Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Feb. 2, 2009

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $57.7500 (0%) ($54.6000 - $57.7500) on Mon. Feb. 2, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   13.08% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $57.7500(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX advances 4.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JNK(11%)    EEM(8%)    EWG(8%)    EWI(8%)    EWY(8%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -6.54% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-11%)    TLT(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)    TIP(-2%)    LQD(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -6.54% (StdDev 13.08%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $57.23(0.91%)
10 Day Moving Average   $55.13(4.75%)
20 Day Moving Average   $56.15(2.85%)
To recent high   -60.4%
To recent low   52.8%
Market Cap   $3.204b

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 8.25% (three month std-dev: 13.08%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_2_2009	85.93	56.15	55.13	57.23	57.61	57.67	57.75(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	4	30	-2	21	0	45%	-1.37	25.8	13.08%	0	0.3	63	0
2	Jan_30_2009	87.12	55.76	54.69	56.81	57.35	58.59	57.75(-1.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	180	10	20	0	45%	-1.21	-1.3	13.09%	0	0.4	50	0
3	Jan_29_2009	88.19	55.22	53.95	55.76	56.14	57.55	58.8(2.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	200	15	7	0	47%	-1.03	-30	13.09%	0	0.7	47	0
4	Jan_28_2009	89.11	54.24	53.37	54.08	54.26	56.11	57.23(4.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	4	250	9	-11	0	49%	-1.18	-72.4	13.26%	0	0.6	44	0
5	Jan_27_2009	90.17	54.18	53.14	53.55	53.04	54.73	54.6(-1.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	4	190	12	-20	0	49%	-1.44	-81.9	13.31%	0	0.1	40	0

6	Jan_26_2009	91.49	54.98	52.64	52.71	52.45	52.4	55.65(6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-4	-20	6	-34	0	49%	-1.43	-83.2	13.37%	0	0.1	47	0
7	Jan_23_2009	92.82	55.82	52.85	52.29	52.18	51.34	52.5(4.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-12	-120	-4	-34	0	49%	-1.63	-68.2	13.38%	0	-0.4	57	0
8	Jan_22_2009	94.36	56.75	53.81	51.87	52.63	52.49	50.4(-7.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-9	30	-4	-25	0	49%	-1.71	-66.2	13.38%	0	-0.8	59	0
9	Jan_21_2009	96	58.4	55.12	52.5	52.7	53.03	54.6(8.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-1	60	-0	-2	0	49%	-1.69	-47.7	13.38%	0	-0.4	69	0
10	Jan_20_2009	97.65	60.13	56.17	52.71	52.96	52.76	50.4(-5.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	2	-10	1	6	0	49%	-1.72	-31.8	13.38%	0	-1	52	0

11	Jan_16_2009	99.36	61.05	57.25	52.5	53.48	52.37	53.55(6.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-7	-90	-7	-6	0	50%	-1.62	-20.5	13.28%	0	-0.6	46	0
12	Jan_15_2009	101	61.65	56.96	53.55	54.01	53.16	50.4(-5.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-80	-17	-23	0	50%	-1.62	-18.1	13.32%	0	-0.8	43	0
13	Jan_14_2009	102.66	62.53	56.73	56.07	56.26	54.6	53.55(-3.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	-200	-11	-28	0	48%	-1.51	-12.3	13.3%	0	-0.7	46	0
14	Jan_13_2009	104.23	63.01	55.38	58.17	58.42	54.86	55.65(12.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-31	-410	-23	-55	0	49%	-1.56	-8.6	13.52%	0	-0.6	42	0
15	Jan_12_2009	105.88	63.38	55.47	60.27	61.14	57.92	49.35(-16.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-39	-330	-28	-70	0.01	49%	-1.53	-3.9	13.52%	0	-1.1	36	0

16	Jan_9_2009	107.52	63.92	57.68	62.58	64.48	61.99	58.8(-6.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-180	-3	-50	0.01	51%	-1.47	1.2	13.43%	0	-0.4	52	0
17	Jan_8_2009	109.12	64.16	59.07	60.69	63.93	64.37	63(-1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-7	210	6	-47	0	51%	-1.37	-1.6	13.47%	0	-0.1	55	0
18	Jan_7_2009	110.64	64.18	59.83	57.33	60.71	66.96	64.05(-3.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	19	900	39	-43	0.01	49%	-1.43	-8.3	13.48%	0	-0	54	0
19	Jan_6_2009	112.24	64.13	61.69	52.08	55.69	63.49	66.15(8.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	27	1190	50	-42	0.01	49%	-1.47	-16.7	13.61%	0	0.2	57	0
20	Jan_5_2009	113.91	63.88	63.97	50.19	50.56	54.47	60.9(23.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	-0	560	15	-46	0.03	49%	-1.5	-24	13.59%	0	-0.2	56	0

21	Jan_2_2009	115.65	63.77	64.71	52.5	51.81	47.89	49.35(6.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-29	-570	-22	-50	0.01	47%	-2.52	-22.9	13.28%	0	-1.2	53	0
22	Dec_31_2008	118.64	64.35	66.49	57.54	57.72	46.66	46.2(22.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-59	-1330	-63	-48	0.02	47%	-1.47	-13.9	13.24%	0	-1.6	48	0
23	Dec_30_2008	120.41	65.21	68.84	62.79	64.81	55.73	37.8(-33.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-75	-880	-87	-37	0.06	41%	-1.48	-1.6	12.92%	0	-2.5	42	0
24	Dec_29_2008	122.22	66.27	71.71	72.35	71.93	68.78	56.7(-21.74%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.7	-30	-320	-45	17	0.02	50%	-1.58	26.6	12.91%	0	-1	52	0
25	Dec_26_2008	124.18	66.98	72.51	79.49	76.88	73.9	72.45(-2.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	10	-370	-7	59	0	52%		61	14.2%	0	0.6	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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