Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 21, 2012

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $30.6300 (0.07%) ($30.5500 - $30.6300) on Fri. Sep. 21, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.28% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $30.6300(0.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EMHY(85%)    JNK(66%)    LQD(62%)    EEM(55%)    EWG(55%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.14% in a week (0% probabilities).
IGOV(5%)    SHY(7%)    TLT(19%)    GLD(23%)    USO(24%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.14% (StdDev 0.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.59(0.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.63(0%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.46(0.56%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   7.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.72% (three month std-dev: 0.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121021

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_21_2012	29.25	30.46	30.63	30.59			30.63(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	20	-10000	5	64	0.62	78%	0.07	72.2	0.28%	0	0.8	76	0
2	Sep_20_2012	29.23	30.43	30.62	30.57			30.61(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	19	-10000	-2	81	0.72	78%	0.07	77.8	0.28%	0	0.8	74	0
3	Sep_19_2012	29.21	30.41	30.61	30.58			30.61(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	20	-10000	-7	101	0.54	78%	0.07	75.9	0.29%	0	0.8	76	0
4	Sep_18_2012	29.19	30.37	30.58	30.61			30.58(0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	27	-10000	-7	128	0.71	78%	0.07	73.2	0.29%	0	0.8	74	0
5	Sep_17_2012	29.17	30.33	30.56	30.64			30.5(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	33	-10000	-7	154	0.79	78%	0.07	65.2	0.29%	0	0.6	74	0

6	Sep_14_2012	29.15	30.3	30.54	30.67			30.55(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	45	-10000	-2	186	0.79	78%	0.07	60.4	0.28%	0	0.9	78	0
7	Sep_13_2012	29.13	30.26	30.51	30.68			30.68(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	59	-10000	11	204	1.07	82%	0.1	53.5	0.28%	0	1.4	88	0
8	Sep_12_2012	29.1	30.23	30.45	30.63			30.75(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	66	-10000	19	205	0.8	82%	0.07	44.4	0.27%	0	1.7	96	0
9	Sep_11_2012	29.08	30.19	30.39	30.55			30.72(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	59	-10000	16	189	1.41	82%	0.1	39.3	0.28%	0	2	97	0
10	Sep_10_2012	29.05	30.16	30.33	30.48			30.66(0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	62	-10000	21	186	1.01	82%	0.07	32.5	0.28%	0	2.1	97	0

11	Sep_7_2012	29.03	30.13	30.27	30.39			30.58(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	57	-10000	19	170	0.93	83%	0.1	22.9	0.28%	0	2.1	97	0
12	Sep_6_2012	29	30.1	30.23	30.31			30.42(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	52	-10000	13	167	0.68	84%	0.07	18.3	0.27%	0	1.8	95	0
13	Sep_5_2012	28.98	30.1	30.19	30.26			30.38(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	45	-10000	12	145	0.92	85%	0.07	18.9	0.29%	0	1.8	79	0
14	Sep_4_2012	28.96	30.09	30.14	30.21			30.36(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	39	-10000	12	119	1.77	85%	0.14	20.8	0.29%	0	1.7	59	0
15	Aug_31_2012	28.92	30.09	30.08	30.16			30.19(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10000	2	75	0.67	79%	0.07	26	0.3%	0	0.7	50	0

16	Aug_30_2012	28.9	30.08	30.05	30.15			30.2(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	5	54	0.76	79%	0.07	34	0.3%	0	0.8	55	0
17	Aug_29_2012	28.88	30.07	30.01	30.13			30.15(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-10000	7	27	0.43	79%	0.07	40	0.3%	0	0.5	47	0
18	Aug_28_2012	28.86	30.06	29.98	30.1			30.16(0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	8	-10000	11	0	0.37	79%	0.07	50	0.3%	0	0.7	43	0
19	Aug_27_2012	28.84	30.05	29.98	30.05			30.12(0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	3	-10000	13	-28	0.55	79%	0.07	54	0.31%	0	0.5	39	0
20	Aug_24_2012	28.82	30.04	29.98	29.99			30.1(-0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-6	-10000	13	-63	1.14	79%	0.07	50.9	0.31%	0	0.4	36	0

21	Aug_23_2012	28.8	30.03	29.98	29.93			30.11(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-13	-10000	13	-92	1.31	75%	0.07	38.3	0.31%	0	0.4	46	0
22	Aug_22_2012	28.78	30.01	29.97	29.87			30.02(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-23	-10000	6	-108	1.2	75%	0.07	25.4	0.32%	0	0	51	0
23	Aug_21_2012	28.76	29.99	29.99	29.84			29.9(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-36	-10000	-11	-111	0.64	76%	0.07	15.6	0.32%	0	-0.4	47	0
24	Aug_20_2012	28.74	29.97	30.03	29.89			29.82(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-30	-10000	-13	-80	0.36	76%	0.07	16.3	0.32%	0	-0.6	47	0
25	Aug_17_2012	28.72	29.96	30.08	29.95			29.79(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-18	-10000	-12	-34	0.35	72%		22.5	0.33%	0	-0.7	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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