Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 12, 2006

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $15.7500 (0.51%) ($15.7100 - $15.7700) on Thu. Jan. 12, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.87% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $15.7500(0.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(83%)    XLY(80%)    SPY(79%)    QQQ(74%)    XLK(70%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -0.435% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-8%)    REMX(-1%)    GLD(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.435% (StdDev 0.87%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $15.68(0.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $15.52(1.48%)
20 Day Moving Average   $15.34(2.67%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   15.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 1.56% (three month std-dev: 0.87%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_12_2006	14.56	15.34	15.52	15.68			15.75(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	37	-10000	9	121	0	72%	0.07	55.1	0.87%	0	1.7	79	0
2	Jan_11_2006	14.55	15.32	15.47	15.62			15.67(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	32	-10000	6	111	0	72%	0.07	50.7	0.89%	0	1.6	79	0
3	Jan_10_2006	14.54	15.29	15.41	15.58			15.67(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	-10000	10	111	0	72%	0.14	48.9	0.89%	0	1.9	81	0
4	Jan_9_2006	14.52	15.26	15.37	15.51			15.7(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	37	-10000	15	102	0	72%	0.07	38.1	0.89%	0	2.4	69	0
5	Jan_6_2006	14.51	15.23	15.32	15.41			15.63(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	27	-10000	10	78	0	72%	0.07	21.4	0.89%	0	2.7	65	0

6	Jan_5_2006	14.5	15.21	15.26	15.34			15.45(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	20	-10000	8	54	0	68%	0.07	13.9	0.88%	0	2	56	0
7	Jan_4_2006	14.49	15.2	15.22	15.29			15.44(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	15	-10000	9	33	0.01	68%	0.07	6.1	0.89%	0	2.4	57	0
8	Jan_3_2006	14.48	15.2	15.17	15.23			15.33(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	4	-10000	3	8	0.01	69%	0	-11.9	0.89%	0	1.6	56	0
9	Dec_30_2005	14.48	15.19	15.16	15.23			15.21(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	1	-10000	0	4	0	69%	0.07	-11.9	0.9%	0	0.2	52	0
10	Dec_29_2005	14.47	15.19	15.16	15.21			15.27(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	5	-10000	4	6	0.01	69%	0	-10.6	0.9%	0	0.7	55	0

11	Dec_28_2005	14.47	15.19	15.16	15.18			15.18(0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	3	-10000	4	-2	0	66%	0.07	-27.3	0.9%	0	-0.2	46	0
12	Dec_27_2005	14.46	15.19	15.15	15.15			15.14(-0.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	2	-10000	6	-11	0	66%	0	-33.3	0.91%	0	-0.6	40	0
13	Dec_23_2005	14.46	15.19	15.16	15.11			15.27(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.6	-4	-10000	3	-24	0	67%	0.07	-34.8	0.9%	0	0.7	51	0
14	Dec_22_2005	14.45	15.2	15.15	15.11			15.19(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1	-10	-10000	0	-40	0.02	69%	0	-21.2	0.9%	0	-0.1	38	0
15	Dec_21_2005	14.45	15.21	15.14	15.09			15.1(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-16	-10000	-4	-51	0	64%	0	8.3	0.91%	0	-1	34	0

16	Dec_20_2005	14.45	15.22	15.16	15.12			15.03(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-15	-10000	-7	-39	0	62%	0	40.3	0.97%	0	-1.7	47	0
17	Dec_19_2005	14.45	15.23	15.19	15.17			14.97(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-10	-10000	-5	-26	0.01	62%	0	72.7	0.98%	0	-2.6	41	0
18	Dec_16_2005	14.45	15.24	15.22	15.17			15.16(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-4	-10000	0	-14	0	64%	0	100	0.97%	0	-0.9	47	0
19	Dec_15_2005	14.45	15.23	15.24	15.21			15.19(-0.52%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-2	-10000	1	-11	0	64%	0	77.2	0.97%	0	-0.3	44	0
20	Dec_14_2005	14.45	15.2	15.26	15.21			15.27(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-3	-10000	0	-12	0.01	61%	0.07	53.6	0.97%	0	0.4	44	0

21	Dec_13_2005	14.44	15.18	15.26	15.2			15.24(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-7	-10000	-3	-19	0.02	59%	0	48	0.99%	0	0.3	48	0
22	Dec_12_2005	14.44	15.16	15.26	15.22			15.18(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-4	-10000	-1	-14	0	59%	0	46	1%	0	0.1	50	0
23	Dec_9_2005	14.44	15.15	15.25	15.23			15.17(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-5	-10000	-5	-6	0	59%	0	51.1	1.01%	0	0.1	58	0
24	Dec_8_2005	14.44	15.13	15.27	15.27			15.16(-0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-1	-10000	-7	19	0.01	59%	0	59.3	1.01%	0	0.1	63	0
25	Dec_7_2005	14.44	15.11	15.29	15.32			15.25(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	17	-10000	3	58	0	61%		65.4	1.01%	0	0.6	72	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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