Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PCY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jul. 16, 2014

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $29.0500 (-0.1%) ($29.0100 - $29.1000) on Wed. Jul. 16, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.33% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $29.0500(-0.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EMHY(87%)    JNK(67%)    LQD(63%)    EWG(57%)    VT(57%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.165% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-23%)    VIXM(-18%)    DIA(-1%)    XHB(1%)    IGOV(2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.165% (StdDev 0.33%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

Resistance Level   $29.1
5 Day Moving Average   $29.18(-0.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.14(-0.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.1(-0.17%)
To recent high   -1.1%
To recent low   3.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.41% (three month std-dev: 0.33%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140816

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_16_2014	28.45	29.1	29.14	29.18			29.05(-0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-4	-10000	-8	10	0.46	69%	0.07	53.7	0.33%	0	-0.4	46	0
2	Jul_15_2014	28.43	29.09	29.14	29.22			29.08(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	2	-10000	-6	27	0.57	65%	0.04	37.5	0.33%	0	-0.1	52	0
3	Jul_14_2014	28.42	29.07	29.14	29.25			29.24(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	-10000	8	52	0.36	69%	0.11	25	0.33%	0	1.1	66	0
4	Jul_11_2014	28.39	29.06	29.15	29.21			29.28(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	-10000	13	58	0.29	69%	0.07	5.8	0.33%	0	1.5	70	0
5	Jul_10_2014	28.37	29.05	29.13	29.15			29.24(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	-10000	10	48	0.47	69%	0.07	-10.4	0.33%	0	1.4	70	0

6	Jul_9_2014	28.35	29.04	29.12	29.1			29.28(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	17	-10000	8	45	0.4	69%	0.07	-17.8	0.33%	0	1.8	72	0
7	Jul_8_2014	28.33	29.03	29.1	29.06			29.21(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	13	-10000	2	46	0.82	69%	0.04	-22.2	0.33%	0	1.4	76	0
8	Jul_7_2014	28.32	29.04	29.07	29.05			29.06(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	10	-10000	-4	51	0.47	67%	0.14	-18.8	0.32%	0	0.1	66	0
9	Jul_3_2014	28.28	29.05	29.07	29.07			28.95(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	6	-10000	-11	56	0.6	67%	0.04	-9.1	0.32%	0	-0.6	50	0
10	Jul_2_2014	28.27	29.05	29.06	29.12			29.02(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	15	-10000	-4	72	0.44	67%	0.07	-7.7	0.32%	0	-0.3	51	0

11	Jul_1_2014	28.25	29.05	29.05	29.12			29.05(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	18	-10000	0	73	1.38	67%	0.07	-5.8	0.32%	0	-0.1	47	0
12	Jun_30_2014	28.23	29.05	29.03	29.14			29.16(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	-10000	9	49	0.52	70%	0.07	-1.8	0.32%	0	0.6	42	0
13	Jun_27_2014	28.21	29.06	28.99	29.1			29.18(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	9	-10000	11	4	0.5	72%	0.07	-1.8	0.32%	0	0.8	38	0
14	Jun_26_2014	28.19	29.06	28.97	29.05			29.17(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-1	-10000	11	-37	0.39	73%	0.11	0	0.32%	0	0.6	38	0
15	Jun_25_2014	28.16	29.06	28.95	29			29.14(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-9	-10000	8	-60	0.63	73%	0.07	1.7	0.33%	0	0.4	51	0

16	Jun_24_2014	28.14	29.06	28.94	28.96			29.06(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-9	-10000	13	-75	0.39	75%	0.07	1.7	0.33%	0	-0.1	50	0
17	Jun_23_2014	28.12	29.06	28.96	28.9			28.96(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-18	-10000	6	-88	0.41	74%	0.07	-6.9	0.34%	0	-0.6	45	0
18	Jun_20_2014	28.1	29.06	28.99	28.9			28.94(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-23	-10000	0	-92	0.44	74%	0.11	-8.6	0.34%	0	-0.8	40	0
19	Jun_19_2014	28.07	29.06	29.03	28.87			28.91(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-25	-10000	-4	-88	0.48	74%	0.07	-8.6	0.34%	0	-0.9	36	0
20	Jun_18_2014	28.05	29.06	29.05	28.89			28.92(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-30	-10000	-8	-97	0.5	75%	0.07	-8.6	0.34%	0	-0.9	37	0

21	Jun_17_2014	28.03	29.07	29.07	28.93			28.75(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-39	-10000	-20	-94	0.53	73%	0.07	-1.6	0.34%	0	-1.8	38	0
22	Jun_16_2014	28.01	29.07	29.11	29.03			28.82(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-31	-10000	-22	-58	0.85	73%	0.07	20	0.34%	0	-1.6	47	0
23	Jun_13_2014	27.99	29.07	29.15	29.14			28.97(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-14	-10000	-16	-6	0.23	77%	0.07	40	0.33%	0	-0.7	54	0
24	Jun_12_2014	27.97	29.07	29.18	29.22			29(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	11	-10000	-2	48	0.85	77%	0.04	56.4	0.33%	0	-0.5	56	0
25	Jun_11_2014	27.96	29.08	29.21	29.23			29.09(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	20	-10000	0	78	0.94	77%		69.1	0.33%	0	0.1	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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