Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PCY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Sep. 4, 2013

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $26.3000 (-0.15%) ($26.2200 - $26.3100) on Wed. Sep. 4, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.98% (three month average)
RSI   16
Latest Price   $26.3000(-0.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EMHY(86%)    JNK(67%)    LQD(62%)    EWG(57%)    EEM(55%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.49% in a week (0% probabilities).
IGOV(3%)    SHY(6%)    TLT(18%)    GLD(23%)    USO(25%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.49% (StdDev 0.98%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $23.63(-10.15%)
Resistance Level   $26.72
5 Day Moving Average   $26.34(-0.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.41(-0.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.72(-1.57%)
To recent high   -9.4%
To recent low   1.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 1.5% (three month std-dev: 0.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131004

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_4_2013	28.39	26.72	26.41	26.34			26.3(-0.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-17	-10000	-4	-57	0.55	42%	-0.14	-63.3	0.98%	0	-1.1	16	0
2	Sep_3_2013	28.43	26.78	26.43	26.39			26.34(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-20	-10000	-4	-66	0.54	42%	-0.25	-61.4	0.98%	0	-1.1	16	0
3	Aug_30_2013	28.5	26.83	26.46	26.44			26.34(-0.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-22	-10000	-3	-77	0.75	41%	-0.14	-59.9	0.98%	0	-1.2	13	0
4	Aug_29_2013	28.54	26.88	26.51	26.48			26.35(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-22	-10000	-1	-83	0.39	40%	-0.17	-62.1	0.98%	0	-1.3	17	0
5	Aug_28_2013	28.59	26.93	26.57	26.49			26.35(-0.75%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-23	-10000	-1	-89	0.74	38%	-0.14	-69.8	0.99%	0	-1.5	19	0

6	Aug_27_2013	28.63	26.98	26.65	26.5			26.55(-0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-22	-10000	1	-91	0.5	38%	-0.14	-74.3	0.99%	0	-1.1	25	0
7	Aug_26_2013	28.67	27.03	26.71	26.5			26.61(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-24	-10000	0	-97	0.93	38%	-0.14	-79.7	1%	0	-1.1	24	0
8	Aug_23_2013	28.71	27.08	26.79	26.49			26.54(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-29	-10000	-5	-100	0.51	37%	-0.14	-83.8	1%	0	-1.4	21	0
9	Aug_22_2013	28.75	27.14	26.87	26.55			26.39(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-32	-10000	-10	-96	0.42	37%	-0.14	-82.1	1%	0	-1.8	13	0
10	Aug_21_2013	28.79	27.21	26.97	26.68			26.39(-0.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-29	-10000	-11	-82	0.53	37%	-0.1	-81.4	1%	0	-2.2	23	0

11	Aug_20_2013	28.82	27.28	27.06	26.83			26.5(-0.41%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-24	-10000	-10	-66	0.76	36%	-0.1	-75	1%	0	-2.2	22	0
12	Aug_19_2013	28.85	27.36	27.15	26.97			26.61(-0.89%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-23	-10000	-13	-54	0.6	36%	-0.1	-66.1	1%	0	-2.3	20	0
13	Aug_16_2013	28.88	27.42	27.23	27.14			26.85(-0.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-15	-10000	-7	-39	0.46	36%	-0.1	-50.5	0.99%	0	-1.9	22	0
14	Aug_15_2013	28.91	27.48	27.29	27.24			27.04(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-11	-10000	-4	-30	0.67	36%	-0.1	-33.3	0.99%	0	-1.6	25	0
15	Aug_14_2013	28.94	27.52	27.32	27.3			27.15(-0.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-10	-10000	-2	-33	0.85	36%	-0.07	-21.3	0.99%	0	-1.4	23	0

16	Aug_13_2013	28.96	27.55	27.34	27.33			27.21(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-11	-10000	-2	-38	0.65	35%	-0.1	-5.7	0.99%	0	-1.4	27	0
17	Aug_12_2013	28.99	27.55	27.38	27.36			27.43(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-10	-10000	1	-41	0.64	35%	-0.07	5.7	0.99%	0	-0.6	26	0
18	Aug_9_2013	29.01	27.58	27.4	27.36			27.38(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-13	-10000	0	-50	0.92	34%	-0.1	11.5	0.99%	0	-0.8	24	0
19	Aug_8_2013	29.04	27.57	27.42	27.35			27.33(0.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-13	-10000	1	-56	0.54	34%	-0.07	19.5	0.99%	0	-1	23	0
20	Aug_7_2013	29.06	27.58	27.47	27.34			27.28(-0.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-16	-10000	-1	-62	0.83	34%	-0.1	15.3	0.99%	0	-1.1	23	0

21	Aug_6_2013	29.09	27.57	27.51	27.36			27.38(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-18	-10000	-3	-62	0.77	34%	-0.07	8.2	0.99%	0	-0.7	36	0
22	Aug_5_2013	29.11	27.56	27.57	27.4			27.37(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-10000	-4	-52	0.85	34%	-0.1	3.8	0.99%	0	-0.7	42	0
23	Aug_2_2013	29.14	27.55	27.63	27.45			27.41(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	-10000	-4	-34	0.65	35%	-0.07	5	0.99%	0	-0.4	55	0
24	Aug_1_2013	29.16	27.53	27.68	27.5			27.27(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-10	-10000	-8	-17	2.05	35%	-0.1	3.3	0.99%	0	-0.8	55	0
25	Jul_31_2013	29.19	27.54	27.75	27.61			27.36(-0.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-3	-10000	-6	6	1.58	35%		21.7	1%	0	-0.5	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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