Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jun. 29, 2005

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $1010.1000 (4.57%) ($945.0000 - $1018.5000) on Wed. Jun. 29, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.37% (three month average)
RSI   30
Latest Price   $1010.1000(4.57%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX declines -9.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(16%)    EWY(15%)    IWM(15%)    OIH(15%)    VWO(15%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -2.185% in a week (0% probabilities).
LQD(-8%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    PEJ(-4%)    TIP(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.185% (StdDev 4.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 6.8%

Resistance Level   $1092.74
5 Day Moving Average   $988.89(2.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1018.45(-0.82%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1092.74(-7.56%)
To recent high   -25.7%
To recent low   12.1%
Market Cap   $56.043b

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 8.88% (three month std-dev: 4.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050729

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_29_2005	1077.68	1092.74	1018.45	988.89	1001.44	976.37	1010.1(4.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-226	-140	-229	-217	0	45%	-0.09	-31.2	4.37%	0	-0.9	30	NAN
2	Jun_28_2005	1078.69	1097.61	1029.58	979.02	996.06	999.99	966(-2.54%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-297	80	-307	-266	0	47%	-0.16	-32.4	4.36%	0	-1.4	22	NAN
3	Jun_27_2005	1080.39	1107.28	1050.84	977.76	996.52	1026.51	991.2(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	364	270	470	47	0	47%	-0.13	-29.3	4.43%	0	-1.3	32	NAN
4	Jun_24_2005	1081.77	1114.47	1073.54	987.42	983.78	992.12	1000.65(2.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	47	50	93	-91	0	47%	-0.12	-24.5	4.47%	0	-1.3	36	NAN
5	Jun_23_2005	1083.03	1119	1097.03	1019.34	1010.49	966.53	976.5(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-402	-330	-444	-274	0	47%	-0.16	-14.3	4.49%	0	-1.7	42	NAN

6	Jun_22_2005	1084.73	1123.89	1121.1	1053.99	1059.92	975.45	960.75(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-1068	-540	-1239	-556	0	47%	-0.18	-6	4.52%	0	-2	46	NAN
7	Jun_21_2005	1086.73	1129.41	1148.97	1088.01	1112.88	1054.46	959.7(-7.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-1165	-300	-1362	-572	0	47%	-0.19	1.2	4.56%	0	-2.3	42	NAN
8	Jun_20_2005	1088.81	1135.08	1173.2	1133.16	1167.41	1144.38	1039.5(-10.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-284	-50	-335	-129	0	51%	-0.08	13.5	4.49%	0	-1.5	43	NAN
9	Jun_17_2005	1089.63	1136.59	1187.08	1170.75	1170.56	1171.29	1160.25(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-281	0	-341	-102	0	58%	0.11	25.9	4.31%	0	0.4	56	NAN
10	Jun_16_2005	1088.43	1131.31	1182.3	1187.13	1186.76	1190.44	1149.75(1.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.6	132	20	141	106	0	58%	0.1	28.6	4.34%	0	0.3	60	NAN

11	Jun_15_2005	1087.38	1128.71	1174.87	1199.73	1200.02	1169.83	1130.85(-4.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-165	-180	-212	-24	0	58%	0.07	36.9	4.38%	0	0	61	NAN
12	Jun_14_2005	1086.61	1128.51	1172.77	1219.47	1207.83	1183.09	1185.45(-3.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-515	-170	-630	-169	0	62%	0.16	49.6	4.37%	0	0.8	67	NAN
13	Jun_13_2005	1084.85	1126.25	1169.11	1218.63	1221.08	1230.21	1227.45(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	69	60	52	118	0	62%	0.24	57.7	4.37%	0	1.5	72	NAN
14	Jun_10_2005	1082.25	1119.98	1158.29	1205.2	1210.26	1232.57	1242.15(2.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	365	140	400	258	0	62%	0.27	61.7	4.41%	0	2	73	NAN
15	Jun_9_2005	1079.29	1112.35	1141.15	1176.85	1187.43	1211.96	1212.75(-1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	502	170	566	309	0	62%	0.23	61.8	4.44%	0	1.8	71	NAN

16	Jun_8_2005	1076.78	1104.41	1124.86	1146.19	1145.43	1187.96	1229.55(4.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	418	260	475	247	0	62%	0.27	55.8	4.48%	0	2.5	64	NAN
17	Jun_7_2005	1073.84	1096.1	1105.75	1119.73	1117.81	1162.89	1181.25(1.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	689	280	802	351	0	62%	0.2	63.1	4.49%	0	2.1	55	NAN
18	Jun_6_2005	1071.73	1089.28	1091.75	1113.22	1098.18	1102.9	1160.28(5.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	310	-10	360	159	0	62%	0.17	80	4.53%	0	1.9	49	NAN
19	Jun_3_2005	1069.96	1083.13	1080.27	1105.65	1094.63	1072.72	1100.4(3.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-263	-170	-310	-121	0	58%	0.06	97.5	4.52%	0	0.5	48	NAN
20	Jun_2_2005	1069.34	1079.51	1075.16	1100.19	1107.04	1093.46	1059.45(-3.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-177	-70	-206	-89	0	58%	-0.02	104.9	4.54%	0	-0.5	45	NAN

21	Jun_1_2005	1069.55	1076.9	1078.87	1098.3	1099.88	1116.54	1097.25(-4.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	60	110	72	24	0	58%	0.06	105.5	4.55%	0	0.5	57	NAN
22	May_31_2005	1068.96	1070.51	1081.18	1087.59	1082.88	1120.61	1148.7(2.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	487	230	575	224	0	58%	0.16	90.4	4.55%	0	1.6	61	NAN
23	May_27_2005	1067.22	1060.04	1079.78	1066.8	1059.32	1083.21	1122.45(4.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	441	140	522	199	0	58%	0.11	61.8	4.59%	0	1	62	NAN
24	May_26_2005	1066	1049.84	1078.01	1052.31	1043.77	1045.14	1073.1(2.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	103	-20	125	38	0	55%	0.02	44.7	4.59%	0	0.4	58	NAN
25	May_25_2005	1065.83	1041.85	1080.81	1047.48	1041.15	1035.43	1050(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-110	-60	-127	-57	0	55%		36.2	4.64%	0	0.1	58	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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