Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 25, 2013

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $27.4800 (-0.15%) ($27.4100 - $27.5900) on Wed. Sep. 25, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.73% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $27.4800(-0.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EMHY(86%)    JNK(67%)    LQD(62%)    EWG(57%)    EEM(56%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.365% in a week (0% probabilities).
IGOV(3%)    SHY(6%)    TLT(18%)    GLD(23%)    USO(25%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.365% (StdDev 0.73%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.46(0.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.18(1.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.79(2.58%)
To recent high   -1.8%
To recent low   4.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 1.87% (three month std-dev: 0.73%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131025

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_25_2013	27.78	26.79	27.18	27.46			27.48(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	40	-10000	-2	164	0.92	85%	-0.14	51.9	0.73%	0	1.4	77	0
2	Sep_24_2013	27.82	26.74	27.08	27.48			27.52(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	51	-10000	11	171	2.1	72%	-0.11	58	0.78%	0	1.7	75	0
3	Sep_23_2013	27.85	26.69	26.96	27.36			27.41(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	44	-10000	11	144	0.5	72%	-0.14	55.9	0.84%	0	1.7	72	0
4	Sep_20_2013	27.89	26.64	26.87	27.23			27.41(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	45	-10000	16	130	0.45	56%	-0.14	48	0.87%	0	1.9	72	0
5	Sep_19_2013	27.93	26.59	26.77	27.04			27.46(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	35	-10000	14	98	1.61	53%	-0.14	31.1	0.94%	0	2.4	73	0

6	Sep_18_2013	27.97	26.53	26.64	26.86			27.59(2.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.5	32	-10000	18	74	0.45	51%	-0.11	9.2	0.95%	0	3.7	77	0
7	Sep_17_2013	28	26.47	26.51	26.63			26.92(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	17	-10000	10	38	1.45	43%	-0.14	-41.7	0.91%	0	2.8	58	0
8	Sep_16_2013	28.04	26.47	26.44	26.51			26.75(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	6	-10000	3	13	0.4	43%	-0.14	-106.1	0.91%	0	2.3	52	0
9	Sep_13_2013	28.08	26.45	26.4	26.47			26.46(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	1	-10000	1	2	0.4	47%	-0.18	-124.5	0.9%	0	0.1	46	0
10	Sep_12_2013	28.13	26.48	26.39	26.46			26.56(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	5	-10000	6	2	0.28	49%	-0.14	-100	0.93%	0	0.4	55	0

11	Sep_11_2013	28.17	26.5	26.39	26.39			26.48(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-1	-10000	2	-10	0.53	45%	-0.14	-91.2	0.94%	0	-0.1	53	0
12	Sep_10_2013	28.21	26.54	26.37	26.39			26.32(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-4	-10000	0	-15	0.41	43%	-0.18	-84.9	0.97%	0	-0.8	43	0
13	Sep_9_2013	28.26	26.59	26.4	26.36			26.54(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-1	-10000	3	-13	0.85	43%	-0.14	-69.5	0.98%	0	-0.1	45	0
14	Sep_6_2013	28.3	26.63	26.4	26.32			26.42(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-6	-10000	1	-26	0.39	43%	-0.14	-66.4	0.98%	0	-0.6	32	0
15	Sep_5_2013	28.34	26.67	26.39	26.31			26.2(-0.38%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-12	-10000	-2	-43	0.72	41%	-0.18	-64	0.97%	0	-1.2	17	0

16	Sep_4_2013	28.39	26.72	26.41	26.34			26.3(-0.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-17	-10000	-4	-57	0.55	42%	-0.14	-63.3	0.98%	0	-1.1	16	0
17	Sep_3_2013	28.43	26.78	26.43	26.39			26.34(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-20	-10000	-4	-66	0.54	42%	-0.25	-61.4	0.98%	0	-1.1	16	0
18	Aug_30_2013	28.5	26.83	26.46	26.44			26.34(-0.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-22	-10000	-3	-77	0.75	41%	-0.14	-59.9	0.98%	0	-1.2	13	0
19	Aug_29_2013	28.54	26.88	26.51	26.48			26.35(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-22	-10000	-1	-83	0.39	40%	-0.17	-62.1	0.98%	0	-1.3	17	0
20	Aug_28_2013	28.59	26.93	26.57	26.49			26.35(-0.75%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-23	-10000	-1	-89	0.74	38%	-0.14	-69.8	0.99%	0	-1.5	19	0

21	Aug_27_2013	28.63	26.98	26.65	26.5			26.55(-0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-22	-10000	1	-91	0.5	38%	-0.14	-74.3	0.99%	0	-1.1	25	0
22	Aug_26_2013	28.67	27.03	26.71	26.5			26.61(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-24	-10000	0	-97	0.93	38%	-0.14	-79.7	1%	0	-1.1	24	0
23	Aug_23_2013	28.71	27.08	26.79	26.49			26.54(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-29	-10000	-5	-100	0.51	37%	-0.14	-83.8	1%	0	-1.4	21	0
24	Aug_22_2013	28.75	27.14	26.87	26.55			26.39(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-32	-10000	-10	-96	0.42	37%	-0.14	-82.1	1%	0	-1.8	13	0
25	Aug_21_2013	28.79	27.21	26.97	26.68			26.39(-0.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-29	-10000	-11	-82	0.53	37%		-81.4	1%	0	-2.2	23	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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