Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 13, 2006

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $2114.7000 (-12.55%) ($2105.2500 - $2389.8000) on Tue. Jun. 13, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.62% (three month average)
RSI   18
Latest Price   $2114.7000(-12.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX declines -4.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX declines -10.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(16%)    IWM(16%)    EWY(15%)    OIH(15%)    SPY(15%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -3.31% in a week (0% probabilities).
LQD(-8%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-1%)    REMX(3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.31% (StdDev 6.62%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -9.7%

Resistance Level   $2940.15
5 Day Moving Average   $2524.2(-16.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $2699.65(-21.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $2940.15(-28.08%)
To recent high   -52.5%
To recent low   11.9%
Market Cap   $117.33b

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 12.58% (three month std-dev: 6.62%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060713

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_13_2006	2573.63	2940.15	2699.65	2524.2	2528.7	2368.74	2114.7(-12.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-2053	-440	-2387	-1052	0.06	58%	0.37	-100.2	6.62%	0	-2.2	18	NAN
2	Jun_12_2006	2564.25	3032.85	2800.86	2639.49	2664.87	2601.31	2418.15(-7.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-874	-140	-1007	-474	0.03	61%	0.53	-93.9	6.43%	0	-1.6	47	NAN
3	Jun_9_2006	2550.72	3129	2870.76	2718.24	2733.28	2688.66	2615.55(-2.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-493	-100	-562	-284	0.03	64%	0.63	-70.2	6.35%	0	-1.1	41	NAN
4	Jun_8_2006	2534.73	3217.07	2939.14	2783.34	2784.47	2728.43	2684.85(-3.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-683	-140	-790	-360	0.04	64%	0.66	-54	6.36%	0	-1	41	NAN
5	Jun_7_2006	2518.19	3296.32	2989.08	2853.69	2867.75	2777.91	2787.75(3.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-686	-200	-795	-358	0.05	64%	0.71	-45.7	6.38%	0	-0.9	37	NAN

6	Jun_6_2006	2500.55	3364.06	3025.34	2907.45	2931.28	2840.51	2691.15(-4.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-1093	-190	-1271	-559	0.03	64%	0.08	-40.8	6.37%	0	-1.2	29	NAN
7	Jun_5_2006	2498.59	3437.06	3032.33	2987.46	3004.29	2957.59	2811.9(-4.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-740	-90	-850	-411	0.03	64%	0.72	-33.9	6.35%	0	-1.1	29	NAN
8	Jun_2_2006	2480.63	3484.06	3063.61	3044.58	3075.62	3022.04	2941.05(-3.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-271	-90	-291	-210	0.03	64%	0.78	-30.5	6.33%	0	-1	27	NAN
9	Jun_1_2006	2461.34	3522.7	3084.18	3118.29	3087.17	3050.98	3036.6(-0.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-831	-110	-944	-492	0.02	64%	0.81	-25.8	6.31%	0	-0.9	27	NAN
10	May_31_2006	2441.47	3568.81	3122.49	3145.8	3154.82	3129.2	3056.55(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-155	-50	-145	-185	0.04	64%	0.81	-21.3	6.44%	0	-1	30	NAN

11	May_30_2006	2421.75	3611.54	3195.33	3162.18	3195.35	3123.36	3091.2(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-242	-130	-246	-230	0.04	64%	1.35	-18	6.46%	0	-1	34	NAN
12	May_26_2006	2389.46	3638.97	3277.66	3080.91	3154.86	3180.45	3097.5(-6.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-393	130	-419	-313	0.09	64%	0.84	-22.5	6.37%	0	-1.1	35	NAN
13	May_25_2006	2369.44	3658.52	3400.21	3082.38	3098.94	3267.34	3309.6(4.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	1111	400	1346	407	0.03	66%	0.93	-21.1	6.35%	0	-0.7	47	NAN
14	May_24_2006	2347.62	3664.94	3505.57	3048.36	3044.87	3129.26	3174.15(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	1234	190	1487	476	0.08	66%	0.88	-20.4	6.39%	0	-1	46	NAN
15	May_23_2006	2327.07	3683.5	3616.6	3103.59	3058.13	2930.55	3138.45(16.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-738	-340	-838	-439	0.1	66%	0.36	-15.5	6.42%	0	-1.2	41	NAN

16	May_22_2006	2318.7	3705.63	3720.71	3245.55	3184.58	2960.48	2684.85(-13.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-2762	-550	-3224	-1376	0.08	63%	0.69	-5.1	6.09%	0	-2.3	31	NAN
17	May_19_2006	2302.74	3751.85	3876.13	3504.06	3458.83	3185.7	3104.85(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-2714	-590	-3180	-1314	0.08	68%	0.89	11.2	5.79%	0	-1.6	46	NAN
18	May_18_2006	2282.45	3761.54	3947.28	3765.09	3696.26	3408.69	3139.5(-9.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-3659	-600	-4305	-1721	0.05	68%	0.96	30.8	5.83%	0	-1.5	51	NAN
19	May_17_2006	2260.81	3763.41	4012.55	4027.38	3989.74	3731.96	3450.3(-10.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-2920	-480	-3450	-1331	0.06	72%	1.12	53.1	5.73%	0	-0.8	57	NAN
20	May_16_2006	2235.75	3756.19	4069.12	4200.84	4226.18	3983.83	3848.25(-3.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-2368	-380	-2813	-1032	0.06	77%	0.76	67.6	5.58%	0	0.2	62	NAN

21	May_15_2006	2218.96	3728.84	4076.57	4264.89	4309	4247.51	3977.4(-9.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-1836	-70	-2194	-761	0.07	77%	1.39	73.2	5.65%	0	0.6	64	NAN
22	May_12_2006	2188.57	3707.03	4041.8	4299.12	4353.3	4468.54	4410(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	1381	220	1585	768	0.06	84%	1.62	83.4	5.45%	0	1.7	75	NAN
23	May_11_2006	2153.73	3639.18	3941.94	4157.16	4231.11	4370.49	4450.95(3.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	1942	280	2249	1020	0.08	84%	1.66	80.6	5.49%	0	2	81	NAN
24	May_10_2006	2118.64	3559.29	3832.32	3999.66	4042.89	4238.06	4317.6(3.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	1765	370	2045	924	0.04	85%	1.62	74.2	5.53%	0	2	82	NAN
25	May_9_2006	2084.82	3496.21	3744.44	3924.27	3911.05	4091.72	4168.51(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	2261	310	2630	1155	0.09	85%		87.2	5.58%	0	1.9	72	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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