Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 17, 2009

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $32.5300 (-3.18%) ($31.6100 - $36.7500) on Fri. Jul. 17, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   12.29% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $32.5300(-3.18%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX declines -1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX declines -5.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(7%)    EWG(7%)    EWI(7%)    EWY(7%)    JNK(7%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -6.145% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-11%)    TLT(-5%)    LQD(-3%)    TIP(-1%)    GLD(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -6.145% (StdDev 12.29%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -11.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $15.25(-53.12%)
Resistance Level   $36.55
5 Day Moving Average   $33.49(-2.87%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.22(-4.94%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.55(-11%)
To recent high   -57%
To recent low   10.6%
Market Cap   $1.805b

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 10.23% (three month std-dev: 12.29%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.86%(40%) Average negative next day return: -3.57%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 3.9%(20%) Average negative next three day return: -3.33%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 10.43%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.44%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_17_2009	40.86	36.55	34.22	33.49	35.24	35.19	32.53(-3.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-12	150	-6	-30	0	65%	-0.1	-71.8	12.29%	0	-1.1	60	NAN
2	Jul_16_2009	40.9	37.01	34.83	33.87	35.36	36.24	33.6(-8.57%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-4	310	3	-24	0	67%	-0.12	-82	12.28%	0	-0.9	49	NAN
3	Jul_15_2009	40.95	37.47	35.52	33.87	34.89	35.29	36.75(11.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-3	130	3	-20	0	67%	-0.07	-90.1	12.34%	0	-0.2	50	NAN
4	Jul_14_2009	40.98	37.85	35.87	34.29	35.02	34.48	33.08(5.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-6	-40	0	-24	0	67%	-0.17	-94	12.28%	0	-1.1	43	NAN
5	Jul_13_2009	41.05	38.5	36.36	34.18	35.17	34.5	31.5(-8.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-14	-50	-8	-32	0	67%	-0.27	-97.5	12.27%	0	-1.6	43	NAN

6	Jul_10_2009	41.16	39.45	36.28	35.02	35.23	35.55	34.44(-3.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	80	-8	-39	0	67%	-0.12	-89.3	12.23%	0	-1	48	NAN
7	Jul_9_2009	41.21	40.37	36.72	35.9	36.29	35.84	35.7(-2.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-11	-50	-3	-34	0	67%	-0.24	-72.9	12.31%	0	-0.8	47	NAN
8	Jul_8_2009	41.31	41.31	37.13	36.95	37.01	34.91	36.71(12.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-20	-390	-15	-36	0	67%	-0.27	-54.3	12.32%	0	-0.7	47	NAN
9	Jul_7_2009	41.42	42.26	37.71	37.8	38.78	36.75	32.55(-8.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-21	-290	-17	-33	0	67%	-0.22	-37.9	12.23%	0	-1.4	39	NAN
10	Jul_6_2009	41.51	43.31	38.67	38.85	40.1	39.11	35.7(-8.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-7	-80	-1	-24	0	67%	-0.6	-27.5	12.39%	0	-1.1	41	NAN

11	Jul_2_2009	41.76	44.3	39.12	38.85	40.03	40.82	38.85(-5.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-9	330	2	-42	0	67%	-0.29	-22.6	12.33%	0	-0.8	39	NAN
12	Jul_1_2009	41.88	44.85	39.37	37.59	38.78	41.08	40.95(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-5	510	10	-50	0	67%	-0.24	-17.8	12.32%	0	-0.6	39	NAN
13	Jun_30_2009	41.98	45.04	39.53	37.38	38.25	39.24	40.95(8.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-9	250	9	-64	0	67%	-0.21	-16.2	12.22%	0	-0.6	37	NAN
14	Jun_29_2009	42.07	45.09	39.88	37.8	38.48	36.47	37.8(28.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-28	-310	-10	-80	0.01	67%	-0.38	-14.7	12.19%	0	-1	32	NAN
15	Jun_26_2009	42.23	45.32	40.68	38.64	39.6	37.26	29.4(-24.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-43	-340	-27	-90	0.09	60%	-0.57	-11	11.86%	0	-2.3	18	NAN

16	Jun_25_2009	42.47	45.96	42.89	40.74	41.51	40.49	38.86(-2.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-28	-120	-11	-78	0	66%	-0.38	-2	11.51%	0	-1.2	22	NAN
17	Jun_24_2009	42.63	46.13	44.31	41.29	42.33	41.94	39.9(-7.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-22	10	-6	-69	0	66%	-0.44	1.3	11.54%	0	-1	38	NAN
18	Jun_23_2009	42.82	46.2	45.83	41.92	42.55	42.52	43.05(2.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-16	40	-3	-55	0	66%	-0.35	0.4	11.51%	0	-0.5	52	NAN
19	Jun_22_2009	42.97	46.14	47.13	42.34	42.87	42.72	42(5.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	10	-5	-40	0	66%	-0.37	8.1	11.52%	0	-0.7	56	NAN
20	Jun_19_2009	43.13	46.09	48.29	43.18	43.66	42.58	39.9(-4.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-17	-140	-13	-27	0.01	72%	-0.46	-2.9	11.84%	0	-1	54	NAN

21	Jun_18_2009	43.33	46.08	49.9	45.42	44.8	43.01	41.58(-3.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-17	-320	-21	-4	0	72%	-0.37	-7.1	12.23%	0	-0.7	59	NAN
22	Jun_17_2009	43.49	46.05	50.84	47.81	47.15	44.74	43.05(-4.65%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-13	-400	-23	18	0	72%	-0.28	-9.2	12.22%	0	-0.5	58	NAN
23	Jun_16_2009	43.61	46.17	51.11	50.33	49.92	46.59	45.15(-2.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-10	-490	-26	37	0	72%	-0.23	-11.6	12.2%	0	-0.2	63	NAN
24	Jun_15_2009	43.71	45.66	50.86	52.64	52.55	49.57	46.2(-9.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-5	-400	-25	54	0	72%	-0.16	-28	12.25%	0	0.1	62	NAN
25	Jun_12_2009	43.78	46.26	50.49	54.11	54.71	53.24	51.11(-4.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	7	-150	-15	73	0	72%		-23.6	12.17%	0	0.6	72	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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