Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PCY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jun. 18, 2013

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $28.1400 (-1.09%) ($28.1100 - $28.4100) on Tue. Jun. 18, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.62% (three month average)
RSI   36
Latest Price   $28.1400(-1.09%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY declines -1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EMHY(85%)    JNK(67%)    LQD(62%)    EEM(56%)    EWG(56%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.31% in a week (0% probabilities).
IGOV(5%)    SHY(7%)    TLT(19%)    USO(24%)    GLD(24%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.31% (StdDev 0.62%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $23.82(-15.35%)
Resistance Level   $28.88
5 Day Moving Average   $28.34(-0.71%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.35(-0.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.88(-2.56%)
To recent high   -9.8%
To recent low   1.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 2.46% (three month std-dev: 0.62%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130718

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_18_2013	30.11	28.88	28.35	28.34			28.14(-1.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-18	-10000	11	-104	1.7	36%	-0.1	-70.3	0.62%	0	-1	36	0
2	Jun_17_2013	30.14	28.98	28.43	28.24			28.45(-0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-32	-10000	5	-144	1.28	38%	-0.1	-74.1	0.61%	0	-0.7	35	0
3	Jun_14_2013	30.17	29.08	28.47	28.2			28.71(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-44	-10000	4	-188	2.44	39%	-0.07	-74.3	0.6%	0	-0.5	33	0
4	Jun_13_2013	30.19	29.16	28.48	28.17			28.46(1.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-64	-10000	-6	-237	1.63	36%	-0.1	-75.8	0.59%	0	-0.8	28	0
5	Jun_12_2013	30.22	29.25	28.55	28.22			27.96(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-88	-10000	-20	-291	2.14	30%	-0.1	-75.2	0.54%	0	-1.5	16	0

6	Jun_11_2013	30.25	29.38	28.67	28.37			27.64(-2.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-109	-10000	-37	-325	3.35	26%	-0.1	-75.2	0.51%	0	-2.1	9	0
7	Jun_10_2013	30.28	29.54	28.86	28.64			28.22(-1.16%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-96	-10000	-19	-328	2.14	29%	-0.1	-75.1	0.45%	0	-1.7	10	0
8	Jun_7_2013	30.31	29.68	29.02	28.76			28.55(-0.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-93	-10000	-13	-332	0.92	29%	-0.07	-75.1	0.44%	0	-1.5	11	0
9	Jun_6_2013	30.33	29.8	29.15	28.84			28.73(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-98	-10000	-14	-349	2.22	31%	-0.1	-73.3	0.43%	0	-1.4	11	0
10	Jun_5_2013	30.36	29.91	29.29	28.93			28.69(-1.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-97	-10000	-16	-341	1.27	31%	-0.07	-72.1	0.43%	0	-1.6	11	0

11	Jun_4_2013	30.38	30.03	29.45	29.03			29.03(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-99	-10000	-15	-350	1.61	35%	-0.07	-72.9	0.41%	0	-1.4	12	0
12	Jun_3_2013	30.4	30.13	29.57	29.12			28.82(-0.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-116	-10000	-33	-366	3.36	32%	-0.1	-69.9	0.4%	0	-1.8	2	0
13	May_31_2013	30.43	30.25	29.73	29.31			28.91(-0.99%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-109	-10000	-35	-332	2.6	32%	-0.07	-66.1	0.41%	0	-2	2	0
14	May_30_2013	30.45	30.37	29.89	29.52			29.2(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-106	-10000	-34	-323	0.86	34%	-0.1	-60.2	0.39%	0	-1.9	2	0
15	May_29_2013	30.48	30.47	30.02	29.72			29.18(-1.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-99	-10000	-35	-292	1.13	34%	-0.07	-54.3	0.4%	0	-2.3	5	0

16	May_28_2013	30.5	30.56	30.16	29.93			29.48(-1.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-87	-10000	-28	-265	1.62	38%	-0.1	-49.7	0.38%	0	-2.3	10	0
17	May_24_2013	30.53	30.64	30.28	30.09			29.8(-0.43%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-83	-10000	-23	-261	0.34	44%	-0.07	-44.8	0.35%	0	-2	11	0
18	May_23_2013	30.55	30.69	30.39	30.21			29.93(-0.89%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-76	-10000	-21	-240	0.77	46%	-0.03	-40.2	0.35%	0	-2.1	11	0
19	May_22_2013	30.56	30.74	30.5	30.32			30.2(-0.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-63	-10000	-8	-227	0.98	50%	-0.03	-34.7	0.33%	0	-1.7	12	0
20	May_21_2013	30.57	30.77	30.58	30.36			30.24(-0.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-64	-10000	-12	-221	0.83	50%	-0.03	-29.7	0.33%	0	-1.9	21	0

21	May_20_2013	30.58	30.8	30.65	30.42			30.28(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-65	-10000	-16	-210	1.55	48%	-0.03	-23.8	0.33%	0	-2	27	0
22	May_17_2013	30.59	30.82	30.73	30.5			30.41(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-58	-10000	-19	-175	1.06	52%	-0.03	-17.9	0.34%	0	-1.7	36	0
23	May_16_2013	30.6	30.84	30.8	30.6			30.45(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-51	-10000	-23	-133	0.73	52%	-0.03	-12	0.34%	0	-1.7	42	0
24	May_15_2013	30.61	30.85	30.88	30.72			30.43(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-36	-10000	-23	-74	0.7	50%	0	0	0.34%	0	-1.9	41	0
25	May_14_2013	30.61	30.86	30.95	30.84			30.55(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-16	-10000	-14	-21	0.9	52%		12.3	0.34%	0	-1.5	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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