Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 9, 2012

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $30.1600 (-0.26%) ($30.1400 - $30.2400) on Thu. Aug. 9, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.37% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $30.1600(-0.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EMHY(85%)    JNK(66%)    LQD(62%)    EEM(55%)    EWG(55%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.185% in a week (0% probabilities).
IGOV(5%)    SHY(7%)    TLT(19%)    GLD(23%)    USO(24%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.185% (StdDev 0.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.24(-0.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.1(0.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.88(0.94%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   9.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.94% (three month std-dev: 0.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120909

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_9_2012	28.6	29.88	30.1	30.24			30.16(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	48	-10000	5	176	0.48	64%	0.07	91.5	0.37%	0	1	68	0
2	Aug_8_2012	28.58	29.84	30.06	30.21			30.24(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	47	-10000	7	168	0.47	64%	0.07	92.8	0.37%	0	1.4	70	0
3	Aug_7_2012	28.56	29.8	29.99	30.17			30.3(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	46	-10000	12	149	0.69	64%	0.07	90.1	0.37%	0	1.7	74	0
4	Aug_6_2012	28.54	29.74	29.91	30.1			30.34(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	42	-10000	15	123	0.95	64%	0.07	87.1	0.37%	0	2	76	0
5	Aug_3_2012	28.52	29.68	29.83	30.02			30.18(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	36	-10000	15	97	0.99	64%	0.07	87.8	0.37%	0	1.7	75	0

6	Aug_2_2012	28.5	29.62	29.78	29.94			30.01(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	32	-10000	13	90	1.16	62%	0.07	88.8	0.36%	0	1.3	77	0
7	Aug_1_2012	28.48	29.58	29.75	29.87			30(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	35	-10000	17	87	1.46	62%	0.07	92.6	0.36%	0	1.5	78	0
8	Jul_31_2012	28.46	29.53	29.72	29.78			29.96(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	31	-10000	16	76	4.67	62%	0.04	92.6	0.37%	0	1.5	79	0
9	Jul_30_2012	28.45	29.48	29.7	29.69			29.93(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	29	-10000	13	77	4.2	63%	0.07	87.8	0.37%	0	1.6	82	0
10	Jul_27_2012	28.43	29.43	29.67	29.62			29.81(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	23	-10000	4	81	0.94	62%	0.04	84.3	0.37%	0	1.3	82	0

11	Jul_26_2012	28.42	29.37	29.63	29.6			29.66(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	21	-10000	-4	97	0.87	62%	0.07	75.9	0.36%	0	0.9	80	0
12	Jul_25_2012	28.4	29.32	29.61	29.62			29.52(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	25	-10000	-7	122	0.77	60%	0.04	74.8	0.36%	0	0.6	79	0
13	Jul_24_2012	28.39	29.27	29.59	29.66			29.52(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	33	-10000	-7	152	2.03	60%	0.04	70.7	0.36%	0	0.6	77	0
14	Jul_23_2012	28.38	29.23	29.56	29.7			29.59(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	44	-10000	-2	181	0.49	60%	0.07	71.4	0.36%	0	0.9	84	0
15	Jul_20_2012	28.36	29.18	29.52	29.71			29.72(-0.07%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0	61	-10000	10	215	0.46	63%	0.04	72.2	0.35%	0	1.3	96	0

16	Jul_19_2012	28.35	29.12	29.46	29.66			29.74(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	66	-10000	11	229	0.66	63%	0.07	71.5	0.35%	0	1.5	98	0
17	Jul_18_2012	28.33	29.06	29.39	29.6			29.73(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	70	-10000	15	236	0.68	63%	0.07	73.2	0.35%	0	1.7	97	0
18	Jul_17_2012	28.31	29	29.32	29.52			29.72(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	77	-10000	21	245	0.84	63%	0.07	75.6	0.35%	0	1.9	98	0
19	Jul_16_2012	28.29	28.94	29.24	29.41			29.65(0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	76	-10000	22	237	0.63	63%	0.04	75.8	0.35%	0	2	94	0
20	Jul_13_2012	28.28	28.87	29.16	29.3			29.48(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	66	-10000	15	220	0.59	57%	0.07	78.1	0.35%	0	1.8	94	0

21	Jul_12_2012	28.26	28.82	29.08	29.22			29.41(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	58	-10000	13	194	0.62	59%	0.07	80.6	0.36%	0	1.9	85	0
22	Jul_11_2012	28.24	28.77	29	29.15			29.34(0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	52	-10000	11	173	0.89	59%	0.04	86.1	0.37%	0	2	85	0
23	Jul_10_2012	28.23	28.72	28.92	29.09			29.17(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	46	-10000	8	160	0.72	57%	0.04	96.8	0.36%	0	1.7	81	0
24	Jul_9_2012	28.22	28.67	28.86	29.05			29.12(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	45	-10000	9	154	0.89	57%	0.07	103.2	0.36%	0	1.7	82	0
25	Jul_6_2012	28.2	28.62	28.8	29			29.08(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	50	-10000	17	147	0.89	57%		114.3	0.36%	0	1.8	83	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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