Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 1, 2006

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $2063.2500 (4.52%) ($2001.3000 - $2092.6500) on Wed. Mar. 1, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.78% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $2063.2500(4.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX advances 3.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(16%)    IWM(16%)    VWO(16%)    EWY(15%)    OIH(15%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -3.39% in a week (0% probabilities).
LQD(-8%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-1%)    REMX(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.39% (StdDev 6.78%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $2003.4(2.99%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1936.76(6.53%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1879.31(9.79%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   119.6%
Market Cap   $114.475b

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 6.8% (three month std-dev: 6.78%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_1_2006	1249.73	1879.31	1936.76	2003.4	2032.28	2031.75	2063.25(4.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	34	40	31	41	0.01	76%	0.94	108.7	6.78%	0	1.4	65	0
2	Feb_28_2006	1238.04	1873.36	1928.87	1968.54	1993.69	2051.44	1974(-4.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	257	240	293	150	0.01	68%	0.84	136.9	7.05%	0	0.8	67	0
3	Feb_27_2006	1227.73	1852.66	1933.13	1943.97	1956.67	2032.8	2074.8(3.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	821	290	955	420	0.01	68%	0.89	129	7.01%	0	1.6	64	0
4	Feb_24_2006	1216.95	1814.76	1913.36	1880.76	1897.22	1935.94	2012.85(6.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	512	170	594	265	0.01	68%	0.9	97.4	7.01%	0	1.1	62	0
5	Feb_23_2006	1206.04	1779.27	1888.3	1846.11	1851.94	1880.55	1892.1(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	119	120	136	69	0	68%	0.74	85.2	7.03%	0	0.5	53	0

6	Feb_22_2006	1197.24	1750.07	1877.07	1861.65	1856.27	1858.5	1888.95(2.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	133	-0	148	86	0.01	68%	0.69	84.3	7.03%	0	0.6	65	0
7	Feb_21_2006	1189.01	1719.09	1857.96	1885.38	1879.44	1823.33	1851.15(5.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-337	-220	-402	-140	0.01	70%	0.73	85.3	7.03%	0	0.5	48	0
8	Feb_17_2006	1180.43	1688.18	1851.44	1921.71	1921.24	1854.04	1758.75(-4.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-650	-250	-777	-269	0.01	72%	0.61	81.3	7.07%	0	0.2	61	0
9	Feb_16_2006	1173.23	1657.4	1854.83	1947.96	1967.64	1935.55	1839.6(-6.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-238	-80	-301	-49	0.01	72%	0.72	79.5	7.26%	0	0.6	70	0
10	Feb_15_2006	1164.87	1619.82	1855.81	1931.79	1952.93	1988.44	1969.8(-1.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	117	160	109	141	0	74%	0.76	74.1	7.19%	0	1	73	0

11	Feb_14_2006	1156.03	1575.2	1820.46	1891.47	1909.51	1999.73	2007.6(-1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	758	360	861	450	0.01	74%	0.75	68.4	7.31%	0	1.3	74	0
12	Feb_13_2006	1147.45	1527.77	1813.47	1825.95	1839.36	1917.43	2032.8(7.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	810	320	916	492	0.02	74%	0.78	62.5	7.33%	0	1.5	76	0
13	Feb_10_2006	1138.6	1478.89	1763.94	1774.92	1780.95	1819.3	1890(7.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	401	160	432	308	0.01	73%	0.68	57.7	7.3%	0	1.3	75	0
14	Feb_9_2006	1130.93	1437.45	1706.53	1751.82	1773.47	1761.28	1758.75(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	136	-10	116	195	0.01	72%	0.62	55.8	7.26%	0	1	76	0
15	Feb_8_2006	1124	1404.61	1661.27	1769.67	1775.81	1742.61	1768.2(5.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-240	-120	-335	45	0	72%	0.65	58.1	7.26%	0	1.2	77	0

16	Feb_7_2006	1116.74	1372.48	1613.78	1737.33	1786.38	1785.66	1680(-5.49%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-90	80	-162	126	0.01	72%	0.55	56.6	7.24%	0	1	75	0
17	Feb_6_2006	1110.68	1345.69	1571.87	1796.76	1784.34	1809.02	1777.65(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	210	80	174	316	0.01	72%	0.7	66.4	7.19%	0	1.5	79	0
18	Feb_3_2006	1102.94	1314.28	1514.62	1748.67	1781	1787.1	1774.5(-3.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	567	80	593	488	0.01	72%	0.72	66.2	7.2%	0	1.6	78	0
19	Feb_2_2006	1095.07	1280.47	1447.08	1650.6	1688.47	1759.67	1848(15.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	412	360	419	391	0.02	72%	0.86	61.1	7.18%	0	2.2	81	0
20	Feb_1_2006	1085.71	1243.75	1365.93	1535.1	1567.91	1774.89	1606.5(-18.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	1441	990	1641	841	0.05	70%	0.66	57.8	6.96%	0	1.6	74	0

21	Jan_31_2006	1078.62	1219.67	1311.41	1467.69	1452.94	1617.26	1977.15(28.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.5	2294	760	2649	1227	0.04	78%	0.99	54.9	6.48%	0	3.7	86	0
22	Jan_30_2006	1068.02	1173.58	1213.77	1319.01	1315.52	1360.93	1537.2(19.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.9	843	230	958	496	0.02	73%	0.56	62.7	5.47%	0	3.2	76	0
23	Jan_27_2006	1062.1	1151.62	1164.38	1250.76	1265.05	1288.61	1284.15(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	380	160	425	244	0	68%	0.41	72.8	4.91%	0	1.8	59	0
24	Jan_26_2006	1057.74	1139.23	1142.32	1212.33	1228.43	1270.11	1270.5(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	541	280	623	293	0.01	70%	0.41	61.8	4.94%	0	2	64	0
25	Jan_25_2006	1053.46	1126.54	1124.82	1168.02	1176.07	1241.49	1269.45(2.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	713	410	835	345	0.01	72%		39.3	5.03%	0	2.3	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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