Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Feb. 9, 2009

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $50.4000 (-5.88%) ($50.4000 - $54.5800) on Mon. Feb. 9, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   11.53% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $50.4000(-5.88%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX declines -2.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JNK(11%)    EEM(8%)    EWG(8%)    EWI(8%)    EWY(8%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -5.765% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-10%)    TLT(-6%)    TIP(-2%)    LQD(-1%)    GLD(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -5.765% (StdDev 11.53%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -5.9%

Resistance Level   $54.16
5 Day Moving Average   $53.97(-6.61%)
10 Day Moving Average   $55.48(-9.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $54.16(-6.94%)
To recent high   -47.3%
To recent low   33.3%
Market Cap   $2.796b

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 5.37% (three month std-dev: 11.53%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 3.32%(25%) Average negative next day return: -2.68%(75%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 6.95%(38%) Average negative next three day return: -8.93%(63%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 5.2%(63%) Average negative next weekly return: -16.86%(38%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_9_2009	80.62	54.16	55.48	53.97	54.4	53.29	50.4(-5.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-9	-120	-12	-1	0	38%	-1.35	-65.9	11.53%	0	-1.3	54	NAN
2	Feb_6_2009	81.72	54.58	56.07	55.44	55.88	54.22	53.55(2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-5	-180	-10	9	0.01	39%	-1.28	-39.1	11.65%	0	-0.3	52	NAN
3	Feb_5_2009	82.78	55.01	56.03	56.28	56.47	55.52	52.5(-3.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-8	-110	-15	14	0	37%	-1.16	-5.9	11.78%	0	-0.7	56	NAN
4	Feb_4_2009	83.75	55.56	55.92	57.54	57.61	57.54	54.6(-7.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	4	-0	-2	23	0	43%	-1.37	34.3	12.03%	0	-0.2	53	NAN
5	Feb_3_2009	84.91	56.09	55.95	58.07	58.01	57.42	58.8(1.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	-70	2	25	0	45%	-1.19	43.3	13.01%	0	0.6	55	NAN

6	Feb_2_2009	85.93	56.15	55.13	57.23	57.61	57.67	57.75(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	4	30	-2	21	0	45%	-1.37	25.8	13.08%	0	0.3	63	NAN
7	Jan_30_2009	87.12	55.76	54.69	56.81	57.35	58.59	57.75(-1.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	180	10	20	0	45%	-1.21	-1.3	13.09%	0	0.4	50	NAN
8	Jan_29_2009	88.19	55.22	53.95	55.76	56.14	57.55	58.8(2.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	200	15	7	0	47%	-1.03	-30	13.09%	0	0.7	47	NAN
9	Jan_28_2009	89.11	54.24	53.37	54.08	54.26	56.11	57.23(4.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	4	250	9	-11	0	49%	-1.18	-72.4	13.26%	0	0.6	44	NAN
10	Jan_27_2009	90.17	54.18	53.14	53.55	53.04	54.73	54.6(-1.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	4	190	12	-20	0	49%	-1.44	-81.9	13.31%	0	0.1	40	NAN

11	Jan_26_2009	91.49	54.98	52.64	52.71	52.45	52.4	55.65(6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-4	-20	6	-34	0	49%	-1.43	-83.2	13.37%	0	0.1	47	NAN
12	Jan_23_2009	92.82	55.82	52.85	52.29	52.18	51.34	52.5(4.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-12	-120	-4	-34	0	49%	-1.63	-68.2	13.38%	0	-0.4	57	NAN
13	Jan_22_2009	94.36	56.75	53.81	51.87	52.63	52.49	50.4(-7.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-9	30	-4	-25	0	49%	-1.71	-66.2	13.38%	0	-0.8	59	NAN
14	Jan_21_2009	96	58.4	55.12	52.5	52.7	53.03	54.6(8.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-1	60	-0	-2	0	49%	-1.69	-47.7	13.38%	0	-0.4	69	NAN
15	Jan_20_2009	97.65	60.13	56.17	52.71	52.96	52.76	50.4(-5.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	2	-10	1	6	0	49%	-1.72	-31.8	13.38%	0	-1	52	NAN

16	Jan_16_2009	99.36	61.05	57.25	52.5	53.48	52.37	53.55(6.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-7	-90	-7	-6	0	50%	-1.62	-20.5	13.28%	0	-0.6	46	NAN
17	Jan_15_2009	101	61.65	56.96	53.55	54.01	53.16	50.4(-5.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-80	-17	-23	0	50%	-1.62	-18.1	13.32%	0	-0.8	43	NAN
18	Jan_14_2009	102.66	62.53	56.73	56.07	56.26	54.6	53.55(-3.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	-200	-11	-28	0	48%	-1.51	-12.3	13.3%	0	-0.7	46	NAN
19	Jan_13_2009	104.23	63.01	55.38	58.17	58.42	54.86	55.65(12.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-31	-410	-23	-55	0	49%	-1.56	-8.6	13.52%	0	-0.6	42	NAN
20	Jan_12_2009	105.88	63.38	55.47	60.27	61.14	57.92	49.35(-16.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-39	-330	-28	-70	0.01	49%	-1.53	-3.9	13.52%	0	-1.1	36	NAN

21	Jan_9_2009	107.52	63.92	57.68	62.58	64.48	61.99	58.8(-6.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-180	-3	-50	0.01	51%	-1.47	1.2	13.43%	0	-0.4	52	NAN
22	Jan_8_2009	109.12	64.16	59.07	60.69	63.93	64.37	63(-1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-7	210	6	-47	0	51%	-1.37	-1.6	13.47%	0	-0.1	55	NAN
23	Jan_7_2009	110.64	64.18	59.83	57.33	60.71	66.96	64.05(-3.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	19	900	39	-43	0.01	49%	-1.43	-8.3	13.48%	0	-0	54	NAN
24	Jan_6_2009	112.24	64.13	61.69	52.08	55.69	63.49	66.15(8.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	27	1190	50	-42	0.01	49%	-1.47	-16.7	13.61%	0	0.2	57	NAN
25	Jan_5_2009	113.91	63.88	63.97	50.19	50.56	54.47	60.9(23.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	-0	560	15	-46	0.03	49%		-24	13.59%	0	-0.2	56	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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