Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 25, 2007

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $790.6500 (-2.21%) ($772.8000 - $820.0500) on Thu. Oct. 25, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.16% (three month average)
RSI   23
Latest Price   $790.6500(-2.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX declines -3.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX declines -7.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PCY(18%)    EEM(15%)    EWY(15%)    IWM(15%)    VWO(15%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -1.58% in a week (0% probabilities).
LQD(-9%)    SHY(-8%)    TLT(-7%)    TIP(-2%)    GLD(3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.58% (StdDev 3.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.1%

Resistance Level   $922.53
5 Day Moving Average   $830.34(-4.78%)
10 Day Moving Average   $880.9(-10.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $922.53(-14.3%)
To recent high   -42.1%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $43.868b

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 6.66% (three month std-dev: 3.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 1.56%(60%) Average negative next day return: -10.03%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 7.15%(80%) Average negative next three day return: -4.67%(20%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 4.44%(80%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.67%(20%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_25_2007	1215.23	922.53	880.9	830.34	828.65	807.98	790.65(-2.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-554	-180	-608	-390	0.01	37%	-0.47	-56.3	3.16%	0	-2.1	23	0
2	Oct_24_2007	1221	933.19	900.75	857.64	852.99	830.55	808.5(-3.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-523	-200	-581	-349	0	37%	-0.47	-58.3	3.16%	0	-2.3	22	0
3	Oct_23_2007	1226.8	939.29	918.27	882.42	881.02	849.32	834.75(-1.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-583	-260	-662	-346	0.01	37%	-0.45	-77.9	3.15%	0	-2.3	40	0
4	Oct_22_2007	1232.37	943.43	934.46	903.63	905.43	875.44	851.55(-1.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-706	-230	-816	-375	0.01	37%	-0.44	-100.9	3.14%	0	-2.3	40	0
5	Oct_19_2007	1237.87	949.57	944.57	922.11	927.34	912.71	866.25(-6.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-434	-90	-501	-233	0.01	37%	-0.44	-104.6	3.14%	0	-2.1	37	0

6	Oct_18_2007	1243.4	958.44	954.47	938.49	940.79	935.42	927.15(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-190	-30	-216	-112	0.01	40%	-0.45	-97.9	3.06%	0	-0.7	38	0
7	Oct_17_2007	1249.06	965.37	959.53	950.67	951.1	941.97	932.4(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-159	-70	-182	-88	0	40%	-0.46	-69.7	3.06%	0	-0.5	41	0
8	Oct_16_2007	1254.77	976.51	959.01	960.12	962.06	946.17	940.8(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-303	-110	-355	-146	0	40%	-0.25	-58.7	3.06%	0	-0.5	56	0
9	Oct_15_2007	1257.97	985.43	958.84	970.62	974.14	960.23	943.95(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-280	-90	-333	-119	0	40%	-0.43	-56.7	3.06%	0	-0.6	58	0
10	Oct_12_2007	1263.46	992.59	961.24	970.41	978.6	977.94	948.15(-4.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-82	20	-101	-26	0.01	40%	-0.43	-59.1	3.07%	0	-0.6	50	0

11	Oct_11_2007	1268.96	1001.29	967.1	972.09	971.97	988.05	988.05(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	159	120	184	84	0.01	41%	-0.42	-58.3	3.04%	0	-0.2	45	0
12	Oct_10_2007	1274.27	1009.22	967.29	969.78	968.1	979.26	979.65(-1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	425	80	502	194	0.01	41%	-0.43	-59.6	3.03%	0	-0.3	41	0
13	Oct_9_2007	1279.72	1017.91	961.07	957.81	957.14	955.89	993.3(5.35%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	62	-10	92	-30	0.01	43%	-0.4	-61.6	3.03%	0	-0.3	36	0
14	Oct_8_2007	1284.8	1027.11	952.03	946.05	946.9	956.94	942.9(-1.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-65	80	-40	-139	0	40%	-0.45	-63.8	2.97%	0	-0.8	35	0
15	Oct_5_2007	1290.59	1039.23	954.3	950.88	948.08	958.39	956.55(-2.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	261	70	348	-2	0.01	44%	-0.46	-62.1	2.97%	0	-0.8	40	0

16	Oct_4_2007	1296.53	1051.25	962.1	961.59	948.74	936.86	976.5(6.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-127	-130	-108	-183	0.01	44%	-0.45	-57.3	3.11%	0	-0.7	39	0
17	Oct_3_2007	1302.41	1064.41	970.6	965.37	958.12	937.78	919.8(-1.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-411	-170	-438	-331	0.01	40%	-0.51	-53.7	3.02%	0	-1.3	32	0
18	Oct_2_2007	1309.14	1079.5	994.56	964.11	964.23	960.62	934.5(-3.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-201	-30	-190	-232	0.01	42%	-0.52	-54.1	3.02%	0	-1.3	32	0
19	Oct_1_2007	1316.01	1095.08	1013.64	957.39	954.06	978.47	967.04(-4.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	217	170	306	-49	0.01	43%	-0.5	-56.8	3.02%	0	-1.2	32	0
20	Sep_28_2007	1322.63	1107.61	1026.11	957.18	941	967.84	1010.1(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	477	150	616	58	0.02	47%	-0.44	-59.2	3.01%	0	-0.9	34	0

21	Sep_27_2007	1328.49	1117.63	1037.43	963.9	942.38	929.64	995.4(8.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-53	-160	-5	-196	0.02	47%	-0.35	-59.4	3.02%	0	-1.2	32	0
22	Sep_26_2007	1333.15	1128.02	1053.4	979.65	967.64	914.16	913.5(1.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-1140	-420	-1279	-722	0.02	42%	-0.42	-60.6	2.78%	0	-2.1	18	0
23	Sep_25_2007	1338.8	1143.24	1079.3	1031.52	1014.56	955.11	900.9(-6.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.5	-1628	-460	-1865	-917	0.01	42%	-0.46	-57.2	2.76%	0	-2.7	21	0
24	Sep_24_2007	1344.93	1160.21	1109.53	1077.51	1073.23	1021.13	966(-7.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.6	-1183	-350	-1350	-680	0.02	46%	-0.43	-58.3	2.65%	0	-2.8	23	0
25	Sep_21_2007	1350.7	1174.19	1133.1	1102.92	1102.76	1074.02	1043.7(-2.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-1015	-180	-1158	-584	0.02	53%		-64	2.58%	0	-2.4	33	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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