Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 3, 2007

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $919.8000 (-1.57%) ($906.1500 - $940.8000) on Wed. Oct. 3, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.02% (three month average)
RSI   32
Latest Price   $919.8000(-1.57%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX declines -7.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(15%)    EWY(15%)    IWM(15%)    VWO(15%)    EWG(14%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -1.51% in a week (0% probabilities).
LQD(-9%)    SHY(-8%)    TLT(-7%)    TIP(-1%)    GLD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.51% (StdDev 3.02%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.8%

Resistance Level   $1064.41
5 Day Moving Average   $965.37(-4.72%)
10 Day Moving Average   $970.6(-5.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1064.41(-13.59%)
To recent high   -41%
To recent low   2.1%
Market Cap   $51.033b

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 10.5% (three month std-dev: 3.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 5.06%(33%) Average negative next day return: -2.92%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.55%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 16.74%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.76%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20071103

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_3_2007	1302.41	1064.41	970.6	965.37	958.12	937.78	919.8(-1.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-411	-170	-438	-331	0.01	40%	-0.51	-53.7	3.02%	0	-1.3	32	NAN
2	Oct_2_2007	1309.14	1079.5	994.56	964.11	964.23	960.62	934.5(-3.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-201	-30	-190	-232	0.01	42%	-0.52	-54.1	3.02%	0	-1.3	32	NAN
3	Oct_1_2007	1316.01	1095.08	1013.64	957.39	954.06	978.47	967.04(-4.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	217	170	306	-49	0.01	43%	-0.5	-56.8	3.02%	0	-1.2	32	NAN
4	Sep_28_2007	1322.63	1107.61	1026.11	957.18	941	967.84	1010.1(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	477	150	616	58	0.02	47%	-0.44	-59.2	3.01%	0	-0.9	34	NAN
5	Sep_27_2007	1328.49	1117.63	1037.43	963.9	942.38	929.64	995.4(8.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-53	-160	-5	-196	0.02	47%	-0.35	-59.4	3.02%	0	-1.2	32	NAN

6	Sep_26_2007	1333.15	1128.02	1053.4	979.65	967.64	914.16	913.5(1.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-1140	-420	-1279	-722	0.02	42%	-0.42	-60.6	2.78%	0	-2.1	18	NAN
7	Sep_25_2007	1338.8	1143.24	1079.3	1031.52	1014.56	955.11	900.9(-6.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.5	-1628	-460	-1865	-917	0.01	42%	-0.46	-57.2	2.76%	0	-2.7	21	NAN
8	Sep_24_2007	1344.93	1160.21	1109.53	1077.51	1073.23	1021.13	966(-7.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.6	-1183	-350	-1350	-680	0.02	46%	-0.43	-58.3	2.65%	0	-2.8	23	NAN
9	Sep_21_2007	1350.7	1174.19	1133.1	1102.92	1102.76	1074.02	1043.7(-2.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-1015	-180	-1158	-584	0.02	53%	-0.38	-64	2.58%	0	-2.4	33	NAN
10	Sep_20_2007	1355.81	1183.98	1149.51	1120.35	1115.76	1125.34	1074.15(-8.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-251	50	-264	-212	0.01	53%	-0.36	-65.7	2.56%	0	-2.3	36	NAN

11	Sep_19_2007	1360.69	1193.44	1167.1	1137.78	1126.98	1131.51	1172.85(3.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	433	-0	534	128	0.01	59%	-0.26	-66.6	2.36%	0	-0.5	47	NAN
12	Sep_18_2007	1364.19	1196.84	1171.24	1136.31	1127.31	1106.18	1130.85(3.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-498	-150	-560	-311	0.01	57%	-0.32	-73.7	2.32%	0	-1.5	40	NAN
13	Sep_17_2007	1368.51	1202.81	1182.5	1148.49	1142.8	1122.45	1093.05(-3.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-755	-140	-867	-417	0.01	55%	-0.36	-77.9	2.27%	0	-2.7	30	NAN
14	Sep_14_2007	1373.44	1210.67	1195.41	1168.23	1163.93	1148.44	1130.85(-2.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-458	-100	-524	-261	0	58%	-0.33	-96.7	2.25%	0	-2.5	32	NAN
15	Sep_13_2007	1377.97	1215.56	1203.87	1182.72	1177.9	1163.15	1161.3(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-518	-100	-598	-278	0	60%	-0.31	-128.3	2.23%	0	-2	36	NAN

16	Sep_12_2007	1382.3	1221.91	1207.96	1200.57	1194.22	1179.43	1165.5(-2.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-443	-100	-512	-235	0.01	60%	-0.31	-114.9	2.23%	0	-2	32	NAN
17	Sep_11_2007	1386.62	1229.22	1211.94	1211.41	1209.65	1192.66	1191.75(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-455	-100	-527	-237	0	60%	-0.3	-87.4	2.22%	0	-1.2	40	NAN
18	Sep_10_2007	1390.79	1235.61	1214.84	1222.12	1220.78	1209.02	1191.75(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-435	-70	-506	-221	0	60%	-0.29	-55.5	2.22%	0	-1.2	39	NAN
19	Sep_7_2007	1394.9	1243.02	1218.75	1226.53	1228.6	1226.64	1203.3(-3.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-112	-10	-127	-67	0.01	60%	-0.28	-36.7	2.21%	0	-1	43	NAN
20	Sep_6_2007	1398.84	1250.72	1221.45	1227.58	1228.09	1232.54	1250.55(2.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	61	30	75	17	0	64%	-0.27	-26.9	2.18%	0	-0	57	NAN

21	Sep_5_2007	1402.68	1254.79	1221.47	1216.66	1226.57	1230.55	1219.72(-2.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	237	50	289	81	0	62%	-0.31	-28.5	2.16%	0	-0.7	36	NAN
22	Sep_4_2007	1407.05	1257.1	1223.63	1212.54	1217.54	1223.64	1245.3(2.6%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	78	50	108	-11	0.01	62%	-0.54	-36.3	2.14%	0	-0.2	35	NAN
23	Aug_31_2007	1414.75	1255.9	1223.35	1207.29	1211.9	1222.59	1213.8(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	189	70	245	19	0	55%	-0.35	-48.3	2.1%	0	-0.8	26	NAN
24	Aug_30_2007	1419.65	1258.55	1226.05	1210.44	1213.14	1211.44	1208.55(1.05%)	RB	SmallLong	20	-0	171	-0	229	-2	0.01	55%	-0.33	-49.6	2.18%	0	-1	22	NAN
25	Aug_29_2007	1424.39	1263.73	1227.5	1214.64	1213.34	1201.2	1195.95(-0.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-432	-70	-474	-307	0	55%		-50.9	2.18%	0	-1.4	17	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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