Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 18, 2014

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $28.6200 (0.25%) ($28.5600 - $28.6200) on Tue. Nov. 18, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.3% (three month average)
RSI   28
Latest Price   $28.6200(0.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EMHY(87%)    JNK(68%)    LQD(63%)    EWG(58%)    EEM(57%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.15% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-23%)    VIXM(-18%)    TBT(-18%)    DIA(-1%)    XHB(0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.15% (StdDev 0.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Resistance Level   $28.86
5 Day Moving Average   $28.66(-0.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.73(-0.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.86(-0.83%)
To recent high   -2.9%
To recent low   0.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.52% (three month std-dev: 0.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20141218

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_18_2014	28.96	28.86	28.73	28.66			28.62(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-37	-10000	-9	-120	0.31	37%	0	-42.3	0.3%	0	-1.6	28	0
2	Nov_17_2014	28.96	28.87	28.76	28.7			28.55(-0.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-37	-10000	-9	-120	0.75	37%	-0.03	-35.4	0.3%	0	-2.3	20	0
3	Nov_14_2014	28.97	28.9	28.8	28.74			28.62(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-34	-10000	-11	-104	0.64	43%	0	-23.8	0.3%	0	-2.3	35	0
4	Nov_13_2014	28.97	28.91	28.85	28.79			28.73(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-20	-10000	-2	-74	0.91	45%	-0.03	-5.7	0.31%	0	-1.8	39	0
5	Nov_12_2014	28.98	28.91	28.88	28.8			28.8(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-17	-10000	-2	-63	0.37	45%	0	0	0.31%	0	-1.2	40	0

6	Nov_11_2014	28.98	28.91	28.9	28.81			28.8(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	-10000	-4	-58	0.31	47%	0	2.9	0.32%	0	-1.2	39	0
7	Nov_10_2014	28.98	28.91	28.93	28.83			28.76(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-19	-10000	-9	-49	0.73	47%	-0.03	17.1	0.32%	0	-1.6	41	0
8	Nov_7_2014	28.99	28.91	28.95	28.87			28.85(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	-10000	-11	-36	0.42	47%	0	34.3	0.32%	0	-0.7	41	0
9	Nov_6_2014	28.99	28.91	28.96	28.92			28.81(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-14	-10000	-11	-21	0.74	47%	0	47.4	0.32%	0	-1	45	0
10	Nov_5_2014	28.99	28.91	28.97	28.97			28.85(-0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-2	-10000	-6	9	1.43	47%	0	73.7	0.32%	0	-0.6	56	0

11	Nov_4_2014	28.99	28.92	28.99	29			28.87(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	1	-10000	-9	30	0.59	50%	0	85.4	0.32%	0	-0.4	58	0
12	Nov_3_2014	28.99	28.91	28.99	29.04			28.99(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	15	-10000	2	54	1.72	53%	0	93.3	0.33%	0	0.6	59	0
13	Oct_31_2014	28.99	28.89	29	29.03			29.06(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	-10000	4	63	0.89	45%	0.03	84.6	0.34%	0	1.1	67	0
14	Oct_30_2014	28.98	28.87	28.98	29.01			29.08(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	-10000	6	68	0.74	45%	0	74.5	0.35%	0	1.3	72	0
15	Oct_29_2014	28.98	28.84	28.96	29.01			29(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	-10000	0	60	1.8	45%	-0.03	63.6	0.35%	0	1	61	0

16	Oct_28_2014	28.99	28.82	28.94	28.98			29.07(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	-10000	6	62	0.74	45%	0	52.5	0.35%	0	1.5	65	0
17	Oct_27_2014	28.99	28.79	28.91	28.95			28.94(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	14	-10000	-2	63	0.68	42%	0	42.4	0.35%	0	0.9	68	0
18	Oct_24_2014	28.99	28.76	28.9	28.95			28.94(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	-10000	0	75	0.67	42%	-0.03	40.7	0.35%	0	1.1	68	0
19	Oct_23_2014	29	28.75	28.87	28.96			28.96(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	26	-10000	6	85	0.6	45%	0	42.9	0.35%	0	1.3	72	0
20	Oct_22_2014	29	28.74	28.86	28.93			28.98(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	-10000	8	92	0.29	45%	0	44.6	0.35%	0	1.5	75	0

21	Oct_21_2014	29	28.73	28.84	28.89			28.93(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	-10000	4	91	0.76	45%	0	48.1	0.35%	0	1.3	69	0
22	Oct_20_2014	29	28.71	28.81	28.87			29(0.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	30	-10000	8	97	0.96	45%	0	46.9	0.36%	0	2.1	77	0
23	Oct_17_2014	29	28.69	28.77	28.83			28.92(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	30	-10000	9	94	0.55	46%	-0.03	42.9	0.36%	0	1.9	74	0
24	Oct_16_2014	29.01	28.68	28.74	28.83			28.8(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-10000	0	72	1.2	44%	0	28.9	0.36%	0	1.1	55	0
25	Oct_15_2014	29.01	28.67	28.71	28.78			28.78(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	15	-10000	0	58	0.78	41%		5.3	0.36%	0	1	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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