Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PCY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Nov. 19, 2014

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $28.6600 (0.14%) ($28.5900 - $28.6800) on Wed. Nov. 19, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.3% (three month average)
RSI   22
Latest Price   $28.6600(0.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EMHY(87%)    JNK(68%)    LQD(63%)    EWG(58%)    EEM(57%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.15% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-23%)    VIXM(-18%)    TBT(-18%)    DIA(-1%)    XHB(0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.15% (StdDev 0.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

Resistance Level   $28.84
5 Day Moving Average   $28.64(0.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.71(-0.17%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.84(-0.62%)
To recent high   -2.7%
To recent low   0.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.52% (three month std-dev: 0.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141219

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_19_2014	28.95	28.84	28.71	28.64			28.66(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-33	-10000	-5	-116	0.66	37%	-0.03	-51.9	0.3%	0	-1.2	22	0
2	Nov_18_2014	28.96	28.86	28.73	28.66			28.62(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-37	-10000	-9	-120	0.31	37%	0	-42.3	0.3%	0	-1.6	28	0
3	Nov_17_2014	28.96	28.87	28.76	28.7			28.55(-0.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-37	-10000	-9	-120	0.75	37%	-0.03	-35.4	0.3%	0	-2.3	20	0
4	Nov_14_2014	28.97	28.9	28.8	28.74			28.62(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-34	-10000	-11	-104	0.64	43%	0	-23.8	0.3%	0	-2.3	35	0
5	Nov_13_2014	28.97	28.91	28.85	28.79			28.73(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-20	-10000	-2	-74	0.91	45%	-0.03	-5.7	0.31%	0	-1.8	39	0

6	Nov_12_2014	28.98	28.91	28.88	28.8			28.8(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-17	-10000	-2	-63	0.37	45%	0	0	0.31%	0	-1.2	40	0
7	Nov_11_2014	28.98	28.91	28.9	28.81			28.8(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	-10000	-4	-58	0.31	47%	0	2.9	0.32%	0	-1.2	39	0
8	Nov_10_2014	28.98	28.91	28.93	28.83			28.76(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-19	-10000	-9	-49	0.73	47%	-0.03	17.1	0.32%	0	-1.6	41	0
9	Nov_7_2014	28.99	28.91	28.95	28.87			28.85(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	-10000	-11	-36	0.42	47%	0	34.3	0.32%	0	-0.7	41	0
10	Nov_6_2014	28.99	28.91	28.96	28.92			28.81(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-14	-10000	-11	-21	0.74	47%	0	47.4	0.32%	0	-1	45	0

11	Nov_5_2014	28.99	28.91	28.97	28.97			28.85(-0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-2	-10000	-6	9	1.43	47%	0	73.7	0.32%	0	-0.6	56	0
12	Nov_4_2014	28.99	28.92	28.99	29			28.87(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	1	-10000	-9	30	0.59	50%	0	85.4	0.32%	0	-0.4	58	0
13	Nov_3_2014	28.99	28.91	28.99	29.04			28.99(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	15	-10000	2	54	1.72	53%	0	93.3	0.33%	0	0.6	59	0
14	Oct_31_2014	28.99	28.89	29	29.03			29.06(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	-10000	4	63	0.89	45%	0.03	84.6	0.34%	0	1.1	67	0
15	Oct_30_2014	28.98	28.87	28.98	29.01			29.08(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	-10000	6	68	0.74	45%	0	74.5	0.35%	0	1.3	72	0

16	Oct_29_2014	28.98	28.84	28.96	29.01			29(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	-10000	0	60	1.8	45%	-0.03	63.6	0.35%	0	1	61	0
17	Oct_28_2014	28.99	28.82	28.94	28.98			29.07(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	-10000	6	62	0.74	45%	0	52.5	0.35%	0	1.5	65	0
18	Oct_27_2014	28.99	28.79	28.91	28.95			28.94(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	14	-10000	-2	63	0.68	42%	0	42.4	0.35%	0	0.9	68	0
19	Oct_24_2014	28.99	28.76	28.9	28.95			28.94(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	-10000	0	75	0.67	42%	-0.03	40.7	0.35%	0	1.1	68	0
20	Oct_23_2014	29	28.75	28.87	28.96			28.96(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	26	-10000	6	85	0.6	45%	0	42.9	0.35%	0	1.3	72	0

21	Oct_22_2014	29	28.74	28.86	28.93			28.98(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	-10000	8	92	0.29	45%	0	44.6	0.35%	0	1.5	75	0
22	Oct_21_2014	29	28.73	28.84	28.89			28.93(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	-10000	4	91	0.76	45%	0	48.1	0.35%	0	1.3	69	0
23	Oct_20_2014	29	28.71	28.81	28.87			29(0.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	30	-10000	8	97	0.96	45%	0	46.9	0.36%	0	2.1	77	0
24	Oct_17_2014	29	28.69	28.77	28.83			28.92(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	30	-10000	9	94	0.55	46%	-0.03	42.9	0.36%	0	1.9	74	0
25	Oct_16_2014	29.01	28.68	28.74	28.78			28.8(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-10000	0	72	1.2	44%		28.9	0.36%	0	1.1	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.