Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Oct. 20, 2006

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $1724.1000 (-3.41%) ($1689.4500 - $1811.2500) on Fri. Oct. 20, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.33% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $1724.1000(-3.41%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX advances 14.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(16%)    IWM(16%)    EWY(15%)    SPY(15%)    VWO(15%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -2.165% in a week (0% probabilities).
LQD(-8%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-1%)    GLD(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.165% (StdDev 4.33%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $1794.66(-3.93%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1683.24(2.43%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1562.67(10.33%)
To recent high   -22.4%
To recent low   30.5%
Market Cap   $95.658b

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 10.04% (three month std-dev: 4.33%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_20_2006	1975.72	1562.67	1683.24	1794.66	1804.03	1776.99	1724.1(-3.41%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-279	-90	-385	41	0.02	52%	-0.67	36.6	4.33%	0	1	65	NAN
2	Oct_19_2006	1988.98	1552.77	1645.87	1787.94	1819.13	1801.41	1785(0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	32	-20	-17	178	0.02	52%	-0.64	32.7	4.34%	0	1.5	66	NAN
3	Oct_18_2006	2001.82	1542	1608.16	1736.91	1774.11	1831.07	1769.25(-2.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	379	290	401	314	0.02	52%	-0.66	21.9	4.35%	0	1.6	63	NAN
4	Oct_17_2006	2015.17	1532.95	1568.53	1694.91	1708.02	1836.84	1814.4(-3.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	1615	550	1864	866	0.03	52%	-0.1	10.6	4.34%	0	2.1	63	NAN
5	Oct_16_2006	2017.22	1520.41	1522.6	1643.25	1640	1717.14	1880.55(11.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	1832	320	2129	939	0.04	52%	-0.61	-1.7	4.33%	0	2.9	69	NAN

6	Oct_13_2006	2029.64	1507.39	1475.83	1558.41	1566.31	1579.2	1690.5(10.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	552	70	636	301	0.02	48%	-0.81	-22.1	4.09%	0	1.8	64	NAN
7	Oct_12_2006	2046.16	1504.31	1451.51	1484.49	1510.13	1562.86	1529.85(-1.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	423	300	498	198	0.01	43%	-0.81	-43.5	3.89%	0	0.2	49	NAN
8	Oct_11_2006	2062.94	1511.07	1447.27	1459.08	1462.49	1553.41	1559.25(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	1350	440	1596	612	0.03	43%	-0.77	-46.8	3.89%	0	0.4	46	NAN
9	Oct_10_2006	2079.05	1518.62	1442.51	1421.49	1417.37	1457.4	1556.1(6.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	1192	190	1419	511	0.03	43%	-0.55	-56.3	3.91%	0	0.3	45	NAN
10	Oct_9_2006	2090.57	1522.55	1432	1383.69	1377.27	1371.56	1456.35(10.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-94	-40	-83	-126	0.02	39%	-0.8	-73.3	3.8%	0	-0.6	40	NAN

11	Oct_6_2006	2107.39	1530.55	1430.48	1382.64	1378.26	1377.34	1320.9(-5.84%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-310	-10	-328	-256	0.01	33%	-0.87	-82	3.54%	0	-1.7	23	NAN
12	Oct_5_2006	2125.95	1550.33	1453.11	1413.3	1406.13	1382.98	1402.8(2.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-158	-130	-150	-181	0.01	35%	-0.97	-88.8	3.49%	0	-1.3	28	NAN
13	Oct_4_2006	2146.84	1565.94	1472.35	1433.25	1428.97	1379.18	1371.3(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-956	-250	-1090	-553	0.01	35%	-1.16	-89.8	3.52%	0	-1.6	23	NAN
14	Oct_3_2006	2172.12	1586.91	1497.45	1465.8	1471.89	1429.29	1367.1(-5.79%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-832	-190	-947	-488	0.01	35%	-1.21	-82.3	3.54%	0	-1.7	20	NAN
15	Oct_2_2006	2198.75	1613.8	1521.78	1485.75	1500.31	1478.77	1451.1(-1.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-425	-70	-470	-289	0.01	37%	-1.35	-87.3	3.59%	0	-1.4	35	NAN

16	Sep_29_2006	2228.95	1637.39	1543.94	1484.49	1497.04	1514.49	1474.2(-1.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-81	110	-67	-121	0.01	42%	-1.34	-82.8	3.72%	0	-1.2	41	NAN
17	Sep_28_2006	2259.32	1660.37	1562.87	1498.56	1492.51	1521.84	1502.55(-2.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	367	130	458	92	0.01	42%	-1.26	-75.7	3.74%	0	-1.1	36	NAN
18	Sep_27_2006	2288.05	1680.91	1580.85	1518.72	1504.98	1479.58	1534.05(4.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-4	-150	20	-75	0.02	42%	-1.16	-73.9	3.75%	0	-1	37	NAN
19	Sep_26_2006	2314.93	1700.57	1600.43	1536.78	1529	1463.18	1466.85(1.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-1093	-320	-1262	-584	0.02	39%	-1.17	-72.9	3.75%	0	-1.6	27	NAN
20	Sep_25_2006	2342.29	1725.81	1620.13	1564.29	1573.56	1530.38	1444.8(-6.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-1044	-170	-1203	-568	0.02	39%	-0.97	-68	3.75%	0	-1.9	21	NAN

21	Sep_22_2006	2365.31	1754.2	1639.6	1611.12	1614.57	1594.82	1544.55(-3.67%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-453	-80	-506	-294	0.01	42%	-0.91	-58.7	3.68%	0	-1.4	23	NAN
22	Sep_21_2006	2386.93	1774.19	1656.58	1635.48	1639.11	1616.74	1603.35(-1.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-355	-90	-389	-253	0.01	42%	-0.99	-50.7	3.74%	0	-1.2	24	NAN
23	Sep_20_2006	2410.78	1795.81	1667.72	1652.07	1657.62	1634.33	1624.35(1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-497	-90	-553	-328	0.01	42%	-0.95	-37.7	3.76%	0	-1.2	28	NAN
24	Sep_19_2006	2433.78	1817.67	1683.65	1674.96	1680.72	1661.48	1604.4(-4.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-359	-70	-390	-264	0.01	42%	-0.82	-20.3	3.76%	0	-1.4	25	NAN
25	Sep_18_2006	2453.84	1834.08	1713.16	1684.41	1696.86	1680.91	1678.95(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-181	-40	-181	-181	0.01	45%		-9.4	3.75%	0	-1.1	26	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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