Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 29, 2015

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $28.7400 (0.35%) ($28.6500 - $28.7500) on Thu. Jan. 29, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.63% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $28.7400(0.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EMHY(87%)    JNK(68%)    LQD(64%)    CEMB(60%)    EWG(58%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.315% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-24%)    TBT(-19%)    VIXM(-18%)    DIA(-2%)    XHB(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.315% (StdDev 0.63%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.62(0.42%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.49(0.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.33(1.45%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   6.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.85% (three month std-dev: 0.63%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_29_2015	28.56	28.33	28.49	28.62			28.74(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	25	-10000	11	66	0.49	50%	-0.04	41.2	0.63%	0	1.7	60	0
2	Jan_28_2015	28.57	28.31	28.45	28.52			28.64(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	-10000	7	54	0.94	51%	0	33.3	0.63%	0	1.5	62	0
3	Jan_27_2015	28.57	28.28	28.41	28.46			28.59(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-10000	3	52	0.66	51%	-0.03	28.2	0.63%	0	1.5	68	0
4	Jan_26_2015	28.58	28.27	28.36	28.43			28.45(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	-10000	2	52	0.76	51%	-0.03	32.8	0.63%	0	0.9	65	0
5	Jan_23_2015	28.59	28.25	28.34	28.41			28.66(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	20	-10000	7	60	3.1	53%	-0.03	46.9	0.62%	0	2.3	65	0

6	Jan_22_2015	28.6	28.25	28.31	28.35			28.26(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	11	-10000	-4	54	1	49%	-0.03	75.4	0.59%	0	0.2	53	0
7	Jan_21_2015	28.61	28.25	28.3	28.38			28.34(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	18	-10000	4	60	1.03	49%	-0.03	108.8	0.59%	0	0.7	49	0
8	Jan_20_2015	28.62	28.23	28.26	28.35			28.43(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	-10000	8	45	0.59	49%	-0.03	130.2	0.59%	0	1.3	55	0
9	Jan_16_2015	28.63	28.2	28.21	28.28			28.37(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	6	-10000	2	16	2.26	50%	-0.03	122	0.59%	0	1.2	51	0
10	Jan_15_2015	28.64	28.17	28.18	28.28			28.36(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	2	-10000	0	6	0.81	50%	-0.03	101.9	0.59%	0	1.3	52	0

11	Jan_14_2015	28.65	28.11	28.15	28.26			28.39(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	5	-10000	5	6	0.71	50%	-0.03	50	0.59%	0	1.6	54	0
12	Jan_13_2015	28.66	28.06	28.15	28.22			28.18(0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	5	-10000	7	-0	0.81	48%	-0.03	7.5	0.58%	0	0.4	47	0
13	Jan_12_2015	28.67	28.06	28.14	28.16			28.08(-0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-0	-10000	5	-16	0.88	48%	-0.03	-11.2	0.58%	0	0.1	44	0
14	Jan_9_2015	28.68	28.03	28.14	28.12			28.29(-0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	-10000	6	-12	0.67	50%	-0.03	-22.7	0.58%	0	0.7	61	0
15	Jan_8_2015	28.69	28.03	28.16	28.07			28.36(0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	3	-10000	5	-4	0.73	51%	-0.03	-36.8	0.58%	0	1	70	0

16	Jan_7_2015	28.7	28.02	28.14	28.03			28.18(1.11%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	3	-10000	-4	24	0.93	50%	-0.03	-43.8	0.57%	0	0.5	78	0
17	Jan_6_2015	28.71	28.03	28.15	28.06			27.87(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	10	-10000	-9	65	0.86	46%	-0.03	-43.8	0.56%	0	-0.4	68	0
18	Jan_5_2015	28.72	28.07	28.19	28.13			27.91(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	18	-10000	-10	100	1.69	46%	-0.07	-40.2	0.56%	0	-0.4	55	0
19	Jan_2_2015	28.74	28.11	28.2	28.21			28.05(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	26	-10000	-5	120	0.68	46%	-0.03	-33.8	0.55%	0	-0.1	50	0
20	Dec_31_2014	28.75	28.15	28.17	28.25			28.16(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	29	-10000	-1	120	1.06	46%	-0.03	-28.8	0.55%	0	0	51	0

21	Dec_30_2014	28.76	28.17	28.08	28.26			28.33(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10000	1	76	1.53	48%	0	-29.4	0.55%	0	0.3	46	0
22	Dec_29_2014	28.76	28.19	27.97	28.25			28.21(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	7	-10000	-1	30	1.41	46%	-0.03	-30.6	0.55%	0	0	44	0
23	Dec_26_2014	28.77	28.22	27.92	28.26			28.29(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	-10000	8	2	0.68	45%	0	-27.7	0.55%	0	0.1	41	0
24	Dec_24_2014	28.77	28.25	27.89	28.2			28.26(0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	3	-10000	16	-35	0.32	46%	-0.03	-27.1	0.55%	0	0	39	0
25	Dec_23_2014	28.78	28.28	27.87	28.08			28.23(-0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	2	-10000	30	-81	0.8	46%		-30.4	0.55%	0	-0.1	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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