Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 25, 2005

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $911.4000 (6.24%) ($862.0500 - $911.4000) on Tue. Oct. 25, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.26% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $911.4000(6.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Weekly Trend   PEIX declines -6.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(16%)    EWY(15%)    IWM(15%)    OIH(15%)    VWO(15%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -2.13% in a week (0% probabilities).
LQD(-8%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-1%)    REMX(3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.13% (StdDev 4.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.4%

Resistance Level   $959.91
5 Day Moving Average   $874.23(4.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $891.21(2.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $959.91(-5.05%)
To recent high   -22.5%
To recent low   12.6%
Market Cap   $50.567b

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 9.37% (three month std-dev: 4.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_25_2005	968.47	959.91	891.21		873.53	864.15	911.4(6.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	174	-80	230	5	0	54%	-0.26	-68.4	4.26%	0	-0.5	40	0
2	Oct_24_2005	970.99	969.47	893.43	874.23	876.95	842.49	857.85(5.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-559	-270	-625	-359	0	52%	-0.25	-61	4.25%	0	-1.1	32	0
3	Oct_21_2005	973.44	985	905.69	890.82	896.83	882.92	809.55(-9.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-429	-90	-471	-304	0	52%	-0.26	-52.4	4.19%	0	-1.7	25	0
4	Oct_20_2005	975.96	1003.3	928.57	911.19	913.7	911.4	891.45(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-28	-10	-1	-109	0	55%	-0.21	-44.1	4.05%	0	-1.1	34	0
5	Oct_19_2005	978.04	1016.02	936.15	915.39	914.62	910.74	900.9(-1.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-38	-30	-10	-123	0	53%	-0.25	-39	4.06%	0	-1.2	37	0

6	Oct_18_2005	980.54	1025.62	950.11	909.72	907.59	915.99	911.4(-3.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-39	60	-11	-124	0	51%	-0.07	-35.9	4.12%	0	-1.3	42	0
7	Oct_17_2005	981.25	1033.8	967.96	915.6	904.51	918.49	940.8(3.23%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	87	70	136	-61	0	51%	-0.19	-28.9	4.2%	0	-1.1	38	0
8	Oct_14_2005	983.1	1041.65	985.09	924.42	916.98	899.19	911.4(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-122	-160	-109	-159	0	51%	-0.17	-20.1	4.18%	0	-1.5	32	0
9	Oct_13_2005	984.75	1048.31	1002.33	950.04	944.87	890.53	912.45(4.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-685	-420	-774	-418	0	51%	-0.14	-9.1	4.19%	0	-1.7	32	0
10	Oct_12_2005	986.15	1054.26	1017.75	960.75	978.47	934.76	872.55(-7.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-842	-260	-958	-495	0	49%	-0.18	3.1	4.16%	0	-2.3	31	0

11	Oct_11_2005	987.9	1059.31	1035.13	995.61	1001.57	999.21	940.8(-4.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-439	0	-488	-292	0	52%	-0.11	22.2	4.07%	0	-1.6	41	0
12	Oct_10_2005	988.96	1059.64	1052.67	1027.32	1027.43	1022.18	984.9(-5.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	41	-40	69	-43	0	53%	-0.07	38.4	4.05%	0	-1	46	0
13	Oct_7_2005	989.63	1058.86	1071.42	1055.04	1046.72	1003.93	1039.5(7.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-447	-310	-514	-247	0	55%	-0.01	54.9	3.99%	0	-0.3	47	0
14	Oct_6_2005	989.72	1055.63	1084.28	1063.86	1066.67	1032.68	966(-7.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-751	-220	-878	-369	0	53%	-0.14	60.2	3.91%	0	-1.1	49	0
15	Oct_5_2005	991.06	1051.89	1103.22	1082.76	1085.17	1089.51	1046.85(-4.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-63	30	-78	-17	0	54%	-0.08	61.3	3.79%	0	-0.1	57	0

16	Oct_4_2005	991.89	1043.35	1108	1079.19	1076.71	1100.66	1099.35(-2.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	332	150	381	183	0	56%	-0.05	55.1	3.79%	0	0.6	68	0
17	Oct_3_2005	992.4	1032.58	1105.09	1081.71	1061.48	1080.84	1123.5(3.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	228	70	252	154	0	56%	0.01	55.1	3.81%	0	0.9	72	0
18	Sep_30_2005	992.29	1019.96	1101.86	1092.21	1075.59	1052.75	1083.6(2.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-52	-190	-86	50	0	56%	-0.02	55.2	3.79%	0	0.6	65	0
19	Sep_29_2005	992.49	1007.35	1097.16	1110.27	1103.09	1042.13	1060.5(3.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-822	-410	-1000	-287	0	58%	0	52.8	3.8%	0	0.5	62	0
20	Sep_28_2005	992.49	998.47	1093.51	1127.49	1134.85	1098.43	1029(-7.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-816	-210	-1005	-248	0	58%	-0.05	55.1	3.83%	0	0.3	69	0

21	Sep_27_2005	992.96	991.77	1086.85	1138.83	1153.16	1164.06	1111.95(-5.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	89	100	49	209	0	61%	0.06	55.9	3.72%	0	1.1	77	0
22	Sep_26_2005	992.32	980.55	1068.8	1129.38	1135.58	1171.28	1176(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	545	240	583	432	0	65%	0.14	54.5	3.65%	0	1.7	81	0
23	Sep_23_2005	990.94	966.19	1045.89	1112.58	1114.05	1142.27	1173.9(2.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	744	180	815	531	0	65%	0.15	55.2	3.66%	0	2	81	0
24	Sep_22_2005	989.41	952.46	1023.95	1083.18	1087.08	1099.88	1146.6(5.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	410	90	421	376	0	65%	0.15	53.1	3.66%	0	2.1	83	0
25	Sep_21_2005	987.88	940.3	995.43	1056.09	1060.89	1085.83	1085.7(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	372	180	382	341	0	58%		51.6	3.6%	0	1.9	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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