Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 11, 2005

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $907.2000 (-1.82%) ($892.6100 - $976.5000) on Thu. Aug. 11, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.45% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $907.2000(-1.82%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(16%)    EWY(15%)    IWM(15%)    OIH(15%)    VWO(15%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -1.725% in a week (0% probabilities).
LQD(-8%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-1%)    REMX(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.725% (StdDev 3.45%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $875.91(3.57%)
10 Day Moving Average   $861.04(5.36%)
20 Day Moving Average   $863.72(5.03%)
To recent high   -27%
To recent low   11.1%
Market Cap   $50.334b

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 3.76% (three month std-dev: 3.45%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050911

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_11_2005	1024.6	863.72	861.04	875.91	879.84	902.36	907.2(-1.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	650	190	761	315	0	38%	-0.12	-56.9	3.45%	0	1.3	52	NAN
2	Aug_10_2005	1025.81	864.46	856.78	862.47	862.51	860.87	924(9.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	129	-10	153	56	0	38%	-0.1	-65.2	3.45%	0	1.7	58	NAN
3	Aug_9_2005	1026.87	864.84	851.51	844.83	852.21	857.33	843.15(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-94	70	-105	-60	0	29%	-0.19	-74.8	3.24%	0	-0.5	53	NAN
4	Aug_8_2005	1028.81	870.88	853.78	845.25	852.14	864.15	849.45(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	284	120	337	126	0	29%	-0.19	-66.2	3.24%	0	-0.5	59	NAN
5	Aug_5_2005	1030.72	877.52	853.23	843.99	844.33	847.09	855.75(1.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	105	20	128	36	0	29%	-0.18	-68.7	3.25%	0	-0.4	49	NAN

6	Aug_4_2005	1032.6	882.58	856.02	843.78	842.03	840.13	840(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-71	-20	-76	-54	0	29%	-0.2	-73.4	3.26%	0	-0.8	37	NAN
7	Aug_3_2005	1034.69	888.49	859.23	850.08	847.42	841.58	835.8(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-102	-60	-111	-73	0	29%	-0.21	-70.2	3.3%	0	-0.9	36	NAN
8	Aug_2_2005	1036.88	896.24	860.04	859.32	854.96	843.94	845.25(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-194	-110	-217	-125	0	29%	-0.2	-62.5	3.32%	0	-0.9	35	NAN
9	Aug_1_2005	1039	903.51	857.82	863.52	863.1	853.26	843.15(-1.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-207	-80	-225	-152	0	29%	-0.21	-61.2	3.33%	0	-1	32	NAN
10	Jul_29_2005	1041.21	913.42	860.22	863.31	866.84	865.99	854.7(-1.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-133	10	-131	-137	0	29%	-0.2	-53	3.36%	0	-0.9	31	NAN

11	Jul_28_2005	1043.32	922.71	867.33	863.31	869.44	872.94	871.5(-1.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	34	30	65	-59	0	29%	-0.19	-43.4	3.35%	0	-0.8	38	NAN
12	Jul_27_2005	1045.3	929.52	872.92	869.82	870.89	867.69	882(1.82%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.2	40	-20	73	-61	0	29%	-0.18	-40.2	3.35%	0	-0.7	39	NAN
13	Jul_26_2005	1047.2	933.84	878.6	861.21	866.29	865.95	866.25(2.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-51	10	-28	-120	0	29%	-0.2	-44	3.34%	0	-1	33	NAN
14	Jul_25_2005	1049.33	940.22	888.47	851.34	856.58	874.08	842.1(-5.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	165	160	230	-30	0	29%	-0.23	-52	3.36%	0	-1.5	29	NAN
15	Jul_22_2005	1051.79	948.44	903.07	856.17	842.83	866.64	887.25(1.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	326	150	421	41	0	31%	-0.19	-63.6	3.35%	0	-1	28	NAN

16	Jul_21_2005	1053.78	953.15	910.29	865.2	841.06	839.08	871.5(3.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	63	-100	113	-87	0	26%	-0.21	-73.5	3.38%	0	-1.3	26	NAN
17	Jul_20_2005	1056	958.08	919.26	877.8	860.81	819.01	838.95(2.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-555	-400	-618	-367	0	22%	-0.25	-84.3	3.66%	0	-2	28	NAN
18	Jul_19_2005	1058.68	964.83	935.19	899.43	894.54	843.03	816.9(-5.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-1033	-420	-1186	-572	0	22%	-0.28	-103.7	3.64%	0	-2.8	33	NAN
19	Jul_18_2005	1061.7	976.45	953.85	930.51	936.93	902.61	866.25(-7.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-715	-240	-820	-399	0	21%	-0.23	-130.7	3.63%	0	-2.6	35	NAN
20	Jul_15_2005	1064.18	990.84	972.28	955.71	962	946.05	932.4(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-403	-100	-462	-226	0	24%	-0.16	-102.9	3.64%	0	-1.2	40	NAN

21	Jul_14_2005	1065.86	1001.23	983.51	961.8	975.65	971.25	934.5(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-75	10	-80	-58	0	24%	-0.16	-90.9	3.64%	0	-1.1	46	NAN
22	Jul_13_2005	1067.57	1010.78	991.44	967.05	973.88	977.94	947.1(-2.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-13	50	-11	-18	0	24%	-0.15	-90.4	3.71%	0	-1	51	NAN
23	Jul_12_2005	1069.16	1022.18	994.15	976.71	971.05	980.04	972.3(-2.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	65	50	78	27	0	24%	-0.12	-77.2	3.72%	0	-0.7	54	NAN
24	Jul_11_2005	1070.45	1034.18	996.36	981.12	978.19	969.81	992.25(3.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	-70	23	2	0	21%	-0.1	-62.8	3.78%	0	-0.5	44	NAN
25	Jul_8_2005	1071.5	1045.87	997.21	992.46	987.45	962.06	962.85(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-426	-200	-495	-218	0	21%		-47.1	3.86%	0	-0.9	29	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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