Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Sep. 19, 2005

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $1092.0000 (6.34%) ($1018.5000 - $1097.2500) on Mon. Sep. 19, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.93% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $1092.0000(6.34%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX advances 3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX advances 7.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(16%)    IWM(16%)    EWY(15%)    OIH(15%)    VWO(15%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -1.965% in a week (0% probabilities).
LQD(-8%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-1%)    REMX(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.965% (StdDev 3.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 7.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $997.71(9.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $953.29(14.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $923.1(18.3%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   33.7%
Market Cap   $60.587b

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 6.84% (three month std-dev: 3.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20051019

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_19_2005	985.26	923.1	953.29	997.71	994.88	1035.96	1092(6.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	649	280	729	408	0	53%	0.19	27.9	3.93%	0	2.7	69	0
2	Sep_16_2005	983.41	912.71	929.71	969.15	964.36	998.16	1026.9(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	603	230	683	361	0	50%	0.13	15.5	3.85%	0	2.3	63	0
3	Sep_15_2005	982.12	906.73	908.77	956.34	951.56	953.79	1011.15(7.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	372	0	419	229	0	49%	0.11	11.4	3.85%	0	2.5	59	0
4	Sep_14_2005	981.02	901.63	894.34	926.31	938.63	930.56	939.75(2.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-76	-20	-97	-14	0	45%	0.04	-10.4	3.77%	0	1.1	52	0
5	Sep_13_2005	980.67	902.1	888.66	909.51	920.77	949.33	918.75(-3.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	151	250	177	72	0	45%	-0.03	-8.8	3.77%	0	0.5	48	0

6	Sep_12_2005	980.94	905.78	885.59	900.48	903.57	946.71	949.2(-1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	785	340	926	361	0	45%	-0.04	3	3.76%	0	1	57	0
7	Sep_9_2005	981.36	905.07	880.2	883.68	879.61	892.2	962.85(11.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	519	90	618	221	0	45%	0.01	1.3	3.77%	0	1.4	58	0
8	Sep_8_2005	981.27	901.96	874.5	854.91	857.17	860.44	861(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-83	30	-80	-92	0	38%	-0.23	-11.3	3.45%	0	-1	38	0
9	Sep_7_2005	983.54	901.96	880.5	858.06	855.15	867.03	855.75(-2.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	128	90	167	10	0	38%	-0.25	0.7	3.5%	0	-1.3	37	0
10	Sep_6_2005	986.03	905.26	888.17	864.57	857.08	853.9	873.6(0.97%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.2	67	-50	95	-17	0	42%	-0.34	5.2	3.5%	0	-0.8	33	0

11	Sep_2_2005	989.35	904.55	891.08	868.35	863.45	843.28	865.2(5.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-363	-180	-407	-230	0	42%	-0.28	8.3	3.58%	0	-0.9	26	0
12	Sep_1_2005	992.12	904.57	895	876.33	883.08	860.27	819(-6.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-425	-160	-480	-261	0	38%	-0.26	13.7	3.52%	0	-2	32	0
13	Aug_31_2005	994.75	906.45	905.97	896.49	898.96	883.63	876.75(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-408	-110	-466	-234	0	41%	-0.24	24.6	3.48%	0	-0.7	47	0
14	Aug_30_2005	997.19	904.94	910.79	905.94	915.27	905.89	888.3(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-182	-40	-202	-120	0	41%	-0.3	25.4	3.49%	0	-0.4	46	0
15	Aug_29_2005	1000.19	903.19	917.73	915.18	924.13	914.29	892.5(-1.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-141	-50	-163	-76	0	41%	-0.39	28.5	3.52%	0	-0.2	60	0

16	Aug_26_2005	1004.11	901.08	928.42	917.07	925.84	924.66	905.1(-1.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-84	20	-104	-25	0	44%	-0.45	29.6	3.57%	0	0.1	61	0
17	Aug_25_2005	1008.69	898.76	932.46	916.44	922.69	933.98	919.8(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	141	110	157	94	0	44%	-0.41	26	3.57%	0	0.5	62	0
18	Aug_24_2005	1012.87	896.35	931.63	916.86	915.54	927.03	924(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	211	80	235	138	0	44%	-0.23	26.7	3.57%	0	0.6	64	0
19	Aug_23_2005	1015.21	894.14	931.81	916.65	913.63	911.41	934.5(3.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	96	-30	95	98	0	44%	-0.14	31.4	3.57%	0	0.9	66	0
20	Aug_22_2005	1016.68	890.62	923.53	921.69	914.22	904.05	901.95(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-286	-100	-356	-74	0	42%	-0.19	39.8	3.54%	0	0.2	61	0

21	Aug_19_2005	1018.65	887.79	919.27	942.27	935.16	915.85	901.95(-2.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-207	-170	-271	-14	0	42%	-0.15	51.2	3.54%	0	0.3	62	0
22	Aug_18_2005	1020.18	886.95	915.46	950.67	952.28	924.4	921.9(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-381	-200	-479	-85	0	42%	-0.13	52.5	3.57%	0	0.8	62	0
23	Aug_17_2005	1021.47	884.29	907.89	947.73	959.44	954.46	922.95(-3.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-283	0	-362	-45	0	42%	-0.11	44.4	3.59%	0	0.8	58	0
24	Aug_16_2005	1022.58	880.09	899.64	947.94	959.9	980.17	959.7(-4.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	414	190	459	279	0	43%	-0.12	33.3	3.56%	0	1.7	61	0
25	Aug_15_2005	1023.76	872.8	887.94	924.63	933.39	964.42	1004.85(6.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	569	260	649	327	0	46%		4.5	3.55%	0	3.1	71	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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