Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jun. 20, 2011

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $25.0500 (11.33%) ($21.9000 - $28.2000) on Mon. Jun. 20, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.37% (three month average)
RSI   31
Latest Price   $25.0500(11.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX advances 2.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX declines -21.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(3%)    EWI(2%)    JNK(2%)    IGOV(1%)    EWP(0%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -3.185% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-8%)    TLT(-4%)    LQD(-4%)    GLD(-4%)    XOP(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.185% (StdDev 6.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 13.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $-20.2(-180.64%)
Resistance Level   $29.66
5 Day Moving Average   $22.17(12.99%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.39(11.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.66(-15.54%)
To recent high   -65.9%
To recent low   31.5%
Market Cap   $1.39b

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 27.68% (three month std-dev: 6.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110720

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_20_2011	56.78	29.66	22.39	22.17	21.87	22.59	25.05(11.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-28	190	28	-195	0.07	34%	-1.15	-51.3	6.37%	0	-0.6	31	0
2	Jun_17_2011	57.44	30.39	22.82	21.54	21.26	20.53	22.5(18.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-61	-280	1	-248	0.05	30%	-1.24	-55.1	6.17%	0	-0.9	24	0
3	Jun_16_2011	58.16	31.28	23.83	21	21.8	21.15	19.05(-12.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-89	-90	-20	-295	0.04	24%	-1.21	-60.7	5.67%	0	-1.5	17	0
4	Jun_15_2011	58.87	32.42	25.44	21.72	21.97	21.99	21.73(-3.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0	-81	40	-10	-293	0.03	26%	-1.14	-61.9	5.52%	0	-1.3	18	0
5	Jun_14_2011	59.55	33.45	26.98	22.02	22.22	22.44	22.5(2.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-78	100	-9	-284	0.06	26%	-1.1	-63.5	5.52%	0	-1.4	24	0

6	Jun_13_2011	60.21	34.57	28.68	22.67	22.76	21.96	21.9(10.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-93	-230	-32	-274	0.16	26%	-1.13	-62.8	5.49%	0	-1.6	26	0
7	Jun_10_2011	60.9	35.85	30.63	24.38	23.93	22	19.8(-12.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-118	-620	-69	-266	0.03	21%	-1.07	-58.6	5.27%	0	-2.1	17	0
8	Jun_9_2011	61.56	37.39	32.69	27.14	26.71	23.57	22.65(-2.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-113	-870	-74	-231	0.01	23%	-1.12	-50.5	5.1%	0	-2	19	0
9	Jun_8_2011	62.26	38.37	34.64	29.75	29.67	25.87	23.25(-9.64%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-120	-900	-94	-196	0.02	23%	-1.16	-49.9	5.1%	0	-2.4	19	0
10	Jun_7_2011	62.99	39.38	36.35	32.66	32.98	29.86	25.73(-15.5%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-103	-630	-85	-156	0.08	24%	-0.6	-48.4	5.03%	0	-2.6	21	0

11	Jun_6_2011	63.37	40.29	37.69	35.55	35.8	33.47	30.45(-9.38%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-82	-430	-67	-125	0.05	27%	-0.97	-46.8	4.77%	0	-2.3	23	0
12	Jun_3_2011	63.99	40.96	38.73	37.82	38.05	36.1	33.6(-5.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-59	-340	-45	-99	0.03	27%	-0.96	-46.9	4.72%	0	-2.1	23	0
13	Jun_2_2011	64.61	41.41	39.45	39.08	39.55	38.13	35.7(-5.56%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-54	-220	-38	-101	0.02	32%	-0.97	-54.1	4.74%	0	-1.8	23	0
14	Jun_1_2011	65.24	41.81	40.04	40.28	40.5	40	37.8(-6.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-31	-70	-17	-72	0.02	34%	-0.93	-56.8	4.83%	0	-1.4	49	0
15	May_31_2011	65.85	42.1	40.47	40.6	41.16	40.97	40.22(-3.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-10	10	7	-59	0.01	31%	-1.16	-67.7	4.72%	0	-0.7	50	0

16	May_27_2011	66.62	42.36	40.88	40.15	40.83	41	41.79(4.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-14	80	2	-63	0.01	35%	-0.82	-69.8	4.79%	0	-0.2	51	0
17	May_26_2011	67.17	42.7	41.36	39.82	40.43	41.36	39.9(-4.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-8	210	8	-56	0.01	35%	-1.03	-66.5	4.78%	0	-0.8	47	0
18	May_25_2011	67.87	43.16	42.3	39.9	40.26	40.66	41.69(5.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	100	13	-32	0.02	35%	-0.89	-64.9	4.79%	0	-0.4	53	0
19	May_24_2011	68.48	43.47	42.25	39.84	40.2	39.5	39.38(3.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	-90	-13	-50	0.02	32%	-0.55	-65.6	4.72%	0	-1.1	46	0
20	May_23_2011	68.86	43.99	42.56	40.36	40.78	39.87	38(-5.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-38	-120	-32	-54	0.02	32%	-0.55	-66.8	4.68%	0	-1.6	43	0

21	May_20_2011	69.24	44.58	43.07	41.71	41.85	40.91	40.13(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-33	-150	-31	-40	0.02	34%	-0.55	-67.4	4.61%	0	-1.3	42	0
22	May_19_2011	69.62	45.04	43.4	43.13	43.16	41.68	40.32(-2.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-43	-240	-44	-39	0.01	34%	-0.57	-63.5	4.65%	0	-1.4	37	0
23	May_18_2011	70.02	45.5	43.59	45.08	45.24	42.78	41.37(-1.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-30	-370	-32	-23	0.02	34%	-0.53	-53.6	4.68%	0	-1.2	38	0
24	May_17_2011	70.39	46	43.81	45.08	47.26	44.64	42(-6.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-30	-240	-28	-36	0.02	34%	-0.48	-49.9	4.69%	0	-1.2	41	0
25	May_16_2011	70.73	46.61	43.96	44.99	46.54	47.71	44.73(-5.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	280	-13	-47	0.03	35%		-45.2	4.64%	0	-0.5	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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