Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 12, 2017

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $29.5000 (0.34%) ($29.4300 - $29.5000) on Fri. May. 12, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.3% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $29.5000(0.34%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EMHY(89%)    HYG(71%)    JNK(70%)    CEMB(68%)    LQD(66%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.15% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-26%)    TBT(-19%)    VIXM(-16%)    DIA(-6%)    XHB(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.15% (StdDev 0.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $29.36(0.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.4(0.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.37(0.44%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   3.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.27% (three month std-dev: 0.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170612

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_12_2017	28.94	29.37	29.4	29.36			29.5(0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	2	-10000	5	-8	0.86	53%	0.03	48.1	0.3%	0	1.6	54	0
2	May_11_2017	28.93	29.36	29.4	29.34			29.4(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-1	-10000	2	-11	1.37	51%	0.03	37	0.3%	0	0.5	54	0
3	May_10_2017	28.92	29.36	29.4	29.33			29.36(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-8	-10000	-6	-12	1.16	51%	0.07	40.7	0.31%	0	0.1	54	0
4	May_9_2017	28.9	29.35	29.39	29.36			29.28(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.9	-7	-10000	-9	-2	2.99	51%	0.03	48.4	0.31%	0	-0.8	53	0
5	May_8_2017	28.89	29.35	29.4	29.4			29.28(-0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-0	-10000	-6	17	0.99	51%	0.03	55.9	0.31%	0	-0.6	48	0

6	May_5_2017	28.88	29.34	29.4	29.43			29.38(0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	-10000	-5	42	1.2	53%	0.07	70.6	0.3%	0	0.4	60	0
7	May_4_2017	28.86	29.33	29.4	29.45			29.37(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	14	-10000	-2	61	1.62	53%	0.03	73.7	0.31%	0	0.4	64	0
8	May_3_2017	28.85	29.32	29.41	29.46			29.48(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	-10000	7	71	0.94	56%	0.03	78.9	0.3%	0	1.5	60	0
9	May_2_2017	28.84	29.3	29.39	29.43			29.5(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	-10000	9	62	1.27	56%	0.07	73.7	0.31%	0	1.8	65	0
10	May_1_2017	28.82	29.29	29.37	29.43			29.44(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	-10000	0	58	1.54	56%	0.03	76.5	0.31%	0	1.5	65	0

11	Apr_28_2017	28.81	29.27	29.35	29.39			29.48(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	-10000	6	66	1.23	56%	0.07	65.8	0.31%	0	1.9	67	0
12	Apr_27_2017	28.79	29.25	29.32	29.36			29.38(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10000	2	53	1.19	54%	0.03	67.6	0.31%	0	1.3	61	0
13	Apr_26_2017	28.78	29.23	29.31	29.35			29.33(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	15	-10000	2	53	0.87	54%	0.03	70.6	0.31%	0	1	56	0
14	Apr_25_2017	28.77	29.22	29.3	29.35			29.34(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	14	-10000	0	54	1.47	54%	0.07	70.6	0.31%	0	1.2	63	0
15	Apr_24_2017	28.75	29.21	29.28	29.34			29.42(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	-10000	9	58	1.01	54%	0.03	82.4	0.32%	0	2.1	63	0

16	Apr_21_2017	28.74	29.2	29.25	29.3			29.35(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	-10000	9	52	1.04	54%	0.07	93.5	0.32%	0	1.7	65	0
17	Apr_20_2017	28.72	29.18	29.24	29.3			29.31(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	11	-10000	0	43	1.46	54%	0.03	100	0.32%	0	1.4	63	0
18	Apr_19_2017	28.71	29.17	29.23	29.26			29.27(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	-10000	2	48	1.25	54%	0.07	116.1	0.32%	0	1.1	55	0
19	Apr_18_2017	28.69	29.15	29.21	29.25			29.34(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	19	-10000	9	50	1.27	54%	0.03	138.7	0.32%	0	2.1	64	0
20	Apr_17_2017	28.68	29.13	29.2	29.21			29.24(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	-10000	2	37	0.96	51%	0.03	145.2	0.33%	0	1.2	55	0

21	Apr_13_2017	28.67	29.11	29.18	29.2			29.16(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-10000	-2	28	1.42	51%	0.03	106.7	0.33%	0	0.4	52	0
22	Apr_12_2017	28.66	29.09	29.17	29.21			29.29(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	12	-10000	4	36	1.27	55%	0.07	94.5	0.33%	0	1.3	64	0
23	Apr_11_2017	28.64	29.06	29.16	29.19			29.21(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	4	40	0.75	55%	0.03	78.5	0.33%	0	0.8	61	0
24	Apr_10_2017	28.63	29.03	29.16	29.19			29.17(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	9	-10000	0	36	0.96	55%	0.03	58.3	0.33%	0	0.7	64	0
25	Apr_7_2017	28.62	29	29.14	29.17			29.16(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	16	-10000	4	53	1.08	55%		47.4	0.33%	0	0.7	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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