Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 17, 2010

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $215.2500 (0.99%) ($201.6000 - $217.3500) on Wed. Feb. 17, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   16% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $215.2500(0.99%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX advances 2.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(7%)    EWG(6%)    EWY(6%)    JNK(6%)    EEM(5%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -8% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-12%)    TLT(-6%)    LQD(-4%)    TIP(-2%)    GLD(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -8% (StdDev 16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $204.96(5.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $201.56(6.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $209.88(2.56%)
To recent high   -15.3%
To recent low   477.4%
Market Cap   $11.943b

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 6.73% (three month std-dev: 16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100317

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_17_2010	102.34	209.88	201.56	204.96	206.19	212.89	215.25(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	21	250	26	6	0.01	82%	1.64	-34.9	16%	0	0.4	49	NAN
2	Feb_16_2010	100.69	210.76	199.45	200.34	201.6	208.16	213.15(2.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	29	250	38	1	0.01	82%	2.1	-41.5	16%	0	0.2	43	NAN
3	Feb_12_2010	98.62	211.21	198.39	196.14	196.94	199.5	207.9(5.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	8	100	16	-17	0.04	82%	1.62	-28.2	15.9%	0	-0.2	40	NAN
4	Feb_11_2010	97.05	210.23	199.03	194.88	196.09	195.04	197.4(3.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-5	-20	1	-23	0.01	82%	1.47	-4.5	15.91%	0	-0.8	45	NAN
5	Feb_10_2010	95.64	211.88	201.54	194.46	196.55	194.38	191.1(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	-50	-13	-30	0.02	82%	1.49	35.5	15.92%	0	-1.2	36	NAN

6	Feb_9_2010	94.24	214.94	203.96	197.61	197.93	197.14	192.15(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-13	-20	-8	-29	0.01	81%	1.46	84.2	15.95%	0	-1.2	34	NAN
7	Feb_8_2010	92.88	217.26	207.54	198.24	199.57	197.14	192.15(-4.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8	-10	-1	-27	0.01	81%	1.42	133.7	16%	0	-1.4	35	NAN
8	Feb_5_2010	91.58	215.65	211.2	200.76	199.5	198.71	201.6(3.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-18	-50	-14	-29	0.03	81%	1.62	129.8	15.97%	0	-0.6	44	NAN
9	Feb_4_2010	90.12	210.97	212.38	203.91	202.91	200.42	195.3(-5.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	-100	-13	-22	0.03	81%	1.67	91.8	15.98%	0	-0.4	58	NAN
10	Feb_3_2010	88.64	206.09	215.98	209.79	208.43	200.29	206.85(5.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	-290	-26	-22	0.13	81%	1.85	78.6	15.93%	0	0	48	NAN

11	Feb_2_2010	87.03	200.57	219.03	211.47	213.28	205.41	195.3(-4.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-45	-230	-49	-32	0.04	80%	1.72	70.4	15.98%	0	-0.1	40	NAN
12	Feb_1_2010	85.56	195.52	223.26	218.19	218.53	216.56	204.75(-5.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-60	-27	-18	0.03	80%	1.91	70.1	16%	0	0.2	46	NAN
13	Jan_29_2010	83.96	189.56	225.38	223.02	223.98	221.16	217.35(-3.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	-80	-1	8	0.01	78%	2.05	73.4	16.02%	0	0.5	70	NAN
14	Jan_28_2010	82.27	183	222.63	221.97	223.98	220.5	224.7(4.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-11	-110	-20	15	0.04	77%	2.16	68.9	16%	0	0.6	80	NAN
15	Jan_27_2010	80.53	176.03	223.14	223.23	225.88	226.8	215.25(-5.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-8	60	-25	42	0.03	77%	2.13	68.1	16.07%	0	0.6	81	NAN

16	Jan_26_2010	78.85	169.62	226.82	227.85	230.67	231.26	228.9(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	35	60	13	99	0.03	77%	2.02	71.1	16.05%	0	0.8	82	NAN
17	Jan_25_2010	77.29	161.91	227.62	229.32	233.82	224.96	228.9(7.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	17	-210	-21	131	0.04	77%	2.51	72.6	16.05%	0	0.9	82	NAN
18	Jan_22_2010	75.4	154.13	220.46	228.27	236.78	230.08	212.1(-8.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	17	-90	-31	159	0.03	77%	2.38	73.5	16.08%	0	0.8	82	NAN
19	Jan_21_2010	73.65	147.24	209.94	228.27	233.89	242.68	231(-3.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	57	410	13	189	0.04	77%	2.69	70.5	16.02%	0	1.1	83	NAN
20	Jan_20_2010	71.72	139.36	196.06	222.81	225.42	243.47	238.35(0.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	103	600	59	236	0.06	77%	2.88	73.2	16%	0	1.4	83	NAN

21	Jan_19_2010	69.71	130.85	181.15	225.96	223.65	225.09	236.25(5.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	111	10	54	283	0.15	77%	3.29	80.5	16.01%	0	1.5	81	NAN
22	Jan_15_2010	67.49	122.5	165.94	226.38	224.5	207.37	223.65(21.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	48	-560	-40	311	0.35	77%	2.74	89.9	15.92%	0	1.5	82	NAN
23	Jan_14_2010	65.69	114.77	151.16	211.58	225.75	222.21	184.8(-20%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	74	90	-11	330	0.11	75%	2.11	83.4	15.76%	0	1.1	81	NAN
24	Jan_13_2010	64.33	108.98	140.74	193.31	205.51	241.63	231(-9.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	189	1420	132	360	0.1	79%	2.88	68.9	15.51%	0	2	87	NAN
25	Jan_12_2010	62.53	100.86	125.06	163.61	169.68	229.29	254.1(6.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	319	2570	306	359	0.25	79%		51.9	15.44%	0	2.9	89	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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