Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PEJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Oct. 4, 2005

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $13.9500 (-0.43%) ($13.9500 - $14.1000) on Tue. Oct. 4, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.92% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $13.9500(-0.43%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(83%)    XLY(80%)    SPY(79%)    QQQ(74%)    XLK(70%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -0.46% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-8%)    REMX(-0%)    GLD(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.46% (StdDev 0.92%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $13.86(0.65%)
10 Day Moving Average   $13.8(1.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $13.94(0.07%)
To recent high   -7.6%
To recent low   3.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 1.51% (three month std-dev: 0.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20051104

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_4_2005	14.44		13.8	13.86			13.95(-0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	-10000	3	-16	0.01	36%	-0.07	-6.6	0.92%	0	0	49	0
2	Oct_3_2005	14.45	13.94	13.79	13.84			14.01(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-7	-10000	3	-36	0	36%	-0.07	-13.9	0.93%	0	0.3	44	0
3	Sep_30_2005	14.46	13.94	13.78	13.82			13.87(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-13	-10000	3	-59	0	34%	-0.07	-26.6	0.92%	0	-0.3	36	0
4	Sep_29_2005	14.47	13.93	13.8	13.8			13.75(0.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-16	-10000	3	-72	0	34%	-0.07	-39.9	0.92%	0	-0.8	36	0
5	Sep_28_2005	14.48	13.94	13.82	13.78			13.72(-1.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-15	-10000	8	-85	0.01	34%	-0.07	-48.7	0.92%	0	-1	38	0

6	Sep_27_2005	14.49	13.95	13.84	13.73			13.87(-0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-28	-10000	2	-117	0	35%	-0.07	-68.2	0.91%	0	-0.4	38	0
7	Sep_26_2005	14.5	13.97	13.87	13.72			13.89(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-31	-10000	-3	-114	0.04	35%	-0.07	-72	0.92%	0	-0.4	49	0
8	Sep_23_2005	14.51	13.99	13.91	13.74			13.78(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-29	-10000	-9	-90	0.01	33%	-0.07	-72.6	0.93%	0	-0.9	53	0
9	Sep_22_2005	14.52	14.01	13.95	13.8			13.65(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-21	-10000	-9	-58	0	31%	-0.07	-69.5	0.93%	0	-1.6	49	0
10	Sep_21_2005	14.53	14.05	14.01	13.86			13.48(-2.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-20	-10000	-14	-38	0.03	28%	-0.14	-71.3	0.92%	0	-2.6	40	0

11	Sep_20_2005	14.55	14.1	14.09	13.95			13.81(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-10	-10000	-13	-1	0.01	30%	-0.07	-66.2	0.88%	0	-1.5	47	0
12	Sep_19_2005	14.56	14.13	14.11	14.03			13.96(-0.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-6	-10000	-11	9	0	32%	-0.07	-62.7	0.88%	0	-0.9	43	0
13	Sep_16_2005	14.57	14.15	14.1	14.1			14.08(0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-2	-10000	-6	11	0	32%	-0.07	-54.7	0.88%	0	-0.3	45	0
14	Sep_15_2005	14.58	14.18	14.07	14.14			13.97(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-6	-10000	-6	-4	0	32%	-0.07	-52.9	0.88%	0	-1	40	0
15	Sep_14_2005	14.59	14.21	14.07	14.18			13.95(-1.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-8	-10000	-9	-6	0	32%	-0.07	-49.4	0.89%	0	-1.1	41	0

16	Sep_13_2005	14.6	14.23	14.07	14.24			14.18(-1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	4	-10000	6	-4	0	34%	-0.07	-46.9	0.87%	0	-0.2	40	0
17	Sep_12_2005	14.61	14.26	14.08	14.2			14.34(0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	10	-10000	20	-21	0	36%	0	-45.1	0.87%	0	0.3	44	0
18	Sep_9_2005	14.61	14.27	14.08	14.08			14.24(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-7	-10000	13	-66	0.01	36%	-0.07	-55.6	0.87%	0	-0.1	42	0
19	Sep_8_2005	14.62	14.29	14.07	14			14.17(-0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-20	-10000	7	-101	0.02	36%	-0.07	-63.8	0.88%	0	-0.4	37	0
20	Sep_7_2005	14.63	14.32	14.08	13.96			14.29(2.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-23	-10000	10	-123	0.01	36%	0	-67	0.88%	0	-0.1	38	0

21	Sep_6_2005	14.63	14.34	14.1	13.9			13.97(1.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-47	-10000	-9	-159	0	28%	-0.14	-75.5	0.82%	0	-1.2	32	0
22	Sep_2_2005	14.65	14.38	14.14	13.95			13.75(-0.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-56	-10000	-18	-169	0.01	21%	-0.14	-79.9	0.79%	0	-2.1	16	0
23	Sep_1_2005	14.67	14.42	14.22	14.05			13.8(-1.5%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-53	-10000	-20	-151	0	21%	-0.07	-86.1	0.8%	0	-2.3	23	0
24	Aug_31_2005	14.68	14.47	14.29	14.16			14.01(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-40	-10000	-9	-131	0.01	23%	-0.14	-81.7	0.78%	0	-1.8	24	0
25	Aug_30_2005	14.7	14.52	14.35	14.21			13.98(-1.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-46	-10000	-19	-128	0.01	23%		-73.7	0.79%	0	-2.1	22	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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