Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 22, 2006

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $1544.5500 (-3.67%) ($1540.3500 - $1627.5000) on Fri. Sep. 22, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.68% (three month average)
RSI   23
Latest Price   $1544.5500(-3.67%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX declines -1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX declines -5.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(16%)    IWM(16%)    EWY(15%)    SPY(15%)    VWO(15%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -1.84% in a week (0% probabilities).
LQD(-8%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-1%)    GLD(4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.84% (StdDev 3.68%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.3%

Resistance Level   $1754.2
5 Day Moving Average   $1611.12(-4.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1639.6(-5.8%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1754.2(-11.95%)
To recent high   -42.2%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $85.696b

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 8.29% (three month std-dev: 3.68%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 5.25%(40%) Average negative next day return: -1.83%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 0.81%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -2.18%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 9.05%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.18%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20061022

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_22_2006	2365.31	1754.2	1639.6	1611.12	1614.57	1594.82	1544.55(-3.67%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-453	-80	-506	-294	0.01	42%	-0.91	-58.7	3.68%	0	-1.4	23	0
2	Sep_21_2006	2386.93	1774.19	1656.58	1635.48	1639.11	1616.74	1603.35(-1.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-355	-90	-389	-253	0.01	42%	-0.99	-50.7	3.74%	0	-1.2	24	0
3	Sep_20_2006	2410.78	1795.81	1667.72	1652.07	1657.62	1634.33	1624.35(1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-497	-90	-553	-328	0.01	42%	-0.95	-37.7	3.76%	0	-1.2	28	0
4	Sep_19_2006	2433.78	1817.67	1683.65	1674.96	1680.72	1661.48	1604.4(-4.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-359	-70	-390	-264	0.01	42%	-0.82	-20.3	3.76%	0	-1.4	25	0
5	Sep_18_2006	2453.84	1834.08	1713.16	1684.41	1696.86	1680.91	1678.95(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-181	-40	-181	-181	0.01	45%	-0.71	-9.4	3.75%	0	-1.1	26	0

6	Sep_15_2006	2471.36	1843.97	1737.17	1672.02	1688.27	1699.95	1666.35(-1.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-103	80	-86	-154	0.01	45%	-0.7	-6.7	3.78%	0	-1.3	23	0
7	Sep_14_2006	2488.67	1848.74	1764	1680.63	1677.38	1712.81	1686.3(-3.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	353	140	449	64	0.01	50%	-0.72	-5.7	3.78%	0	-1.2	33	0
8	Sep_13_2006	2506.82	1852.43	1786.94	1686.09	1680.92	1676.59	1738.8(5.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	289	-30	375	31	0.01	43%	-0.71	-6.2	3.9%	0	-0.9	30	0
9	Sep_12_2006	2524.76	1848.7	1805.84	1696.38	1689.52	1641.94	1651.65(2.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-786	-210	-890	-474	0.01	37%	-0.73	-10.7	4.13%	0	-1.4	20	0
10	Sep_11_2006	2543.26	1847.52	1838.15	1748.46	1737.82	1685.25	1617(-5.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-989	-230	-1136	-547	0.02	37%	-0.62	-8.8	4.21%	0	-1.6	34	0

11	Sep_8_2006	2559.03	1853.3	1878.36	1812.3	1808.43	1737.09	1709.4(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-897	-280	-1038	-475	0.02	39%	-0.52	-3.3	4.17%	0	-1	44	0
12	Sep_7_2006	2572.51	1856.36	1902.73	1859.55	1862.18	1790.38	1713.6(-4.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-1238	-270	-1448	-607	0.01	39%	-0.59	-2.7	4.19%	0	-1	54	0
13	Sep_6_2006	2587.84	1860.62	1936.59	1900.92	1914.02	1879.76	1790.25(-6.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-685	-100	-809	-314	0.01	41%	-0.58	-3.1	4.2%	0	-0.5	59	0
14	Sep_5_2006	2602.9	1863.64	1964.95	1929.9	1935.87	1933.97	1912.05(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-171	0	-216	-34	0.01	44%	-0.64	-2.3	4.16%	0	0.4	73	0
15	Sep_1_2006	2619.69	1860.27	1966.55	1941.66	1941.52	1948.28	1936.2(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	81	20	71	112	0.01	44%	-0.44	-4.1	4.17%	0	0.6	76	0

16	Aug_31_2006	2631.29	1857.91	1960.34	1955.94	1948.6	1937.78	1945.65(1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	-50	-30	94	0.01	44%	-0.36	-1.6	4.17%	0	0.6	66	0
17	Aug_30_2006	2640.74	1860.09	1940.99	1954.26	1957.93	1934.76	1920.45(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-322	-80	-410	-56	0.02	44%	-0.45	0	4.16%	0	0.4	61	0
18	Aug_29_2006	2652.78	1864.88	1923.97	1978.62	1972.83	1959.43	1935.15(-1.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-422	-60	-531	-93	0.01	44%	-0.52	8.3	4.16%	0	0.5	59	0
19	Aug_28_2006	2666.52	1866.85	1895.81	2005.29	2009.51	1981.1	1970.85(-1.83%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-74	-90	-122	71	0.02	44%	-0.38	12.7	4.19%	0	0.7	56	0
20	Aug_25_2006	2676.68	1865.6	1858.42	1994.37	2018.34	1986.22	2007.6(3.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-387	-80	-483	-97	0.01	41%	-0.27	11.1	4.25%	0	1	57	0

21	Aug_24_2006	2683.89	1860.18	1826.26	1964.76	2001.66	2037.92	1937.25(-5.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	137	180	141	125	0.02	41%	-0.29	2.1	4.26%	0	0.6	51	0
22	Aug_23_2006	2691.71	1860.05	1806.11	1922.76	1962.15	2050.45	2042.25(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	1406	380	1645	689	0.04	53%	-0.09	-14.8	4.23%	0	1.3	49	0
23	Aug_22_2006	2694.25	1853.13	1776.61	1859.76	1874.22	1965.4	2068.5(7.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	1254	360	1479	577	0.03	47%	-0.09	-39	4.75%	0	1.6	48	0
24	Aug_21_2006	2696.58	1848.91	1749.63	1771.35	1795.96	1873.86	1916.25(3.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	1203	350	1432	516	0.02	43%	-0.13	-65.6	4.91%	0	0.5	44	0
25	Aug_18_2006	2700.16	1850.06	1739.97	1703.31	1715.7	1783.03	1859.55(7.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	795	300	961	295	0.04	40%		-86.5	4.89%	0	0.1	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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