Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 14, 2006

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $1576.0500 (-6.71%) ($1571.8500 - $1724.1000) on Mon. Aug. 14, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.02% (three month average)
RSI   20
Latest Price   $1576.0500(-6.71%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX declines -3.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX declines -6.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(16%)    IWM(16%)    EWY(15%)    SPY(15%)    VWO(15%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -2.51% in a week (0% probabilities).
LQD(-8%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-1%)    REMX(3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.51% (StdDev 5.02%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -6.5%

Resistance Level   $1940.36
5 Day Moving Average   $1724.94(-8.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1834.76(-14.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1940.36(-18.78%)
To recent high   -60.4%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $87.444b

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 9.68% (three month std-dev: 5.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060914

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_14_2006	2718.58	1940.36	1834.76	1724.94	1722.66	1670.03	1576.05(-6.71%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-741	-220	-849	-416	0.02	26%	-0.12	-77	5.02%	0	-1.9	20	0
2	Aug_11_2006	2721.84	1976.35	1876.03	1779.75	1778.31	1720.69	1689.45(-3.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-690	-230	-794	-377	0.01	28%	-0.08	-79	4.97%	0	-1.6	33	0
3	Aug_10_2006	2724.01	2008.1	1901.19	1822.59	1817.22	1775.29	1743(-1.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-825	-170	-956	-433	0.02	28%	-0.08	-81.9	5%	0	-1.5	32	0
4	Aug_9_2006	2726.07	2035.81	1923.7	1877.4	1873.59	1835.93	1774.5(-3.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-485	-150	-557	-269	0.01	28%	-0.07	-80.3	5.03%	0	-1.4	25	0
5	Aug_8_2006	2728.11	2066.85	1941.24	1931.16	1926.49	1859.16	1841.7(-0.45%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-682	-250	-788	-365	0.01	35%	-0.06	-77.4	5.03%	0	-1.2	24	0

6	Aug_7_2006	2729.7	2096.56	1960.12	1962.24	1970.72	1911.26	1850.1(-2.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-872	-200	-1011	-454	0.02	35%	-0.06	-71.4	5.29%	0	-1.2	29	0
7	Aug_4_2006	2731.25	2130.74	1972.21	1985.97	2010.68	1993.82	1903.65(-5.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-283	-20	-315	-185	0.01	33%	-0.04	-62.5	5.29%	0	-1	30	0
8	Aug_3_2006	2732.34	2164.95	1984.31	1989.54	2005.5	2030.18	2017.05(-1.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	114	110	155	-11	0.01	34%	0.04	-53.8	5.31%	0	-0.6	32	0
9	Aug_2_2006	2731.25	2193.18	2001.93	1976.73	1982.93	2027.55	2043.3(2.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	456	170	560	144	0.02	38%	0.06	-45.2	5.32%	0	-0.6	35	0
10	Aug_1_2006	2729.69	2223.13	2025.39	1954.47	1962.25	1980.83	1997.1(1.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	381	80	474	101	0.02	38%	0.03	-39.2	5.44%	0	-0.9	28	0

11	Jul_31_2006	2729	2251.64	2049.6	1960.35	1946.9	1938.3	1968.75(2.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-108	-50	-99	-135	0.01	38%	0.04	-33.8	5.47%	0	-1.1	25	0
12	Jul_28_2006	2727.91	2275.47	2080.31	1958.04	1956.08	1943.68	1921.5(-1.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-203	-50	-207	-189	0.01	38%	0.04	-34.5	5.51%	0	-1.4	19	0
13	Jul_27_2006	2726.76	2294.82	2120.42	1977.99	1973.74	1955.49	1953(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-329	-70	-354	-254	0.01	38%	0.03	-36.8	5.51%	0	-1.5	18	0
14	Jul_26_2006	2725.9	2310.01	2155.05	2031.54	2015.28	1968.49	1932(-4.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-595	-190	-667	-379	0.01	38%	-0.02	-33.7	5.51%	0	-1.8	16	0
15	Jul_25_2006	2726.36	2324.72	2202.43	2107.77	2096.27	1991.98	2026.5(3.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-922	-360	-1054	-527	0.02	38%	0.01	-27.3	5.49%	0	-1.5	17	0

16	Jul_24_2006	2725.98	2340.22	2244.42	2153.97	2170.82	2062.08	1957.2(-3.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-1434	-330	-1658	-763	0.03	42%	-0.02	-21.4	5.47%	0	-2	20	0
17	Jul_21_2006	2726.41	2362.83	2304.37	2220.12	2240.31	2200.55	2021.25(-8.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-825	-100	-948	-457	0.03	42%	-0.01	-8.4	5.61%	0	-2.1	34	0
18	Jul_20_2006	2726.8	2382.37	2363.74	2281.02	2284.08	2279.55	2220.75(-3.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-71	-10	-68	-80	0.01	45%	0.06	5.4	5.54%	0	-1.1	52	0
19	Jul_19_2006	2725.19	2385.1	2401.95	2295.72	2295.37	2280.08	2313.15(2.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-140	-50	-154	-96	0.01	45%	0.13	7.1	5.56%	0	-0.5	59	0
20	Jul_18_2006	2721.73	2380.58	2436.43	2313.36	2309.24	2288.61	2257.5(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-356	-70	-416	-177	0.01	43%	0.07	12.7	5.55%	0	-0.8	60	0

21	Jul_17_2006	2719.86	2381.25	2469.14	2351.37	2348.41	2310.66	2287.95(-1.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-311	-120	-369	-138	0.01	48%	0.1	14.7	5.64%	0	-0.6	53	0
22	Jul_14_2006	2717.06	2376.89	2485.88	2403.87	2384.31	2329.87	2325.75(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-681	-180	-808	-299	0.01	48%	0.16	11	5.99%	0	-0.3	50	0
23	Jul_13_2006	2712.63	2374.48	2483.84	2460.57	2450.26	2386.17	2294.25(-4.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-690	-200	-822	-295	0.03	50%	0.15	8.9	6.03%	0	-0.5	49	0
24	Jul_12_2006	2708.5	2374.82	2479.98	2523.36	2526.1	2438.76	2401.35(-1.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-778	-240	-929	-323	0.02	48%	0.21	5.7	6.08%	0	0.2	60	0
25	Jul_11_2006	2702.88	2361.62	2460.33	2577.54	2586.94	2514.36	2447.55(-4.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-859	-190	-1028	-350	0.03	48%		-1	6.14%	0	0.5	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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