Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PCY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Dec. 30, 2015

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $27.3400 (0.26%) ($27.2600 - $27.3500) on Wed. Dec. 30, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.37% (three month average)
RSI   31
Latest Price   $27.3400(0.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EMHY(88%)    HYG(69%)    JNK(69%)    CEMB(65%)    LQD(65%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.185% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-26%)    TBT(-20%)    VIXM(-18%)    DIA(-3%)    XHB(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.185% (StdDev 0.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

Resistance Level   $27.42
5 Day Moving Average   $27.32(0.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.27(0.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.42(-0.29%)
To recent high   -3.3%
To recent low   0.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.8% (three month std-dev: 0.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160130

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_30_2015	27.72	27.42	27.27	27.32			27.34(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-3	-10000	6	-28	0.65	52%	0	-70	0.37%	0	-0.4	31	0
2	Dec_29_2015	27.72	27.45	27.26	27.29			27.27(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-11	-10000	4	-57	0.6	52%	-0.04	-67	0.38%	0	-0.7	32	0
3	Dec_28_2015	27.73	27.48	27.26	27.27			27.27(-0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-19	-10000	2	-83	0.64	50%	0	-70.5	0.38%	0	-0.8	30	0
4	Dec_24_2015	27.73	27.51	27.27	27.26			27.36(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-24	-10000	4	-109	0.62	50%	0	-67.6	0.38%	0	-0.5	31	0
5	Dec_23_2015	27.73	27.54	27.29	27.24			27.34(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-27	-10000	4	-120	0.89	50%	-0.04	-68.6	0.39%	0	-0.7	29	0

6	Dec_22_2015	27.74	27.57	27.33	27.22			27.22(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-38	-10000	-2	-146	0.6	44%	0	-65.1	0.38%	0	-1.2	18	0
7	Dec_21_2015	27.74	27.62	27.36	27.23			27.15(-0.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-47	-10000	-8	-162	1	42%	-0.04	-58.9	0.39%	0	-1.5	13	0
8	Dec_18_2015	27.75	27.66	27.42	27.27			27.24(-0.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-41	-10000	-2	-158	0.78	44%	-0.04	-53.7	0.4%	0	-1.4	18	0
9	Dec_17_2015	27.76	27.7	27.46	27.28			27.25(-0.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-55	-10000	-15	-176	0.78	47%	0	-53.3	0.4%	0	-1.6	18	0
10	Dec_16_2015	27.76	27.74	27.51	27.36			27.26(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-52	-10000	-14	-164	0.86	47%	0	-45.5	0.41%	0	-1.7	17	0

11	Dec_15_2015	27.76	27.77	27.58	27.44			27.26(-0.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-47	-10000	-14	-145	0.63	45%	-0.04	-42.2	0.41%	0	-2	17	0
12	Dec_14_2015	27.77	27.8	27.65	27.52			27.35(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-41	-10000	-11	-130	1.03	45%	0	-39.2	0.41%	0	-2	17	0
13	Dec_11_2015	27.77	27.82	27.71	27.58			27.28(-1.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.6	-43	-10000	-16	-123	1.19	45%	0	-41.2	0.41%	0	-2.8	12	0
14	Dec_10_2015	27.77	27.86	27.78	27.67			27.64(-0.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-30	-10000	-4	-106	0.68	50%	0	-42.6	0.38%	0	-1.5	21	0
15	Dec_9_2015	27.77	27.87	27.81	27.69			27.69(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-33	-10000	-9	-105	4.15	50%	0	-54	0.38%	0	-1.3	29	0

16	Dec_8_2015	27.77	27.88	27.84	27.74			27.62(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-30	-10000	-13	-81	1.08	50%	0	-63.8	0.38%	0	-2	43	0
17	Dec_7_2015	27.77	27.89	27.89	27.81			27.68(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-16	-10000	-7	-44	0.82	50%	-0.04	-67.4	0.38%	0	-1.8	49	0
18	Dec_4_2015	27.78	27.9	27.93	27.85			27.72(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-11	-10000	-9	-16	0.53	50%	0	-66.7	0.38%	0	-1.6	51	0
19	Dec_3_2015	27.78	27.92	27.96	27.9			27.74(-0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-6	-10000	-9	4	0.77	50%	0	-46.5	0.38%	0	-1.5	42	0
20	Dec_2_2015	27.78	27.95	27.99	27.95			27.93(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	5	-10000	-4	32	0.74	54%	0.04	-32.6	0.37%	0	-0.2	57	0

21	Dec_1_2015	27.77	27.96	27.98	27.97			27.96(0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	-10000	-4	37	1.3	54%	0	-22	0.37%	0	0	60	0
22	Nov_30_2015	27.77	27.96	27.96	27.99			27.91(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	7	-10000	-6	45	1.22	54%	0	-20	0.37%	0	-0.4	60	0
23	Nov_27_2015	27.77	27.97	27.96	28.02			27.96(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	9	-10000	-4	47	0.23	62%	0	-20	0.37%	0	-0.1	50	0
24	Nov_25_2015	27.77	27.97	27.95	28.02			27.99(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	9	-10000	0	36	0.54	64%	0	-18	0.43%	0	0.1	40	0
25	Nov_24_2015	27.77	27.98	27.93	28.04			28.02(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	-10000	8	22	0.51	59%		-14.8	0.44%	0	0.3	39	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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