Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 11, 2007

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $671.6000 (6.78%) ($630.0000 - $701.4000) on Tue. Dec. 11, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.34% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $671.6000(6.78%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX advances 2.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX advances 14.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PCY(18%)    EEM(15%)    EWY(15%)    IWM(15%)    VWO(15%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -3.67% in a week (0% probabilities).
LQD(-9%)    SHY(-8%)    TLT(-7%)    TIP(-1%)    GLD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.67% (StdDev 7.34%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $633.07(6.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $621.24(8.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $579.69(15.86%)
To recent high   -43.6%
To recent low   51.6%
Market Cap   $37.262b

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 13.92% (three month std-dev: 7.34%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080111

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_11_2007	977.97	579.69	621.24	633.07	633.45	642.42	671.6(6.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	154	100	147	175	0.01	46%	-0.75	-35.6	7.34%	0	1.1	69	NAN
2	Dec_10_2007	985.32	579.19	603.48	619.5	617.99	631.05	628.95(-1.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	93	140	76	144	0.01	46%	-0.79	-47.6	7.28%	0	0.6	70	NAN
3	Dec_7_2007	993.16	582.87	590.29	619.5	611.17	624.49	641.55(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	155	140	154	158	0.01	45%	-0.78	-52	7.28%	0	0.7	56	NAN
4	Dec_6_2007	1000.92	590.26	571.22	613.83	606.38	604.93	633.15(7.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	-50	-0	76	0.01	46%	-0.8	-44.2	7.29%	0	0.4	54	NAN
5	Dec_5_2007	1008.99	598.69	553.41	626.22	616.88	597.84	590.1(-2.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-34	-260	-58	38	0.01	44%	-0.87	-37.6	7.23%	0	-0.1	49	NAN

6	Dec_4_2007	1017.8	609.87	544.01	606.69	616.42	607.82	603.75(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-55	-50	-70	-9	0.01	45%	-0.85	-37.8	7.23%	0	-0	48	NAN
7	Dec_3_2007	1026.55	620.7	530.12	583.38	589.18	635.91	600.6(-6.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	174	590	214	55	0.01	45%	-0.86	-39.1	7.24%	0	-0.2	47	NAN
8	Nov_30_2007	1035.49	631.8	528.29	561.12	558.34	625.01	641.55(-7.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	646	820	779	246	0.02	45%	-0.85	-39.8	7.21%	0	0.1	46	NAN
9	Nov_29_2007	1044.32	638.35	523.1	521.43	513.71	542.46	695.1(41.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	427	350	537	95	0.02	46%	-0.8	-45.6	7.16%	0	0.4	43	NAN
10	Nov_28_2007	1052.74	644.43	515.16	472.71	477.09	491.66	492.45(1.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	22	240	100	-214	0.01	34%	-0.99	-50.5	4.85%	0	-1	20	NAN

11	Nov_27_2007	1063.25	660.59	532	473.34	471.91	484.97	487.2(-0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	143	180	248	-174	0.01	34%	-1.01	-51.8	4.85%	0	-1.2	19	NAN
12	Nov_26_2007	1074.09	677.64	550.77	468.93	469.88	462.53	489.3(10.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-117	-100	-51	-314	0.01	34%	-0.96	-54.8	4.84%	0	-1.3	18	NAN
13	Nov_23_2007	1084.46	693.64	573.34	490.77	481.23	458.85	443.1(-1.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-488	-380	-486	-495	0	29%	-1	-55.8	4.62%	0	-1.8	9	NAN
14	Nov_21_2007	1095.41	712.05	610.4	524.58	521.19	477.23	451.5(-8.9%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-564	-610	-585	-499	0.01	29%	-0.89	-60.4	4.59%	0	-2	18	NAN
15	Nov_20_2007	1105.3	730.98	648.3	564.06	562.01	503.61	495.6(6.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-907	-740	-998	-632	0.01	31%	-0.84	-64.5	4.5%	0	-2	18	NAN

16	Nov_19_2007	1114.63	748.83	682.56	599.55	605.19	565.16	465.15(-22.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-839	-430	-928	-572	0.02	28%	-0.83	-68.7	4.4%	0	-2.7	17	NAN
17	Nov_16_2007	1123.93	769.31	721.55	643.23	644.62	620.42	598.5(-2.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-568	-260	-611	-439	0.01	31%	-0.67	-79.4	3.56%	0	-2.1	23	NAN
18	Nov_15_2007	1131.56	783.22	746.33	668.22	673.3	645.23	612.15(-5.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-574	-270	-629	-410	0.01	31%	-0.63	-81.3	3.59%	0	-2.2	29	NAN
19	Nov_14_2007	1138.74	799.25	765.29	710.01	705.26	668.83	648.9(-3.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-728	-380	-822	-445	0.01	33%	-0.6	-78.3	3.55%	0	-2.1	34	NAN
20	Nov_13_2007	1145.58	813.63	785.43	746.55	744.97	701.38	673.05(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-806	-420	-927	-442	0.01	34%	-0.58	-73.6	3.53%	0	-2.1	34	NAN

21	Nov_12_2007	1152.26	827.2	800.65	779.31	784.02	741.69	683.55(-5.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-793	-360	-921	-407	0.01	34%	-0.58	-69.8	3.53%	0	-2.3	32	NAN
22	Nov_9_2007	1158.96	840.47	815.86	811.23	811.72	788.55	723.45(-11.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-605	-200	-709	-291	0.01	35%	-0.49	-63.2	3.49%	0	-2	34	NAN
23	Nov_8_2007	1164.65	851.85	824.62	834.96	829.3	826.35	821.1(-1.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-105	-50	-126	-42	0.01	42%	-0.41	-53.7	3.22%	0	-0.5	42	NAN
24	Nov_7_2007	1169.45	859.69	821.95	828.45	829.11	834.88	831.6(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	62	50	81	6	0	44%	-0.43	-52.3	3.33%	0	-0.4	35	NAN
25	Nov_6_2007	1174.46	866.66	819.63	830.76	824.32	832.26	836.85(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	125	40	161	17	0.01	43%		-44.6	3.38%	0	-0.4	35	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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