Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Mar. 9, 2007

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $1629.6000 (-0.06%) ($1621.2000 - $1669.5000) on Fri. Mar. 9, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.77% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $1629.6000(-0.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX declines -5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(15%)    EWY(15%)    IWM(15%)    VWO(15%)    EWG(14%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -1.385% in a week (0% probabilities).
LQD(-8%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-1%)    GLD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.385% (StdDev 2.77%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

Resistance Level   $1696.82
5 Day Moving Average   $1602.93(1.66%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1660.74(-1.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1696.82(-3.96%)
To recent high   -13.1%
To recent low   9.1%
Market Cap   $90.415b

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 4.63% (three month std-dev: 2.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.18%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.05%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 4.03%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_9_2007	1743.7	1696.82	1660.74	1602.93	1622.71	1638.13	1629.6(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	324	100	413	56	0.01	47%	-0.09	-57	2.77%	0	-0.9	43	NAN
2	Mar_8_2007	1745.33	1703.27	1677.78	1601.67	1602.76	1627.24	1630.65(1.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	245	110	317	30	0.01	47%	-0.08	-59.5	2.79%	0	-0.9	48	NAN
3	Mar_7_2007	1746.79	1710.77	1696.34	1611.12	1606.17	1607.29	1604.4(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	271	-0	340	62	0.01	47%	-0.13	-53.9	2.79%	0	-1.4	48	NAN
4	Mar_6_2007	1749	1719.72	1713.06	1638.42	1621.76	1578.28	1600.2(3.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-749	-220	-866	-396	0.01	47%	-0.17	-44.1	2.81%	0	-1.6	44	NAN
5	Mar_5_2007	1751.95	1730.08	1729	1664.88	1657.2	1605.06	1549.8(-4.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-1387	-230	-1624	-676	0.01	43%	-0.08	-29.8	2.77%	0	-2.5	42	NAN

6	Mar_2_2007	1753.43	1742.9	1748.74	1726.83	1704.45	1665.25	1623.3(-3.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-1166	-200	-1376	-534	0.01	47%	0.06	-0.9	2.7%	0	-2	43	NAN
7	Mar_1_2007	1752.45	1750.81	1756.56	1764.21	1753.34	1709.35	1677.9(-3.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-882	-190	-1048	-384	0.01	51%	0.07	28.1	2.69%	0	-1.4	44	NAN
8	Feb_28_2007	1751.2	1753.64	1757.05	1793.4	1789.07	1743.66	1740.9(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-981	-180	-1167	-424	0.01	61%	0.11	45.6	2.72%	0	-0.3	46	NAN
9	Feb_27_2007	1749.26	1753.12	1754.04	1798.44	1805.21	1797.34	1732.5(-6.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-597	-20	-714	-246	0.01	61%	0.17	35	2.72%	0	-0.4	46	NAN
10	Feb_26_2007	1746.35	1751.51	1750.1	1801.59	1807.9	1834.48	1859.55(2.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	590	110	685	304	0.01	71%	0.33	29.5	2.59%	0	2.1	54	NAN

11	Feb_23_2007	1740.68	1743.44	1735.88	1774.5	1785.46	1813.09	1810.2(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	835	130	982	395	0.01	69%	0.25	23	2.57%	0	1.5	50	NAN
12	Feb_22_2007	1736.39	1736.4	1729.37	1748.25	1755.27	1781.33	1823.85(3.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	699	120	828	313	0.01	69%	0.27	14.9	2.59%	0	1.9	55	NAN
13	Feb_21_2007	1731.63	1731.48	1723.29	1716.33	1724.17	1757.83	1766.1(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	651	150	776	274	0.01	71%	0.24	6.8	2.56%	0	0.9	56	NAN
14	Feb_20_2007	1727.43	1735.94	1723.39	1703.94	1706.12	1729.22	1748.25(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	744	100	886	316	0.01	71%	0.33	23.5	2.66%	0	0.2	54	NAN
15	Feb_16_2007	1721.69	1736.61	1727.7	1691.13	1692.6	1690.5	1724.1(2.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	112	-10	142	21	0.01	63%	0.13	29.3	2.65%	0	-0.2	56	NAN

16	Feb_15_2007	1719.39	1733.05	1733.89	1692.18	1692.47	1683.02	1678.95(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-353	-40	-407	-189	0.01	68%	0.09	32.4	2.7%	0	-0.9	48	NAN
17	Feb_14_2007	1717.88	1729.66	1743.39	1707.72	1709.01	1694.7	1664.25(-2.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-266	-60	-312	-128	0.01	68%	0.12	41.9	3%	0	-1	53	NAN
18	Feb_13_2007	1715.82	1728.78	1750.48	1730.82	1727.32	1701.92	1704.15(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-486	-110	-575	-220	0.01	68%	0.16	56.1	3%	0	-0.4	47	NAN
19	Feb_12_2007	1713.12	1723.96	1753.52	1745.52	1748.58	1723.31	1684.2(-2.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-607	-100	-715	-281	0.01	68%	0.09	65.7	3.04%	0	-0.6	32	NAN
20	Feb_9_2007	1711.66	1720.99	1755.72	1769.04	1771.15	1752.71	1729.35(-1.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-459	-70	-544	-205	0.01	68%	0.08	79.6	3.03%	0	0.1	48	NAN

21	Feb_8_2007	1710.35	1713.12	1754.19	1781.43	1790.45	1773.84	1756.65(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-268	-50	-323	-102	0.01	72%	0.08	80.2	3.03%	0	0.5	61	NAN
22	Feb_7_2007	1708.97	1702.96	1746.25	1784.16	1796.75	1789.59	1779.75(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-187	-10	-231	-56	0.01	75%	0.11	74	3.19%	0	0.9	66	NAN
23	Feb_6_2007	1707.15	1690.55	1741.48	1772.82	1792.61	1807.05	1777.65(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	202	90	226	130	0.01	75%	0.06	62.1	3.26%	0	0.9	62	NAN
24	Feb_5_2007	1706.12	1678.35	1749.34	1762.53	1773.67	1803.9	1801.8(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	570	140	652	324	0.02	75%	0.08	50.3	3.25%	0	1.2	66	NAN
25	Feb_2_2007	1704.71	1663.11	1744.97	1740.48	1746.76	1778.18	1791.3(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	641	140	735	360	0.01	69%		33.4	3.26%	0	1.3	63	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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