Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 8, 2010

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $149.1000 (4.41%) ($144.9000 - $151.2000) on Thu. Apr. 8, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   11.53% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $149.1000(4.41%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX advances 4.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX declines -15.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(7%)    EWY(7%)    JNK(7%)    EEM(6%)    EWG(6%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -5.765% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-12%)    TLT(-6%)    LQD(-4%)    TIP(-2%)    GLD(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -5.765% (StdDev 11.53%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $116.91(-21.59%)
Resistance Level   $176.52
5 Day Moving Average   $149.31(-0.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $150.69(-1.06%)
20 Day Moving Average   $176.52(-15.53%)
To recent high   -41.3%
To recent low   27.9%
Market Cap   $8.273b

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 19.57% (three month std-dev: 11.53%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100508

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_8_2010	157.14	176.52	150.69	149.31	151.66	147.79	149.1(4.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-18	-130	2	-79	0.02	75%	0.74	-38.1	11.53%	0	-0.8	42	0
2	Apr_7_2010	155.99	178.67	156.23	142.8	149.3	150.54	142.8(-5.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-14	190	5	-70	0.02	76%	0.7	-47.2	13.78%	0	-1.1	41	0
3	Apr_6_2010	154.9	181.62	162.99	137.55	141.36	155.53	151.2(-3.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	27	780	53	-53	0.03	76%	0.77	-54.8	13.83%	0	-0.9	41	0
4	Apr_5_2010	153.71	184.32	168.01	131.88	132.04	148.06	156.45(6.43%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	38	850	68	-52	0.07	76%	1.6	-62.8	13.82%	0	-0.9	44	0
5	Apr_1_2010	151.29	187.28	172.66	142.38	130.53	127.19	147(26.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-24	-430	-8	-73	0.13	76%	0.75	-58.3	13.73%	0	-1.3	39	0

6	Mar_31_2010	150.16	190.74	178.19	153.51	148.12	116.03	116.55(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1.2	-128	-1620	-133	-111	0.03	74%	0.54	-52.6	13.48%	0	-2.4	28	0
7	Mar_30_2010	149.35	196.3	186.97	172.2	170.82	133.88	116.55(-5.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-214	-1540	-241	-132	0.08	74%	0.53	-46.5	13.51%	0	-3	32	0
8	Mar_29_2010	148.56	201.75	196.68	191.73	195.56	180.21	122.85(-41.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3.4	-128	-490	-147	-70	0.21	74%	0.56	-43.6	13.49%	0	-3.9	31	0
9	Mar_26_2010	147.74	207.33	205.51	207.9	210.46	207.77	208.95(3.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-6	-50	-10	6	0.03	90%	1.19	-52.1	12.33%	0	0.2	53	0
10	Mar_25_2010	146	208.06	205.53	207.06	209.41	210.92	202.65(-3.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-4	80	-7	5	0.03	90%	1.18	-42.9	12.43%	0	-0.6	44	0

11	Mar_24_2010	144.3	208.78	205.02	206.85	208.56	213.15	210(-1.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	180	30	16	0.02	90%	1.27	-37.4	12.51%	0	0.1	47	0
12	Mar_23_2010	142.49	209.48	203.11	204.54	205.67	207.9	214.2(5.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	17	90	22	3	0.08	90%	1.29	-31.4	12.5%	0	0.4	45	0
13	Mar_22_2010	140.67	210.89	201.54	203.07	203.5	203.96	203.7(-0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-2	20	1	-12	0.01	90%	1.22	-21.8	12.5%	0	-0.5	42	0
14	Mar_19_2010	138.98	212.43	201.49	202.86	204.09	203.44	204.75(1.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-6	-0	-2	-18	0.01	90%	1.21	-13.4	12.43%	0	-0.5	38	0
15	Mar_18_2010	137.32	212.34	202.36	203.91	205.34	203.04	201.6(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-13	-60	-10	-23	0.02	90%	1.2	-10.6	12.53%	0	-0.8	37	0

16	Mar_17_2010	135.69	212.7	203.52	202.86	206.85	204.75	198.45(-4.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-11	-10	-7	-24	0.01	90%	1.16	-7.9	12.56%	0	-1	42	0
17	Mar_16_2010	134.14	213.61	205.76	201.18	205.41	207.64	206.85(2.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-4	140	3	-23	0.01	90%	1.23	-4	12.53%	0	-0.5	41	0
18	Mar_15_2010	132.51	213.97	206.78	199.71	202.39	208.95	202.65(-3.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	14	270	26	-21	0.01	90%	1.2	0	12.54%	0	-0.8	31	0
19	Mar_12_2010	130.94	214.34	209.15	199.92	200.88	203.18	210(6.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	17	90	29	-21	0.06	90%	1.25	2.6	12.49%	0	-0.3	39	0
20	Mar_11_2010	129.32	213.83	210.57	200.97	200.68	195.83	196.35(3.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-170	-24	-37	0.03	90%	1.18	5.4	12.58%	0	-1.3	53	0

21	Mar_10_2010	127.81	213.79	212.79	204.54	205.08	198.58	190.05(-4.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-45	-210	-46	-40	0.02	85%	1.14	7.5	12.58%	0	-1.7	48	0
22	Mar_9_2010	126.37	214.14	216.52	210.95	210.79	205.54	199.5(-2.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-36	-180	-39	-28	0.02	85%	1.23	19.5	12.68%	0	-1	48	0
23	Mar_8_2010	124.84	213.97	221.16	214.73	215.94	211.58	203.7(-5.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-27	-120	-31	-14	0.02	85%	1.28	22.6	12.7%	0	-0.7	50	0
24	Mar_5_2010	123.26	213.99	224.49	219.56	220.27	216.04	215.25(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-21	-120	-27	-1	0.01	87%	1.37	27.3	12.95%	0	0.1	56	0
25	Mar_4_2010	121.59	213.07	223.38	221.66	224.14	220.3	214.2(-3.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-16	-90	-22	4	0.01	87%		21.8	13.05%	0	0.1	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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