Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 21, 2010

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $90.3000 (30.3%) ($63.2100 - $102.9000) on Fri. May. 21, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.86% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $90.3000(30.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX declines -4.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX declines -13.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JNK(7%)    EWG(6%)    EWI(6%)    EEM(5%)    EWY(5%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -4.43% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-10%)    TLT(-5%)    LQD(-4%)    GLD(-2%)    TIP(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.43% (StdDev 8.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 31.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $68.92(-23.68%)
Resistance Level   $106.57
5 Day Moving Average   $85.46(5.66%)
10 Day Moving Average   $97.6(-7.48%)
20 Day Moving Average   $106.57(-15.27%)
To recent high   -63.4%
To recent low   30.3%
Market Cap   $5.01b

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 13.63% (three month std-dev: 8.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.67%(50%) Average negative next day return: -4.27%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -5.35%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -17.09%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100621

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_21_2010	169.29	106.57	97.6	85.46	82.47	76.6	90.3(30.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-51	-600	-33	-105	0.04	41%	0.09	-56.6	8.86%	0	-1.1	41	0
2	May_20_2010	169.13	108.21	99.1	89.66	87.55	77.58	69.3(-10.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-130	-870	-126	-143	0.03	30%	-0.05	-50.5	8.01%	0	-2.7	25	0
3	May_19_2010	169.22	111.05	103.46	98.69	97.06	88.34	77.7(-11.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-102	-680	-101	-105	0.01	32%	-0.02	-46.9	7.98%	0	-3	28	0
4	May_18_2010	169.25	113.3	108.2	105.62	104.21	97.51	88.13(-13.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-78	-490	-80	-70	0.02	35%	0.04	-49.9	7.87%	0	-3.1	30	0
5	May_17_2010	169.19	114.9	111.49	109.83	108.81	105.79	101.85(-8.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-44	-220	-45	-40	0.04	39%	-0.41	-64.8	7.71%	0	-2.2	38	0

6	May_14_2010	169.89	115.47	112.94	111.3	110.84	110.91	111.3(-2.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-10	-10	-5	-23	0	42%	0.24	-85.7	7.6%	0	-0.8	41	0
7	May_13_2010	169.48	115.94	113.07	110.04	111.43	111.83	114.45(1.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	1	60	10	-28	0.01	42%	0.25	-101.8	7.66%	0	-0.3	42	0
8	May_12_2010	169.05	116.57	113.14	109.2	111.17	110.78	112.35(2.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-20	30	-12	-44	0.01	42%	0.24	-103.8	7.71%	0	-0.6	40	0
9	May_11_2010	168.64	117.56	113.82	111.51	112.35	111.04	109.2(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-24	-60	-19	-40	0.01	42%	0.2	-88.8	7.74%	0	-1.1	41	0
10	May_10_2010	168.3	118.88	114.78	113.61	115.24	111.56	109.2(4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-25	-180	-22	-33	0.01	42%	0.22	-85.5	7.75%	0	-1.2	44	0

11	May_7_2010	167.93	120.17	116.04	114.87	116.81	113.66	105(-4.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-39	-140	-42	-31	0.02	42%	0.17	-81	7.63%	0	-1.6	48	0
12	May_6_2010	167.64	122.12	117.9	116.34	117.99	118.91	110.25(-11.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-9	100	-8	-11	0.04	42%	0.21	-71.9	7.67%	0	-1.2	43	0
13	May_5_2010	167.29	124	119.21	117.39	117.67	119.96	123.9(3.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	140	23	2	0.02	47%	0.32	-56	7.61%	0	-0	45	0
14	May_4_2010	166.76	124.85	118.73	116.55	117.01	117.08	119.7(3.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	6	20	12	-14	0.02	47%	0.25	-43.1	7.61%	0	-0.4	37	0
15	May_3_2010	166.35	126.32	118.52	116.34	116.88	115.37	115.5(2.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-23	-80	-18	-37	0.01	47%	0.22	-30.5	7.62%	0	-0.8	31	0

16	Apr_30_2010	165.98	128.28	118.21	117.6	118.06	116.94	112.35(-2.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-28	-50	-21	-48	0.01	47%	0.21	-44.5	7.58%	0	-1.2	28	0
17	Apr_29_2010	165.63	130.02	119.1	119.7	119.77	118.39	115.5(-3.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-21	-80	-11	-51	0.01	47%	0.16	-57.9	7.63%	0	-1.1	25	0
18	Apr_28_2010	165.36	130.23	120.31	119.7	120.49	119.18	119.7(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	-90	-16	-59	0.01	47%	0.16	-83.2	7.63%	0	-0.8	25	0
19	Apr_27_2010	165.09	130.22	121.55	121.17	121.34	121.14	118.65(-2.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-20	-10	-6	-60	0.01	47%	0.19	-109.4	7.66%	0	-0.9	32	0
20	Apr_26_2010	164.78	130.54	123.23	120.96	121.87	121.8	121.8(-0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	20	7	-63	0.01	47%	0.32	-133.1	7.68%	0	-0.7	29	0

21	Apr_23_2010	164.25	134.54	124.5	118.86	121.67	121.54	122.85(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-20	60	1	-82	0.01	47%	0.36	-85.2	7.7%	0	-0.5	27	0
22	Apr_22_2010	163.66	138.25	126.53	118.44	120.95	121.93	122.85(2.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-26	120	-6	-87	0.01	47%	0.22	-72.1	7.76%	0	-0.6	36	0
23	Apr_21_2010	163.3	142.33	128.98	119.49	122.13	121.8	119.7(1.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-17	50	0	-67	0.02	47%	0.13	-61.3	7.81%	0	-0.8	57	0
24	Apr_20_2010	163.09	146.82	131.28	122.22	123.58	119.96	117.6(5.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-43	-170	-36	-62	0.07	47%	0.36	-53.6	7.8%	0	-0.9	56	0
25	Apr_19_2010	162.51	151.01	134.63	126	126.66	122.46	111.3(-7.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-57	-220	-60	-47	0.04	47%		-49.7	7.76%	0	-1.2	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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