Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 5, 2006

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $1946.7000 (0.49%) ($1916.2500 - $1990.8000) on Tue. Dec. 5, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.39% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $1946.7000(0.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(16%)    EEM(15%)    EWY(15%)    SPY(15%)    VWO(15%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -2.195% in a week (0% probabilities).
LQD(-8%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-1%)    GLD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.195% (StdDev 4.39%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $1957.2(-0.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1931.19(0.8%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1892.13(2.88%)
To recent high   -2.8%
To recent low   47.4%
Market Cap   $108.009b

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 3.76% (three month std-dev: 4.39%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070105

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_5_2006	1785.91	1892.13	1931.19	1957.2	1954.44	1942.63	1946.7(0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-50	-5	24	0.01	65%	-0.19	107.7	4.39%	0	0.8	60	0
2	Dec_4_2006	1789.36	1876.55	1920.89	1940.61	1948.34	1947.09	1937.25(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-88	10	-110	-20	0.01	65%	-0.22	74.4	4.4%	0	0.7	63	0
3	Dec_1_2006	1793.28	1861.22	1914.92	1929.48	1932.98	1966.26	1948.8(-2.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	240	130	276	131	0.01	65%	-0.19	55.7	4.43%	0	0.8	56	0
4	Nov_30_2006	1796.77	1844.5	1909.5	1922.55	1920.25	1949.59	1989.75(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	568	100	662	286	0.02	65%	-0.23	40.4	4.39%	0	1.2	58	0
5	Nov_29_2006	1800.93	1829.11	1908.93	1907.64	1907.06	1899.71	1963.5(5.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	115	-30	128	77	0.02	65%	-0.27	34.1	4.39%	0	1.1	59	0

6	Nov_28_2006	1805.82	1818.4	1894.87	1903.44	1903.12	1890.91	1863.75(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-390	-50	-468	-154	0.01	64%	-0.38	32.8	4.35%	0	0.4	63	0
7	Nov_27_2006	1812.76	1810.65	1887.99	1897.98	1931.99	1914.4	1881.6(-1.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	68	-10	67	70	0.01	64%	-0.4	33	4.35%	0	0.6	69	0
8	Nov_24_2006	1820.11	1803.64	1886.02	1896.72	1920.78	1915.33	1914.15(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-272	20	-338	-74	0	62%	-0.84	34	4.37%	0	1	71	0
9	Nov_22_2006	1835.57	1797.85	1880.91	1893.36	1913.07	1949.59	1915.2(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	144	160	145	139	0.01	64%	0.04	36.4	4.38%	0	1.1	71	0
10	Nov_21_2006	1834.76	1789.87	1873.22	1911	1930.27	1926.23	1942.5(5.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	590	20	664	366	0.04	64%	-0.35	42.9	4.49%	0	1.4	65	0

11	Nov_20_2006	1841.15	1781.8	1850.09	1886.64	1914.49	1876.56	1836.45(-2.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-456	-90	-563	-136	0.02	62%	-0.32	37	4.45%	0	0.5	55	0
12	Nov_17_2006	1847.12	1773.35	1830.19	1875.3	1902.21	1934.31	1875.3(-1.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-49	160	-81	47	0.02	64%	-0.21	24.5	4.54%	0	1	60	0
13	Nov_16_2006	1851.03	1765.42	1805.25	1871.94	1884.45	1952.41	1897.35(-5.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	932	270	1076	501	0.03	65%	-0.17	25.9	4.53%	0	1.3	58	0
14	Nov_15_2006	1854.14	1758.9	1776.12	1865.43	1859.32	1870.12	2003.4(10.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	570	30	654	316	0.05	68%	-0.09	38	4.54%	0	2.6	58	0
15	Nov_14_2006	1855.77	1745.7	1742.11	1832.46	1850.85	1816.5	1820.7(2.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-214	-100	-263	-68	0.02	62%	-0.26	46.6	4.39%	0	1	53	0

16	Nov_13_2006	1860.59	1744.58	1734.69	1808.94	1836.87	1848.53	1779.75(-4.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-126	90	-155	-39	0.02	62%	-0.32	51.4	4.47%	0	0.4	49	0
17	Nov_10_2006	1866.52	1748.7	1726.71	1775.55	1800.06	1885.2	1858.5(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	968	370	1135	466	0.01	62%	-0.28	63.7	4.45%	0	1.3	62	0
18	Nov_9_2006	1871.72	1739.98	1713.42	1725.99	1733.64	1825.22	1864.8(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	1452	380	1711	676	0.03	62%	-0.2	62	4.46%	0	1.4	58	0
19	Nov_8_2006	1875.52	1723.62	1705.42	1672.65	1665.3	1714.91	1838.55(7.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	862	200	1023	380	0.03	62%	-0.19	51	4.48%	0	1.2	52	0
20	Nov_7_2006	1879.12	1709.86	1696.09	1641.57	1635.25	1642.07	1703.1(5.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	177	20	221	44	0.01	60%	-0.29	50.4	4.37%	0	-0.1	47	0

21	Nov_6_2006	1884.57	1703.37	1704.81	1652.7	1646.6	1615.69	1612.8(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-328	-140	-374	-191	0.01	59%	-0.3	56	4.33%	0	-0.8	38	0
22	Nov_3_2006	1890.18	1697.36	1711.37	1670.76	1678.63	1628.43	1610.7(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-635	-200	-733	-342	0.01	56%	-0.35	50.4	4.38%	0	-0.7	34	0
23	Nov_2_2006	1896.75	1685.33	1723.86	1697.43	1702.79	1677.52	1598.1(-5.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-676	-90	-785	-350	0.01	56%	-0.36	47.4	4.38%	0	-0.6	48	0
24	Nov_1_2006	1903.67	1677.5	1743.5	1740.48	1730.21	1728.83	1683.15(-4.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-142	-20	-167	-67	0.01	58%	-0.23	49.3	4.35%	0	0	61	0
25	Oct_31_2006	1908.03	1663.41	1752.6	1757.28	1755.02	1728.05	1758.75(3.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-87	-110	-109	-21	0.02	58%		44.8	4.32%	0	0.6	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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