Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 2, 2006

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $1848.0000 (15.03%) ($1642.2000 - $1903.6500) on Thu. Feb. 2, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.18% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $1848.0000(15.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX advances 7.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX advances 26.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(16%)    EWY(15%)    IWM(15%)    OIH(15%)    VWO(15%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -3.59% in a week (0% probabilities).
LQD(-8%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-1%)    REMX(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.59% (StdDev 7.18%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 8.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $1650.6(11.96%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1447.08(27.71%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1280.47(44.32%)
To recent high   -6.5%
To recent low   96.6%
Market Cap   $102.533b

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 20.3% (three month std-dev: 7.18%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_2_2006	1095.07	1280.47	1447.08	1650.6	1688.47	1759.67	1848(15.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	412	360	419	391	0.02	72%	0.86	61.1	7.18%	0	2.2	81	0
2	Feb_1_2006	1085.71	1243.75	1365.93	1535.1	1567.91	1774.89	1606.5(-18.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	1441	990	1641	841	0.05	70%	0.66	57.8	6.96%	0	1.6	74	0
3	Jan_31_2006	1078.62	1219.67	1311.41	1467.69	1452.94	1617.26	1977.15(28.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.5	2294	760	2649	1227	0.04	78%	0.99	54.9	6.48%	0	3.7	86	0
4	Jan_30_2006	1068.02	1173.58	1213.77	1319.01	1315.52	1360.93	1537.2(19.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.9	843	230	958	496	0.02	73%	0.56	62.7	5.47%	0	3.2	76	0
5	Jan_27_2006	1062.1	1151.62	1164.38	1250.76	1265.05	1288.61	1284.15(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	380	160	425	244	0	68%	0.41	72.8	4.91%	0	1.8	59	0

6	Jan_26_2006	1057.74	1139.23	1142.32	1212.33	1228.43	1270.11	1270.5(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	541	280	623	293	0.01	70%	0.41	61.8	4.94%	0	2	64	0
7	Jan_25_2006	1053.46	1126.54	1124.82	1168.02	1176.07	1241.49	1269.45(2.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	713	410	835	345	0.01	72%	0.39	39.3	5.03%	0	2.3	58	0
8	Jan_24_2006	1049.38	1115.59	1110.3	1126.86	1129.8	1186.76	1233.75(3.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	854	360	1009	389	0.01	73%	0.18	18.5	5.07%	0	2	56	0
9	Jan_23_2006	1047.46	1106.71	1101.03	1092	1088.19	1110.64	1195.95(9.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	405	130	486	161	0.01	73%	0.33	9.2	5.1%	0	1.7	56	0
10	Jan_20_2006	1044.02	1100.65	1098.1	1066.8	1070.15	1072.84	1092(4.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	61	30	84	-10	0	66%	0.27	7.3	5.13%	0	-0.2	43	0

11	Jan_19_2006	1041.17	1099.8	1102.26	1062.39	1067.94	1065.75	1048.95(-1.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-50	0	-47	-57	0	66%	0.17	16.5	5.11%	0	-1	56	0
12	Jan_18_2006	1039.38	1102.38	1114.47	1074.36	1072.34	1067.46	1063.65(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-106	-40	-119	-65	0	66%	0.18	36.3	5.11%	0	-0.8	61	0
13	Jan_17_2006	1037.55	1104.92	1124.34	1090.53	1087.17	1070.13	1059.45(-0.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-192	-120	-226	-90	0	66%	0.3	59.3	5.13%	0	-0.9	53	0
14	Jan_13_2006	1034.46	1101.85	1132.73	1110.9	1112.7	1077.22	1069.95(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.9	-367	-220	-437	-155	0	67%	0.15	68.7	5.1%	0	-0.7	54	0
15	Jan_12_2006	1032.92	1097.01	1140.2	1134.21	1140.56	1104.21	1069.95(-3.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-462	-210	-555	-183	0	63%	0.15	65	5.12%	0	-0.5	51	0

16	Jan_11_2006	1031.41	1091.46	1139.12	1147.44	1161.17	1148.18	1108.8(-3.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-275	-40	-337	-90	0	61%	0.17	55.1	5.19%	0	0.3	57	0
17	Jan_10_2006	1029.61	1084.83	1131.72	1159.83	1170.88	1176.92	1144.5(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	51	60	46	65	0	59%	0.24	48.6	5.21%	0	0.8	57	0
18	Jan_9_2006	1027.11	1076.71	1123.82	1162.98	1167.27	1174.16	1161.3(-2.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	106	50	112	89	0	59%	0.26	36.2	5.25%	0	1.1	56	0
19	Jan_6_2006	1024.44	1070.74	1114.23	1157.94	1163.53	1164.84	1186.5(4.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	98	20	100	90	0	58%	0.27	30.7	5.32%	0	1.5	73	0
20	Jan_5_2006	1021.71	1062.99	1103.2	1148.07	1153.75	1160.38	1136.1(-2.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	85	60	83	91	0	56%	0.21	23.6	5.39%	0	1	72	0

21	Jan_4_2006	1019.52	1057.82	1096.56	1128.96	1136.95	1162.22	1170.75(0.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	303	180	338	196	0	56%	0.21	6.8	5.41%	0	1.7	78	0
22	Jan_3_2006	1017.34	1051.04	1087.98	1098.72	1103.03	1147.13	1160.25(2.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	449	290	511	261	0	56%	0.23	-31.8	5.42%	0	1.7	72	0
23	Dec_30_2005	1015.01	1050.09	1081.91	1078.77	1071	1111.69	1136.1(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	508	240	580	291	0	56%	0.23	-56.7	5.43%	0	1.4	68	0
24	Dec_29_2005	1012.67	1047.96	1066.62	1064.49	1054.86	1058.93	1137.15(9.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	246	-0	276	155	0	56%	0.22	-82.3	5.44%	0	1.5	58	0
25	Dec_28_2005	1010.49	1046.69	1048.59	1053.57	1053.28	1030.31	1040.55(2.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-230	-150	-280	-81	0	51%		-104	5.33%	0	-0.1	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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