Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 11, 2015

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $27.7200 (-0.07%) ($27.7100 - $27.8100) on Fri. Sep. 11, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.43% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $27.7200(-0.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   PCY advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EMHY(88%)    HYG(68%)    JNK(68%)    LQD(65%)    CEMB(64%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.215% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-25%)    TBT(-19%)    VIXM(-18%)    DIA(-3%)    XHB(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.215% (StdDev 0.43%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.71(0.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.67(0.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.47(0.91%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   3.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 1.02% (three month std-dev: 0.43%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151011

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_11_2015	27.92	27.47	27.67	27.71			27.72(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	41	-10000	2	156	0.45	48%	-0.04	14.7	0.43%	0	0.9	70	0
2	Sep_10_2015	27.93	27.46	27.65	27.7			27.74(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	46	-10000	5	169	0.46	46%	-0.07	15.3	0.43%	0	1	65	0
3	Sep_9_2015	27.95	27.45	27.58	27.67			27.71(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	39	-10000	5	142	0.73	46%	0	9.2	0.44%	0	1	58	0
4	Sep_8_2015	27.95	27.44	27.51	27.64			27.69(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	31	-10000	2	117	0.71	46%	-0.07	3.2	0.44%	0	1	55	0
5	Sep_4_2015	27.97	27.43	27.42	27.63			27.69(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	-10000	2	84	0.52	46%	-0.04	-1.1	0.44%	0	1	52	0

6	Sep_3_2015	27.98	27.43	27.37	27.62			27.68(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-10000	7	68	0.83	46%	-0.04	-7.7	0.44%	0	1	53	0
7	Sep_2_2015	27.99	27.43	27.32	27.58			27.57(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	25	-10000	18	45	1.91	46%	-0.07	-16.5	0.44%	0	0.6	47	0
8	Sep_1_2015	28.01	27.42	27.3	27.47			27.58(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	-10000	20	4	1.62	46%	-0.04	-27.4	0.44%	0	0.6	47	0
9	Aug_31_2015	28.02	27.42	27.28	27.35			27.65(0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	14	-10000	29	-33	0.88	46%	-0.04	-34.7	0.44%	0	0.8	50	0
10	Aug_28_2015	28.03	27.43	27.26	27.18			27.63(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.6	-8	-10000	19	-88	1.46	46%	-0.07	-47.1	0.44%	0	0.7	49	0

11	Aug_27_2015	28.05	27.44	27.26	27.07			27.49(1.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-25	-10000	9	-127	1.39	44%	-0.04	-50	0.44%	0	0.2	45	0
12	Aug_26_2015	28.06	27.46	27.24	27.02			26.99(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-59	-10000	-17	-183	0.59	35%	-0.07	-52.8	0.36%	0	-1.6	25	0
13	Aug_25_2015	28.08	27.5	27.3	27.1			26.97(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-58	-10000	-21	-170	4.04	35%	-0.07	-51	0.36%	0	-2	20	0
14	Aug_24_2015	28.1	27.53	27.37	27.2			26.8(-1.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.7	-60	-10000	-28	-156	1.55	32%	-0.04	-51.7	0.36%	0	-3	10	0
15	Aug_21_2015	28.11	27.57	27.45	27.34			27.12(-0.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-43	-10000	-16	-125	0.96	39%	-0.07	-52.3	0.33%	0	-2.5	14	0

16	Aug_20_2015	28.13	27.59	27.5	27.41			27.24(-0.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-42	-10000	-17	-116	0.91	41%	-0.04	-57.4	0.34%	0	-2.3	14	0
17	Aug_19_2015	28.14	27.61	27.53	27.49			27.38(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-35	-10000	-11	-106	1.07	41%	-0.04	-53.2	0.33%	0	-1.8	26	0
18	Aug_18_2015	28.15	27.63	27.57	27.54			27.44(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-25	-10000	-6	-82	0.36	41%	-0.04	-44.2	0.34%	0	-1.6	37	0
19	Aug_17_2015	28.16	27.65	27.61	27.54			27.53(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-15	-10000	0	-58	0.38	41%	-0.04	-42.5	0.33%	0	-1.1	52	0
20	Aug_14_2015	28.17	27.66	27.63	27.57			27.48(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-14	-10000	-4	-43	0.62	41%	-0.04	-47.5	0.33%	0	-1.6	50	0

21	Aug_13_2015	28.18	27.66	27.67	27.59			27.62(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	-10000	2	-16	0.5	43%	-0.04	-50	0.33%	0	-0.5	56	0
22	Aug_12_2015	28.19	27.68	27.69	27.58			27.62(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-10	-10000	-8	-14	0.48	40%	-0.04	-63.9	0.33%	0	-0.6	50	0
23	Aug_11_2015	28.2	27.69	27.69	27.62			27.58(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-8	-10000	-8	-7	0.52	40%	0	-57.5	0.34%	0	-1	40	0
24	Aug_10_2015	28.2	27.7	27.69	27.66			27.57(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-7	-10000	-8	-3	0.61	40%	-0.04	-44.2	0.34%	0	-1.1	41	0
25	Aug_7_2015	28.21	27.71	27.7	27.7			27.58(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-11	-10000	-13	-3	2.71	44%		-32.6	0.35%	0	-1.1	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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