Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 29, 2007

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $1781.8500 (5.08%) ($1704.1500 - $1785.0000) on Thu. Mar. 29, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.75% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $1781.8500(5.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX advances 3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(15%)    EWY(15%)    IWM(15%)    VWO(15%)    PEJ(14%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -1.375% in a week (0% probabilities).
LQD(-8%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-1%)    GLD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.375% (StdDev 2.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $1716.96(3.78%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1678.45(6.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1645.85(8.26%)
To recent high   -4.9%
To recent low   19.3%
Market Cap   $98.862b

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 3.22% (three month std-dev: 2.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_29_2007	1735.33	1645.85	1678.45	1716.96	1713.86	1727.12	1781.85(5.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	550	50	627	319	0.02	51%	-0.03	-12.1	2.75%	0	2.6	70	NAN
2	Mar_28_2007	1735.93	1639.67	1661.63	1700.37	1701.85	1700.21	1695.75(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	70	-0	65	83	0.01	47%	-0	-36.3	2.72%	0	1.2	61	NAN
3	Mar_27_2007	1736	1641.05	1652.12	1692.18	1695.62	1700.61	1688.4(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	85	30	85	85	0	47%	0.05	-41.6	2.73%	0	0.9	65	NAN
4	Mar_26_2007	1735.21	1642.49	1643.89	1679.58	1683.61	1703.49	1707.3(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	438	90	502	244	0.01	47%	0.06	-37.7	2.72%	0	1	69	NAN
5	Mar_23_2007	1734.19	1648.58	1636.86	1657.53	1660.38	1690.63	1711.5(0.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	680	130	788	354	0	47%	0.07	-34.4	2.73%	0	0.8	76	NAN

6	Mar_22_2007	1733	1652.32	1627.8	1633.59	1634.52	1663.73	1698.9(2.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	698	130	814	348	0.01	47%	0.01	-32.9	2.75%	0	0.6	58	NAN
7	Mar_21_2007	1732.83	1657.43	1620.07	1618.05	1616.54	1630.13	1654.8(1.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	504	60	591	241	0.01	47%	-0.06	-29	2.73%	0	-0	46	NAN
8	Mar_20_2007	1733.93	1662.48	1614.76	1606.92	1604.6	1605.32	1625.4(1.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	108	-0	133	33	0.01	47%	-0.05	-29.1	2.73%	0	-0.4	36	NAN
9	Mar_19_2007	1734.74	1668.43	1612.27	1603.14	1596.59	1602.96	1597.05(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-80	20	-82	-72	0.01	47%	-0.09	-26.8	2.72%	0	-0.8	33	NAN
10	Mar_16_2007	1736.29	1674.96	1608.35	1612.8	1602.1	1603.88	1591.8(-1.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	110	-10	150	-10	0.01	47%	-0.13	-24.8	2.71%	0	-1	24	NAN

11	Mar_15_2007	1738.62	1679.83	1611.54	1620.36	1610.97	1590.23	1621.2(1.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-284	-110	-308	-210	0	47%	-0.09	-27.3	2.72%	0	-0.7	33	NAN
12	Mar_14_2007	1740.16	1682.44	1616.43	1622.25	1621.99	1600.33	1599.15(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-634	-90	-715	-389	0.01	47%	-0.12	-33.3	2.74%	0	-1	29	NAN
13	Mar_13_2007	1742.28	1688.1	1629.59	1623.3	1634.92	1631.71	1606.5(-2.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-212	10	-219	-192	0.01	47%	-0.03	-38.2	2.79%	0	-1	37	NAN
14	Mar_12_2007	1742.87	1692.51	1641.48	1622.04	1635.45	1643.66	1645.35(0.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	182	60	246	-11	0	47%	-0.05	-46.5	2.77%	0	-0.6	42	NAN
15	Mar_9_2007	1743.7	1696.82	1660.74	1602.93	1622.71	1638.13	1629.6(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	324	100	413	56	0.01	47%	-0.09	-57	2.77%	0	-0.9	43	NAN

16	Mar_8_2007	1745.33	1703.27	1677.78	1601.67	1602.76	1627.24	1630.65(1.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	245	110	317	30	0.01	47%	-0.08	-59.5	2.79%	0	-0.9	48	NAN
17	Mar_7_2007	1746.79	1710.77	1696.34	1611.12	1606.17	1607.29	1604.4(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	271	-0	340	62	0.01	47%	-0.13	-53.9	2.79%	0	-1.4	48	NAN
18	Mar_6_2007	1749	1719.72	1713.06	1638.42	1621.76	1578.28	1600.2(3.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-749	-220	-866	-396	0.01	47%	-0.17	-44.1	2.81%	0	-1.6	44	NAN
19	Mar_5_2007	1751.95	1730.08	1729	1664.88	1657.2	1605.06	1549.8(-4.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-1387	-230	-1624	-676	0.01	43%	-0.08	-29.8	2.77%	0	-2.5	42	NAN
20	Mar_2_2007	1753.43	1742.9	1748.74	1726.83	1704.45	1665.25	1623.3(-3.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-1166	-200	-1376	-534	0.01	47%	0.06	-0.9	2.7%	0	-2	43	NAN

21	Mar_1_2007	1752.45	1750.81	1756.56	1764.21	1753.34	1709.35	1677.9(-3.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-882	-190	-1048	-384	0.01	51%	0.07	28.1	2.69%	0	-1.4	44	NAN
22	Feb_28_2007	1751.2	1753.64	1757.05	1793.4	1789.07	1743.66	1740.9(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-981	-180	-1167	-424	0.01	61%	0.11	45.6	2.72%	0	-0.3	46	NAN
23	Feb_27_2007	1749.26	1753.12	1754.04	1798.44	1805.21	1797.34	1732.5(-6.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-597	-20	-714	-246	0.01	61%	0.17	35	2.72%	0	-0.4	46	NAN
24	Feb_26_2007	1746.35	1751.51	1750.1	1801.59	1807.9	1834.48	1859.55(2.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	590	110	685	304	0.01	71%	0.33	29.5	2.59%	0	2.1	54	NAN
25	Feb_23_2007	1740.68	1743.44	1735.88	1774.5	1785.46	1813.09	1810.2(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	835	130	982	395	0.01	69%		23	2.57%	0	1.5	50	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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