Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 9, 2009

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $56.1800 (7.46%) ($52.5000 - $57.7500) on Wed. Sep. 9, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.59% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $56.1800(7.46%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX advances 4.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX advances 3.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(7%)    EWI(7%)    EEM(6%)    EWY(6%)    FXI(6%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -4.295% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-12%)    TLT(-6%)    LQD(-3%)    TIP(-2%)    GLD(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.295% (StdDev 8.59%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 7%

5 Day Moving Average   $49.14(14.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.43(16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.06(24.68%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   91.1%
Market Cap   $3.117b

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 15.71% (three month std-dev: 8.59%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20091009

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_9_2009	43.29	45.06	48.43	49.14	49.24	52.5	56.18(7.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	41	470	41	42	0.01	84%	0.35	37.7	8.59%	0	1.6	73	NAN
2	Sep_8_2009	43.14	44.12	48.3	46.94	47.48	48.47	52.28(10.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	32	180	26	49	0	84%	0.35	29	8.57%	0	1.2	74	NAN
3	Sep_4_2009	42.99	43.47	48.52	45.3	46.64	45.97	47.25(5.35%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	12	-10	-2	54	0	84%	0.09	24	8.54%	0	0.6	72	NAN
4	Sep_3_2009	42.95	43.1	47.99	45.23	46.47	46.5	44.85(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	90	-12	56	0	84%	0.16	23.9	8.66%	0	0.3	64	NAN
5	Sep_2_2009	42.88	42.8	47.33	46.12	47.41	47.3	45.15(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	14	70	-4	68	0	84%	0.16	28.5	8.71%	0	0.4	63	NAN

6	Sep_1_2009	42.81	42.54	46.72	47.59	48.01	46.45	45.15(2.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-200	-23	77	0	84%	0.12	36.7	8.71%	0	0.4	63	NAN
7	Aug_31_2009	42.76	42.25	45.8	49.9	49.81	47.52	44.1(-5.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	1	-330	-32	98	0	84%	0.05	48.2	8.71%	0	0.3	63	NAN
8	Aug_28_2009	42.74	41.99	44.98	52.21	52.81	49.58	46.88(-4.97%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	25	-390	-10	130	0	84%	0.14	61.1	8.69%	0	0.8	62	NAN
9	Aug_27_2009	42.68	41.62	44.1	51.02	53.15	52.11	49.33(-6.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	30	-10	-1	121	0	84%	0.23	57.4	8.66%	0	1.2	65	NAN
10	Aug_26_2009	42.58	41.07	42.99	48.51	50.46	56.04	52.49(-7.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	58	890	39	113	0.01	84%	0.35	47.8	8.63%	0	1.9	70	NAN

11	Aug_25_2009	42.43	40.33	41.5	45.57	46.52	54.19	56.7(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	99	1220	97	105	0.01	84%	0.62	36.7	8.57%	0	3	73	NAN
12	Aug_24_2009	42.17	39.39	39.46	41.16	41.36	44.87	55.65(35.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3.6	68	610	74	49	0.03	84%	0.52	18.7	8.64%	0	4.1	73	NAN
13	Aug_21_2009	41.95	38.43	37.68	36.96	37.56	38.85	40.94(11.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.5	6	290	14	-19	0.01	79%	0.12	-26.2	7.44%	0	1.6	56	NAN
14	Aug_20_2009	41.9	38.31	37.51	36.31	36.94	37.84	36.75(-2.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-1	220	9	-30	0	77%	0.05	-21.4	7.33%	0	-1.1	40	NAN
15	Aug_19_2009	41.88	38.38	37.72	36.63	36.87	36.27	37.8(9.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-8	-90	-1	-30	0	82%	0.07	-2.9	7.47%	0	-0.4	48	NAN

16	Aug_18_2009	41.85	38.43	37.91	36.75	37.24	36.03	34.66(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-20	-190	-16	-30	0	61%	0	6.2	8.56%	0	-2.6	35	NAN
17	Aug_17_2009	41.85	38.66	38.41	37.38	38.19	37.47	34.65(-8.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-14	-70	-12	-20	0	61%	0.02	45.7	10.18%	0	-3.5	31	NAN
18	Aug_14_2009	41.84	38.85	38.87	38.43	38.75	38.45	37.7(-1.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-7	-30	-6	-8	0	61%	-0.05	74.4	10.14%	0	-0.8	50	NAN
19	Aug_13_2009	41.86	38.63	39.1	38.87	39.24	38.92	38.33(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-2	-30	-2	-2	0	61%	-0.14	64.5	10.14%	0	-0.2	49	NAN
20	Aug_12_2009	41.92	38.42	39.16	38.98	39.63	39.04	38.43(1.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-3	-50	-4	-0	0	56%	-0.21	60.2	10.21%	0	0	55	NAN

21	Aug_11_2009	42.01	38.35	39.22	39.27	39.79	39.56	37.8(-5.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-3	-0	-5	2	0	59%	-0.26	56.7	10.38%	0	-0.3	47	NAN
22	Aug_10_2009	42.12	38.14	39.44	39.59	40.05	40.22	39.9(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	4	60	2	8	0	59%	-0.26	53.2	10.56%	0	0.7	55	NAN
23	Aug_7_2009	42.23	37.74	39.27	39.59	39.93	40.03	39.9(2.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	3	60	1	7	0	62%	-0.02	42.9	10.68%	0	0.8	60	NAN
24	Aug_6_2009	42.24	37.47	39.17	39.59	39.7	39.89	38.85(-2.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	4	60	0	15	0	62%	0.17	35.9	10.74%	0	0.5	74	NAN
25	Aug_5_2009	42.17	37.32	39.08	39.38	39.76	39.82	39.9(1.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	40	3	23	0	68%		27.1	10.74%	0	1	72	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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