Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 12, 2010

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $50.2500 (2.91%) ($48.8500 - $52.5000) on Mon. Jul. 12, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.46% (three month average)
RSI   35
Latest Price   $50.2500(2.91%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX declines -2.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX declines -15% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(5%)    EWI(4%)    JNK(4%)    EWY(3%)    FXI(3%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -4.23% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-9%)    TLT(-5%)    LQD(-4%)    GLD(-3%)    USO(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.23% (StdDev 8.46%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $17.8(-64.58%)
Resistance Level   $64.54
5 Day Moving Average   $50.21(0.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $53.32(-5.76%)
20 Day Moving Average   $64.54(-22.14%)
To recent high   -63.2%
To recent low   4%
Market Cap   $2.788b

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 21.86% (three month std-dev: 8.46%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100812

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_12_2010	126.45	64.54	53.32	50.21	50.7	50.32	50.25(2.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-31	-20	-5	-108	0.01	35%	-1.2	-48.4	8.46%	0	-1	35	NAN
2	Jul_9_2010	127.98	66.22	54.25	51.71	51.92	49.25	48.83(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-51	-350	-25	-130	0.01	35%	-1.24	-45.5	8.47%	0	-1.2	32	NAN
3	Jul_8_2010	129.59	67.95	55.75	53.12	54.28	51.08	49.09(-2.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-72	-350	-47	-148	0.02	35%	-1.29	-45.9	8.47%	0	-1.4	32	NAN
4	Jul_7_2010	131.29	69.55	57.81	56.74	57.43	54.6	50.4(-4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-51	-310	-24	-131	0.01	35%	-1.25	-44.5	8.5%	0	-1.4	33	NAN
5	Jul_6_2010	132.95	70.94	60.06	56.33	59.84	57.48	52.5(-9.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-45	-90	-15	-136	0.01	35%	-1.18	-50	8.51%	0	-1.5	34	NAN

6	Jul_2_2010	134.54	72.19	62.7	56.75	59.07	60.27	57.75(3.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-43	260	-12	-135	0.01	36%	-1.04	-56	8.44%	0	-1.2	37	NAN
7	Jul_1_2010	135.96	73.39	65.27	57.17	58.77	62.21	55.86(-16.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-15	490	19	-117	0.02	44%	-1	-56.7	8.49%	0	-1.5	35	NAN
8	Jun_30_2010	137.34	75.03	68.21	58.81	58.89	57.87	67.2(39.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-22	-120	7	-107	0.07	48%	-0.92	-53.5	8.85%	0	-0.7	42	NAN
9	Jun_29_2010	138.62	76.06	69.86	59.43	60.34	55.34	48.33(-11.48%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-93	-530	-73	-154	0.02	28%	-1.04	-49.6	7.33%	0	-2.5	14	NAN
10	Jun_28_2010	140.08	77.88	73.66	64.46	65.45	59.92	54.6(-8.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-74	-550	-64	-102	0.01	29%	-1.06	-45.2	8.77%	0	-2.5	25	NAN

11	Jun_25_2010	141.58	79.41	76.74	69.51	70.31	65.35	59.85(-6.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-68	-460	-65	-75	0.01	31%	-0.97	-43.1	8.74%	0	-2.6	32	NAN
12	Jun_24_2010	142.97	80.62	79.3	74.53	75.41	70.98	64.05(-8.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-50	-380	-51	-45	0.01	31%	-1	-23.8	8.72%	0	-2.8	30	NAN
13	Jun_23_2010	144.42	81.52	81.35	78.94	79.45	75.27	70.31(-4.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-40	-350	-44	-26	0.01	32%	-0.88	-2.8	8.67%	0	-2.4	29	NAN
14	Jun_22_2010	145.7	81.96	82.46	81.88	82.22	79.85	73.5(-7.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-31	-190	-36	-15	0.01	32%	-0.91	5.6	8.7%	0	-2.2	31	NAN
15	Jun_21_2010	147.04	82.29	82.94	84.19	84.55	83.64	79.82(-6.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-6	-60	-9	3	0.01	32%	-0.94	-4.7	8.66%	0	-0.7	49	NAN

16	Jun_18_2010	148.44	82.79	82.63	85.03	84.96	84.6	84.95(-1.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-3	-30	-5	3	0.01	32%	-0.95	-22.3	8.64%	0	0.6	54	NAN
17	Jun_17_2010	149.87	82.06	82.2	84.84	85.14	85.47	86.1(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	4	40	4	5	0	32%	-0.87	-59.4	8.65%	0	0.8	57	NAN
18	Jun_16_2010	151.19	81.64	82.3	84.21	84.8	85.33	85.05(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	9	60	9	10	0	32%	-0.96	-93	8.65%	0	0.7	59	NAN
19	Jun_15_2010	152.65	81.74	82.52	83.18	83.84	84.82	85.05(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	9	110	8	13	0.01	32%	-0.95	-113	8.66%	0	0.7	62	NAN
20	Jun_14_2010	154.12	82.46	82.19	81.5	83.91	84.28	84(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	19	120	21	13	0.01	32%	-0.84	-96.4	8.66%	0	0.2	59	NAN

21	Jun_11_2010	155.43	83.66	82.06	79.82	81.54	82.87	84(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-1	180	2	-8	0	32%	-0.96	-72.4	8.72%	0	0	43	NAN
22	Jun_10_2010	156.93	85.02	81.83	79.19	80.49	83.54	82.95(3.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	310	17	4	0	32%	-1	-59	8.73%	0	-0.2	65	NAN
23	Jun_9_2010	158.51	86.37	81.53	80.24	80.33	80.21	79.91(4.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	9	-10	9	8	0.01	32%	-1	-54.6	8.72%	0	-0.5	56	NAN
24	Jun_8_2010	160.11	87.75	81.36	81.9	81	77.44	76.65(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-23	-340	-28	-7	0	32%	-0.53	-52.1	8.7%	0	-0.8	47	NAN
25	Jun_7_2010	160.97	89.34	81.65	82.97	83.18	80.46	75.6(-6.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-29	-220	-32	-21	0	32%		-50.9	8.71%	0	-1	40	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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