Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 28, 2007

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $1740.9000 (0.48%) ($1706.2500 - $1785.0000) on Wed. Feb. 28, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.72% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $1740.9000(0.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(15%)    EWY(15%)    IWM(15%)    VWO(15%)    EWG(14%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -1.36% in a week (0% probabilities).
LQD(-8%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-2%)    GLD(3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.36% (StdDev 2.72%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

Resistance Level   $1753.64
5 Day Moving Average   $1793.4(-2.93%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1757.05(-0.92%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1753.64(-0.73%)
To recent high   -12.5%
To recent low   16.6%
Market Cap   $96.59b

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 2.81% (three month std-dev: 2.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070328

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_28_2007	1751.2	1753.64	1757.05	1793.4	1789.07	1743.66	1740.9(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-981	-180	-1167	-424	0.01	61%	0.11	45.6	2.72%	0	-0.3	46	NAN
2	Feb_27_2007	1749.26	1753.12	1754.04	1798.44	1805.21	1797.34	1732.5(-6.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-597	-20	-714	-246	0.01	61%	0.17	35	2.72%	0	-0.4	46	NAN
3	Feb_26_2007	1746.35	1751.51	1750.1	1801.59	1807.9	1834.48	1859.55(2.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	590	110	685	304	0.01	71%	0.33	29.5	2.59%	0	2.1	54	NAN
4	Feb_23_2007	1740.68	1743.44	1735.88	1774.5	1785.46	1813.09	1810.2(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	835	130	982	395	0.01	69%	0.25	23	2.57%	0	1.5	50	NAN
5	Feb_22_2007	1736.39	1736.4	1729.37	1748.25	1755.27	1781.33	1823.85(3.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	699	120	828	313	0.01	69%	0.27	14.9	2.59%	0	1.9	55	NAN

6	Feb_21_2007	1731.63	1731.48	1723.29	1716.33	1724.17	1757.83	1766.1(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	651	150	776	274	0.01	71%	0.24	6.8	2.56%	0	0.9	56	NAN
7	Feb_20_2007	1727.43	1735.94	1723.39	1703.94	1706.12	1729.22	1748.25(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	744	100	886	316	0.01	71%	0.33	23.5	2.66%	0	0.2	54	NAN
8	Feb_16_2007	1721.69	1736.61	1727.7	1691.13	1692.6	1690.5	1724.1(2.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	112	-10	142	21	0.01	63%	0.13	29.3	2.65%	0	-0.2	56	NAN
9	Feb_15_2007	1719.39	1733.05	1733.89	1692.18	1692.47	1683.02	1678.95(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-353	-40	-407	-189	0.01	68%	0.09	32.4	2.7%	0	-0.9	48	NAN
10	Feb_14_2007	1717.88	1729.66	1743.39	1707.72	1709.01	1694.7	1664.25(-2.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-266	-60	-312	-128	0.01	68%	0.12	41.9	3%	0	-1	53	NAN

11	Feb_13_2007	1715.82	1728.78	1750.48	1730.82	1727.32	1701.92	1704.15(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-486	-110	-575	-220	0.01	68%	0.16	56.1	3%	0	-0.4	47	NAN
12	Feb_12_2007	1713.12	1723.96	1753.52	1745.52	1748.58	1723.31	1684.2(-2.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-607	-100	-715	-281	0.01	68%	0.09	65.7	3.04%	0	-0.6	32	NAN
13	Feb_9_2007	1711.66	1720.99	1755.72	1769.04	1771.15	1752.71	1729.35(-1.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-459	-70	-544	-205	0.01	68%	0.08	79.6	3.03%	0	0.1	48	NAN
14	Feb_8_2007	1710.35	1713.12	1754.19	1781.43	1790.45	1773.84	1756.65(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-268	-50	-323	-102	0.01	72%	0.08	80.2	3.03%	0	0.5	61	NAN
15	Feb_7_2007	1708.97	1702.96	1746.25	1784.16	1796.75	1789.59	1779.75(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-187	-10	-231	-56	0.01	75%	0.11	74	3.19%	0	0.9	66	NAN

16	Feb_6_2007	1707.15	1690.55	1741.48	1772.82	1792.61	1807.05	1777.65(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	202	90	226	130	0.01	75%	0.06	62.1	3.26%	0	0.9	62	NAN
17	Feb_5_2007	1706.12	1678.35	1749.34	1762.53	1773.67	1803.9	1801.8(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	570	140	652	324	0.02	75%	0.08	50.3	3.25%	0	1.2	66	NAN
18	Feb_2_2007	1704.71	1663.11	1744.97	1740.48	1746.76	1778.18	1791.3(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	641	140	735	360	0.01	69%	0.06	33.4	3.26%	0	1.3	63	NAN
19	Feb_1_2007	1703.61	1649.18	1730.43	1723.47	1725.43	1743.43	1770.3(2.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	536	80	611	310	0.01	69%	0.02	20.3	3.32%	0	1.2	66	NAN
20	Jan_31_2007	1703.29	1639.04	1713.28	1703.31	1705.42	1715.35	1723.05(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	122	40	126	110	0.01	69%	0.04	8.3	3.35%	0	0.9	65	NAN

21	Jan_30_2007	1702.54	1633.27	1704.53	1705.83	1704.41	1707.43	1726.2(2.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-40	10	-68	45	0.01	69%	0.07	3.3	3.38%	0	0.9	66	NAN
22	Jan_29_2007	1701.4	1630.12	1691.81	1735.44	1730.79	1695.49	1691.55(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-384	-150	-481	-92	0.01	69%	-0.01	7.8	3.38%	0	0.6	64	NAN
23	Jan_26_2007	1701.59	1629.83	1684.29	1750.35	1774.63	1701.39	1706.25(2.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-839	-250	-1024	-285	0.02	69%	-0	9.7	3.41%	0	0.8	68	NAN
24	Jan_25_2007	1701.67	1628.9	1670.2	1737.33	1783.69	1766.1	1669.5(-3.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-789	10	-965	-262	0.02	69%	-0.07	3.7	3.42%	0	0.4	64	NAN
25	Jan_24_2007	1702.93	1630.87	1658.58	1721.37	1758.04	1847.87	1735.65(-7.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	1006	420	1150	575	0.05	76%		-4.2	3.39%	0	1.1	62	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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