Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Oct. 10, 2008

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $99.7500 (10.47%) ($82.9500 - $101.8500) on Fri. Oct. 10, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   9.94% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $99.7500(10.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX declines -6.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX declines -15.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWY(18%)    EEM(17%)    IWM(17%)    VWO(17%)    FXI(16%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -4.97% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-12%)    TLT(-9%)    TIP(-3%)    LQD(-1%)    GLD(2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.97% (StdDev 9.94%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

Resistance Level   $140.39
5 Day Moving Average   $104.37(-4.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $129.36(-22.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $140.39(-28.95%)
To recent high   -59.9%
To recent low   10.5%
Market Cap   $5.534b

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 19.72% (three month std-dev: 9.94%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081110

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_10_2008	210.24	140.39	129.36	104.37	104.21	96.99	99.75(10.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-74	-490	-60	-115	0.01	52%	-2.11	-51.9	9.94%	0	-1.5	44	0
2	Oct_9_2008	214.77	144.14	134.12	111.3	110.45	102.64	90.3(-10.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-102	-520	-96	-120	0.01	49%	-2.28	-51.2	9.85%	0	-2.1	39	0
3	Oct_8_2008	219.78	147.97	140.23	122.22	121.41	111.43	100.8(-4.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-84	-600	-81	-94	0.01	52%	-2.23	-54.2	9.78%	0	-2	42	0
4	Oct_7_2008	224.8	150.61	145	131.67	131.58	118.26	106.05(-15.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-103	-710	-108	-87	0.01	52%	-1.93	-62.3	9.77%	0	-2.2	47	0
5	Oct_6_2008	229.23	153.51	149.47	139.65	141.23	131.38	124.95(-7.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-118	-450	-128	-86	0.01	55%	-0.93	-69.7	9.59%	0	-1.5	46	0

6	Oct_3_2008	231.38	156.41	152.39	158.34	151.86	144.9	134.4(-7.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-53	-440	-63	-21	0.01	55%	-0.89	-54.4	9.63%	0	-1.2	51	0
7	Oct_2_2008	233.46	158.91	154.77	160.44	160.85	151.07	144.9(-2.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-31	-420	-37	-12	0.01	55%	-0.82	-54.2	9.58%	0	-0.7	49	0
8	Oct_1_2008	235.4	161.61	156.03	160.86	159.47	158.81	148.05(1.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-46	-50	-54	-20	0.01	52%	-0.79	-50.7	9.63%	0	-0.6	53	0
9	Sep_30_2008	237.27	164.54	156.1	160.86	157.57	170.63	145.95(-33.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	56	530	66	26	0.01	52%	-0.84	-47.1	9.77%	0	-0.8	56	0
10	Sep_29_2008	239.27	167.8	158.21	160.02	153.5	160.13	218.4(50.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	113	180	132	55	0.01	61%	-0.51	-47.6	8.91%	0	2.1	66	0

11	Sep_26_2008	240.49	167.16	151.39	146.58	146.48	144.51	144.9(-1.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-47	-100	-39	-71	0.01	47%	-0.77	-60.7	6.27%	0	-0.9	38	0
12	Sep_25_2008	242.36	170.47	154.09	148.89	149.56	146.87	147(2.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-41	-110	-32	-67	0.01	47%	-0.78	-56.4	6.28%	0	-0.9	38	0
13	Sep_24_2008	244.27	173.62	155.63	150.78	152.84	148.44	143.85(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-47	-160	-35	-82	0	44%	-0.84	-53.7	6.31%	0	-1.1	32	0
14	Sep_23_2008	246.34	176.73	156.28	151.41	153.56	152.25	145.95(-3.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-68	-20	-52	-115	0	44%	-0.87	-56.2	6.43%	0	-1.2	31	0
15	Sep_22_2008	248.49	180.19	157.74	155.61	154.61	157.24	151.2(-3.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-17	100	11	-102	0	44%	-0.87	-54.6	6.48%	0	-1.1	31	0

16	Sep_19_2008	250.68	183.11	160.73	156.87	155.53	154.88	156.45(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-22	-50	9	-113	0.01	44%	-0.77	-58	6.49%	0	-1	32	0
17	Sep_18_2008	252.62	186.01	163.38	160.23	156.98	151.99	156.45(6.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-76	-280	-54	-142	0.01	41%	-0.81	-57.9	6.49%	0	-1.2	33	0
18	Sep_17_2008	254.69	188.75	167.61	161.39	161.18	156.19	147(-11.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-71	-220	-48	-139	0.01	41%	-0.86	-61.7	6.57%	0	-1.7	30	0
19	Sep_16_2008	256.91	192.47	173.76	161.6	162	161.96	166.95(6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-53	10	-27	-129	0.01	44%	-0.88	-65.7	6.43%	0	-1.1	37	0
20	Sep_15_2008	259.19	195.49	178.19	160.13	161.47	166.16	157.5(-9.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-16	230	17	-115	0.01	44%	-1	-65.2	6.41%	0	-1.6	30	0

21	Sep_12_2008	261.81	199.16	183.97	165.17	162.65	162.03	173.25(6.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-21	-70	8	-106	0.01	43%	-0.64	-65.9	6.33%	0	-1.1	37	0
22	Sep_11_2008	263.49	201.95	187.83	167.48	168.82	156.78	162.23(9.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-118	-480	-109	-145	0.01	40%	-0.66	-63.4	6.51%	0	-1.7	29	0
23	Sep_10_2008	265.25	205.39	192.82	175.35	178.56	163.28	148.05(-7.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-205	-540	-216	-171	0.01	36%	-0.77	-53.4	6.41%	0	-2.7	21	0
24	Sep_9_2008	267.31	209.23	199.04	187.74	191.1	180.85	159.6(-12.64%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.7	-158	-320	-168	-128	0.01	38%	-0.83	-46.7	6.37%	0	-2.9	22	0
25	Sep_8_2008	269.56	212.28	204.94	198.66	201.4	193.85	182.7(-1.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-95	-220	-99	-81	0.01	42%		-37.3	6.2%	0	-2.4	25	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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