Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 16, 2005

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $1081.5000 (1.98%) ($1038.4500 - $1090.9500) on Wed. Nov. 16, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.39% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $1081.5000(1.98%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX advances 2.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX advances 3.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(16%)    EWY(15%)    IWM(15%)    OIH(15%)    VWO(15%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -2.195% in a week (0% probabilities).
LQD(-8%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-1%)    REMX(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.195% (StdDev 4.39%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $1010.9(6.98%)
10 Day Moving Average   $987.03(9.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $953.86(13.38%)
To recent high   -8%
To recent low   33.6%
Market Cap   $60.005b

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 6.03% (three month std-dev: 4.39%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 2.64%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.52%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.92%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.69%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20051216

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_16_2005	947.62	953.86	987.03	1010.9	1011.56	1053.94	1081.5(1.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	679	300	784	364	0	56%	0.12	45.3	4.39%	0	2.2	72	0
2	Nov_15_2005	946.45	944.34	972.61	985.91	989.5	999.37	1060.5(12.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	419	80	485	221	0	58%	0.07	41.1	4.42%	0	2.3	60	0
3	Nov_14_2005	945.75	936.35	959.49	965.12	969.81	969.18	943.95(-3.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-85	10	-104	-27	0	54%	-0.06	31.5	4.23%	0	0.2	59	0
4	Nov_11_2005	946.32	936.11	959.44	968.27	966.84	979.62	977.55(-1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	135	90	150	89	0	56%	0	29.2	4.23%	0	1	73	0
5	Nov_10_2005	946.31	932.67	956.57	963.23	961.33	970.44	990.99(3.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	212	60	236	139	0	58%	0.03	12.3	4.24%	0	1.4	80	0

6	Nov_9_2005	946.01	928.49	951.65	959.28	955.5	954.06	956.55(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	30	-20	21	57	0	58%	-0	3.9	4.37%	0	0.7	60	0
7	Nov_8_2005	946.04	924.41	953.81	956.97	955.62	952.22	956.55(-0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-20	-30	-41	43	0	58%	-0.09	-17.1	4.38%	0	0.8	58	0
8	Nov_7_2005	946.88	923.33	949.68	952.98	954.04	956.94	959.7(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	20	14	63	0	58%	-0.21	-36	4.38%	0	0.9	57	0
9	Nov_4_2005	948.9	924.05	940.27	948.99	948.79	959.01	952.35(-1.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	115	70	122	93	0	58%	-0.21	-46.5	4.38%	0	0.6	52	0
10	Nov_3_2005	950.9	927.63	927.12	948.57	944.13	951.14	971.25(2.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	159	40	178	102	0	58%	-0.17	-50.7	4.37%	0	0.9	57	0

11	Nov_2_2005	952.51	926.91	918.9	943.32	939.49	938.57	945(0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	3	-20	-4	23	0	58%	-0.25	-56.2	4.36%	0	0.3	55	0
12	Nov_1_2005	954.94	931.27	914.31	950.67	941.92	937.13	936.6(-0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-53	-60	-73	6	0	58%	-0.31	-43.2	4.36%	0	0.1	59	0
13	Oct_31_2005	957.88	938.51	911.51	945.63	947.43	940.41	939.75(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	-50	13	33	0	58%	-0.32	-39.9	4.37%	0	0	50	0
14	Oct_28_2005	960.93	946.75	910.95	929.25	936.14	946.71	950.25(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	96	100	110	52	0	58%	-0.28	-45.8	4.37%	0	0	47	0
15	Oct_27_2005	963.58	952.71	906.57	901.11	909.3	954.45	945(-3.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	424	370	508	171	0	58%	-0.3	-57.7	4.38%	0	-0.1	42	0

16	Oct_26_2005	966.46	958.01	902.78	890.4	884.03	925.58	981.75(7.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	657	310	787	266	0	58%	-0.21	-64.8	4.35%	0	0.3	51	0
17	Oct_25_2005	968.47	959.91	891.21	890.4	873.53	864.15	911.4(6.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	174	-80	230	5	0	54%	-0.26	-68.4	4.26%	0	-0.5	40	0
18	Oct_24_2005	970.99	969.47	893.43	874.23	876.95	842.49	857.85(5.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-559	-270	-625	-359	0	52%	-0.25	-61	4.25%	0	-1.1	32	0
19	Oct_21_2005	973.44	985	905.69	890.82	896.83	882.92	809.55(-9.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-429	-90	-471	-304	0	52%	-0.26	-52.4	4.19%	0	-1.7	25	0
20	Oct_20_2005	975.96	1003.3	928.57	911.19	913.7	911.4	891.45(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-28	-10	-1	-109	0	55%	-0.21	-44.1	4.05%	0	-1.1	34	0

21	Oct_19_2005	978.04	1016.02	936.15	915.39	914.62	910.74	900.9(-1.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-38	-30	-10	-123	0	53%	-0.25	-39	4.06%	0	-1.2	37	0
22	Oct_18_2005	980.54	1025.62	950.11	909.72	907.59	915.99	911.4(-3.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-39	60	-11	-124	0	51%	-0.07	-35.9	4.12%	0	-1.3	42	0
23	Oct_17_2005	981.25	1033.8	967.96	915.6	904.51	918.49	940.8(3.23%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	87	70	136	-61	0	51%	-0.19	-28.9	4.2%	0	-1.1	38	0
24	Oct_14_2005	983.1	1041.65	985.09	924.42	916.98	899.19	911.4(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-122	-160	-109	-159	0	51%	-0.17	-20.1	4.18%	0	-1.5	32	0
25	Oct_13_2005	984.75	1048.31	1002.33	950.04	944.87	890.53	912.45(4.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-685	-420	-774	-418	0	51%		-9.1	4.19%	0	-1.7	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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