Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 15, 2010

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $85.0500 (1.25%) ($79.9100 - $87.1500) on Tue. Jun. 15, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.66% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $85.0500(1.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX advances 2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(5%)    EWI(4%)    EWY(4%)    JNK(4%)    FXI(3%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -4.33% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-9%)    TLT(-5%)    LQD(-4%)    GLD(-2%)    USO(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.33% (StdDev 8.66%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $83.18(2.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $82.52(3.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $81.74(4.05%)
To recent high   -60.3%
To recent low   22.7%
Market Cap   $4.719b

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 6.06% (three month std-dev: 8.66%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100715

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_15_2010	152.65	81.74	82.52	83.18	83.84	84.82	85.05(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	9	110	8	13	0.01	32%	-0.95	-113	8.66%	0	0.7	62	NAN
2	Jun_14_2010	154.12	82.46	82.19	81.5	83.91	84.28	84(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	19	120	21	13	0.01	32%	-0.84	-96.4	8.66%	0	0.2	59	NAN
3	Jun_11_2010	155.43	83.66	82.06	79.82	81.54	82.87	84(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-1	180	2	-8	0	32%	-0.96	-72.4	8.72%	0	0	43	NAN
4	Jun_10_2010	156.93	85.02	81.83	79.19	80.49	83.54	82.95(3.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	310	17	4	0	32%	-1	-59	8.73%	0	-0.2	65	NAN
5	Jun_9_2010	158.51	86.37	81.53	80.24	80.33	80.21	79.91(4.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	9	-10	9	8	0.01	32%	-1	-54.6	8.72%	0	-0.5	56	NAN

6	Jun_8_2010	160.11	87.75	81.36	81.9	81	77.44	76.65(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-23	-340	-28	-7	0	32%	-0.53	-52.1	8.7%	0	-0.8	47	NAN
7	Jun_7_2010	160.97	89.34	81.65	82.97	83.18	80.46	75.6(-6.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-29	-220	-32	-21	0	32%	-0.94	-50.9	8.71%	0	-1	40	NAN
8	Jun_4_2010	162.5	90.82	83.11	84.44	84.48	84.56	80.85(-8.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-13	10	-10	-21	0	32%	-0.65	-51.2	8.68%	0	-0.7	38	NAN
9	Jun_3_2010	163.57	92.25	82.12	84.66	84.97	85.89	88.2(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	3	90	17	-41	0	32%	-0.89	-51.6	8.64%	0	-0.3	40	NAN
10	Jun_2_2010	165.04	93.9	81.03	82.99	83.78	84.41	88.2(7.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-10	80	11	-74	0.01	32%	-1.03	-48.8	8.65%	0	-0.4	41	NAN

11	Jun_1_2010	166.75	95.38	80.86	80.87	83.01	84.04	82.01(-1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-13	170	14	-95	0.01	32%	-0.84	-49.7	8.59%	0	-0.8	39	NAN
12	May_28_2010	168.17	97.04	82.63	80.21	81.12	83.15	82.95(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-24	210	4	-106	0.01	32%	-0.07	-52.4	8.59%	0	-0.9	40	NAN
13	May_27_2010	168.28	98.52	85.18	81.68	80.83	81.98	81.95(2.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-3	70	25	-87	0.01	32%	0	-53.4	8.66%	0	-1	42	NAN
14	May_26_2010	168.28	100.21	88.19	79.15	80.6	79.09	79.85(2.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-20	-80	6	-99	0.01	32%	-0.03	-59.2	8.71%	0	-1.2	38	NAN
15	May_25_2010	168.33	102.23	91.32	78.72	78.14	79.68	77.57(-1.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-49	120	-26	-118	0.01	32%	-0.02	-62.1	8.72%	0	-1.5	33	NAN

16	May_24_2010	168.37	104.35	94.49	80.84	79.85	82.11	78.75(-12.79%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-18	160	10	-101	0.01	32%	-0.54	-62.2	8.72%	0	-1.7	35	NAN
17	May_21_2010	169.29	106.57	97.6	85.46	82.47	76.6	90.3(30.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-51	-600	-33	-105	0.04	41%	0.09	-56.6	8.86%	0	-1.1	41	NAN
18	May_20_2010	169.13	108.21	99.1	89.66	87.55	77.58	69.3(-10.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-130	-870	-126	-143	0.03	30%	-0.05	-50.5	8.01%	0	-2.7	25	NAN
19	May_19_2010	169.22	111.05	103.46	98.69	97.06	88.34	77.7(-11.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-102	-680	-101	-105	0.01	32%	-0.02	-46.9	7.98%	0	-3	28	NAN
20	May_18_2010	169.25	113.3	108.2	105.62	104.21	97.51	88.13(-13.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-78	-490	-80	-70	0.02	35%	0.04	-49.9	7.87%	0	-3.1	30	NAN

21	May_17_2010	169.19	114.9	111.49	109.83	108.81	105.79	101.85(-8.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-44	-220	-45	-40	0.04	39%	-0.41	-64.8	7.71%	0	-2.2	38	NAN
22	May_14_2010	169.89	115.47	112.94	111.3	110.84	110.91	111.3(-2.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-10	-10	-5	-23	0	42%	0.24	-85.7	7.6%	0	-0.8	41	NAN
23	May_13_2010	169.48	115.94	113.07	110.04	111.43	111.83	114.45(1.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	1	60	10	-28	0.01	42%	0.25	-101.8	7.66%	0	-0.3	42	NAN
24	May_12_2010	169.05	116.57	113.14	109.2	111.17	110.78	112.35(2.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-20	30	-12	-44	0.01	42%	0.24	-103.8	7.71%	0	-0.6	40	NAN
25	May_11_2010	168.64	117.56	113.82	111.51	112.35	111.04	109.2(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-24	-60	-19	-40	0.01	42%		-88.8	7.74%	0	-1.1	41	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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