Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 10, 2006

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $3281.2500 (10.62%) ($3081.7500 - $3323.2500) on Mon. Apr. 10, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.86% (three month average)
RSI   88
Latest Price   $3281.2500(10.62%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX advances 7.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX advances 20.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(16%)    IWM(16%)    VWO(16%)    EWY(15%)    OIH(15%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -3.43% in a week (0% probabilities).
LQD(-8%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-7%)    USO(-1%)    TIP(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.43% (StdDev 6.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $2791.32(17.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $2549.31(28.71%)
20 Day Moving Average   $2260.7(45.14%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   212.8%
Market Cap   $182.054b

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 16.84% (three month std-dev: 6.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060510

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_10_2006	1596.96	2260.7	2549.31	2791.32	2822.27	3040.67	3281.25(10.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	2527	570	2920	1349	0.05	88%	1.35	70.1	6.86%	0	2.7	88	NAN
2	Apr_7_2006	1575.72	2188.71	2414.9	2594.55	2597.04	2778.17	2966.25(9.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	1660	490	1911	907	0.02	88%	1.15	65.5	6.75%	0	2.5	84	NAN
3	Apr_6_2006	1557.76	2130.51	2305.91	2454.69	2461.33	2603.87	2714.25(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	1602	410	1852	851	0.02	87%	1.1	58.8	6.73%	0	2.3	81	NAN
4	Apr_5_2006	1540.75	2083.4	2223.48	2374.89	2361.38	2415.92	2703.75(18.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	770	140	879	442	0.03	87%	1.12	52	6.74%	0	2.8	80	NAN
5	Apr_4_2006	1523.64	2039.01	2144.23	2303.28	2327.92	2318.79	2291.1(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	159	0	163	146	0.01	85%	0.93	50.4	6.43%	0	1.5	75	NAN

6	Apr_3_2006	1509.6	2022.08	2112.3	2267.37	2313.87	2306.85	2297.4(1.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	69	40	58	101	0.01	85%	0.92	47.6	6.42%	0	1.8	76	NAN
7	Mar_31_2006	1495.86	2005.18	2080.96	2202.48	2253.17	2337.04	2266.95(-2.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	467	330	530	277	0.02	85%	0.9	36.3	6.42%	0	1.8	71	NAN
8	Mar_30_2006	1482.57	1990.24	2052.85	2128.14	2169.1	2320.89	2315.25(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.4	1485	550	1731	745	0.02	85%	0.96	22.9	6.46%	0	2.5	77	NAN
9	Mar_29_2006	1468.41	1975.13	2019.41	2045.61	2051.7	2169.3	2345.7(11.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.7	1345	410	1571	668	0.03	86%	1	13	6.45%	0	3.4	81	NAN
10	Mar_28_2006	1453.94	1958.36	1972.98	1965.39	1969.93	2017.31	2111.55(7.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	686	180	801	342	0.02	85%	0.83	-0.5	6.41%	0	2.1	67	NAN

11	Mar_27_2006	1441.94	1950.52	1949.96	1938.09	1938.43	1934.1	1972.95(4.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	41	-20	45	29	0.01	84%	0.74	-3.4	6.37%	0	0.3	49	NAN
12	Mar_24_2006	1431.31	1954.84	1945.57	1942.92	1948.01	1922.55	1895.25(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-240	-80	-285	-104	0.01	84%	0.68	18.8	6.4%	0	-0.9	43	NAN
13	Mar_23_2006	1421.69	1960.78	1943.66	1964.34	1974.46	1942.76	1902.6(-2.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-274	-100	-325	-120	0.01	84%	0.71	39	6.45%	0	-0.8	42	NAN
14	Mar_22_2006	1411.71	1960.97	1936.11	1985.76	1992.38	1973.48	1944.6(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-245	-60	-289	-111	0	84%	0.75	42.9	6.43%	0	-0.2	40	NAN
15	Mar_21_2006	1401.21	1958.67	1928.95	1979.04	2000.18	2006.16	1975.05(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	51	50	61	19	0	84%	0.78	31.2	6.43%	0	0.2	42	NAN

16	Mar_20_2006	1390.43	1952.95	1928.05	1962.03	1979.12	2011.28	1997.1(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	213	140	253	91	0	84%	0.79	13.7	6.43%	0	0.6	52	NAN
17	Mar_17_2006	1379.52	1941.8	1925.81	1948.59	1953.72	1994.21	2002.35(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	390	150	464	168	0.01	84%	0.8	0.9	6.4%	0	0.7	44	NAN
18	Mar_16_2006	1368.51	1933.84	1923.83	1920.45	1934.36	1946.96	2009.7(5.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	349	70	418	141	0.01	86%	0.79	-4	6.45%	0	0.9	50	NAN
19	Mar_15_2006	1357.8	1931.21	1926.4	1880.34	1902.21	1913.23	1911(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-12	80	-5	-31	0	86%	0.77	-6.5	6.61%	0	-0.2	53	NAN
20	Mar_14_2006	1347.39	1935.75	1940.53	1871.73	1889.41	1921.76	1890(-2.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	190	150	231	68	0	86%	0.8	7.5	6.62%	0	-0.5	53	NAN

21	Mar_13_2006	1336.64	1942.65	1949.3	1889.16	1888.89	1891.18	1929.9(3.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	171	10	206	67	0	86%	0.88	26.1	6.6%	0	-0.1	58	NAN
22	Mar_10_2006	1324.97	1941.01	1962.87	1901.13	1900.11	1857.06	1861.65(2.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-348	-160	-409	-164	0	86%	0.77	36	6.57%	0	-0.9	61	NAN
23	Mar_9_2006	1314.86	1937.28	1978.82	1928.64	1939.61	1886.59	1809.15(-3.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-547	-170	-648	-245	0.01	81%	0.72	37.7	6.62%	0	-1.3	52	NAN
24	Mar_8_2006	1305.4	1936.85	1990.11	1978.62	1986.73	1943.16	1867.95(-5.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-467	-140	-556	-198	0.01	81%	0.77	59.2	6.68%	0	-0.7	46	NAN
25	Mar_7_2006	1295.44	1929.16	1994.7	2017.68	2026.83	1992.64	1977.15(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-303	-100	-365	-115	0.01	81%		50.5	6.62%	0	0.4	49	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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