	23%	-0.17	-68.5	1.32%	0	-2.3	19	0
15	Jan_7_2008	17.21	16.01	15.53	15.15			14.74(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-61	-10000	-23	-174	0.11	24%	-0.12	-59.5	1.28%	0	-2	20	0

16	Jan_4_2008	17.23	16.13	15.67	15.38			14.65(-3.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-56	-10000	-24	-152	0.09	26%	-0.12	-51.3	1.3%	0	-2.5	16	0
17	Jan_3_2008	17.25	16.23	15.83	15.62			15.12(-1.95%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-47	-10000	-19	-132	0.01	28%	-0.06	-48.1	1.25%	0	-2.1	19	0
18	Jan_2_2008	17.26	16.3	15.96	15.81			15.42(-2.53%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-40	-10000	-15	-115	0.02	29%	-0.06	-42.4	1.23%	0	-2	20	0
19	Dec_31_2007	17.27	16.36	16.04	15.96			15.82(-0.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-29	-10000	-1	-114	0.02	33%	-0.12	-34.9	1.21%	0	-1.4	20	0
20	Dec_28_2007	17.29	16.4	16.1	15.97			15.89(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-36	-10000	-5	-128	0.01	33%	-0.06	-32.7	1.22%	0	-1.4	25	0

21	Dec_27_2007	17.3	16.44	16.17	16.02			15.86(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-37	-10000	-5	-132	0.04	33%	-0.06	-26.8	1.22%	0	-1.7	25	0
22	Dec_26_2007	17.31	16.48	16.25	16.07			16.06(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-35	-10000	-6	-122	0.03	34%	-0.06	-20	1.21%	0	-1.3	43	0
23	Dec_24_2007	17.32	16.49	16.32	16.13			16.15(1.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-27	-10000	-1	-104	0.02	34%	-0.06	-18	1.22%	0	-1.1	45	0
24	Dec_21_2007	17.33	16.5	16.41	16.14			15.91(-1.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-31	-10000	-10	-95	0.09	31%	-0.12	-26.6	1.2%	0	-1.9	39	0
25	Dec_20_2007	17.35	16.53	16.52	16.24			16.11(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-26	-10000	-11	-70	0.02	32%		-20.6	1.19%	0	-1.4	39	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.