Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 21, 2011

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $27.0000 (-0.81%) ($26.9800 - $27.1200) on Mon. Nov. 21, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.55% (three month average)
RSI   36
Latest Price   $27.0000(-0.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JNK(65%)    LQD(61%)    EEM(53%)    EWG(53%)    SPY(52%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.275% in a week (0% probabilities).
IGOV(6%)    SHY(7%)    TLT(17%)    GLD(22%)    USO(24%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.275% (StdDev 0.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

Resistance Level   $27.47
5 Day Moving Average   $27.22(-0.81%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.45(-1.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.47(-1.71%)
To recent high   -3.6%
To recent low   3.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.87% (three month std-dev: 0.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20111221

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_21_2011	27.28	27.47	27.45	27.22			27(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-38	-10000	-19	-94	0.39	38%	0	17.2	0.55%	0	-2	36	0
2	Nov_18_2011	27.28	27.48	27.53	27.36			27.22(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-23	-10000	-13	-51	0.17	40%	0	35.2	0.55%	0	-1	44	0
3	Nov_17_2011	27.28	27.47	27.58	27.46			27.25(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-14	-10000	-12	-20	0.39	42%	0	46.3	0.55%	0	-0.8	44	0
4	Nov_16_2011	27.28	27.46	27.63	27.55			27.3(-0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-6	-10000	-9	5	0.76	42%	0	52.9	0.55%	0	-0.6	42	0
5	Nov_15_2011	27.28	27.45	27.65	27.62			27.33(-1.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-2	-10000	-12	30	0.79	45%	0.04	58.7	0.55%	0	-0.4	58	0

6	Nov_14_2011	27.27	27.43	27.67	27.71			27.69(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	15	-10000	-3	69	0.99	49%	0	69.2	0.54%	0	0.8	77	0
7	Nov_11_2011	27.27	27.4	27.65	27.73			27.74(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	23	-10000	1	90	0.23	45%	0.04	73.3	0.54%	0	1	81	0
8	Nov_10_2011	27.26	27.35	27.62	27.73			27.68(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	26	-10000	0	105	0.37	48%	0.04	82.9	0.56%	0	1	82	0
9	Nov_9_2011	27.25	27.32	27.6	27.72			27.66(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	34	-10000	4	125	0.21	50%	0	89.3	0.57%	0	1	78	0
10	Nov_8_2011	27.25	27.27	27.56	27.69			27.8(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	40	-10000	9	133	0.34	45%	0.04	90.6	0.57%	0	1.5	86	0

11	Nov_7_2011	27.24	27.21	27.5	27.62			27.78(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	35	-10000	8	117	0.4	45%	0.04	93	0.62%	0	1.6	86	0
12	Nov_4_2011	27.23	27.16	27.43	27.55			27.69(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	32	-10000	6	108	0.29	42%	0.04	89.5	0.63%	0	1.5	86	0
13	Nov_3_2011	27.22	27.09	27.35	27.5			27.65(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	27	-10000	2	102	0.48	42%	0.04	86.9	0.63%	0	1.5	86	0
14	Nov_2_2011	27.21	27.03	27.28	27.48			27.52(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	31	-10000	7	102	0.47	44%	0	82.3	0.63%	0	1.3	77	0
15	Nov_1_2011	27.21	26.96	27.23	27.42			27.46(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	31	-10000	8	98	1.04	46%	0	71.1	0.63%	0	1.2	80	0

16	Oct_31_2011	27.21	26.89	27.18	27.35			27.43(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	-10000	8	97	0.67	46%	0.04	61.8	0.64%	0	1.3	84	0
17	Oct_28_2011	27.2	26.84	27.12	27.28			27.45(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	-10000	13	96	0.38	48%	0	57.5	0.64%	0	1.5	82	0
18	Oct_27_2011	27.2	26.77	27.07	27.17			27.53(1.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	33	-10000	13	94	1.06	48%	0	50.7	0.64%	0	2	89	0
19	Oct_26_2011	27.2	26.71	27	27.06			27.23(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	28	-10000	6	92	0.28	46%	0	41.2	0.63%	0	1.5	85	0
20	Oct_25_2011	27.2	26.67	26.96	27.01			27.12(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	28	-10000	3	102	0.38	46%	0	28.3	0.63%	0	1.4	86	0

21	Oct_24_2011	27.2	26.64	26.91	26.98			27.06(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	31	-10000	3	116	0.35	46%	0	13.8	0.63%	0	1.4	87	0
22	Oct_21_2011	27.2	26.6	26.86	26.95			26.93(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	31	-10000	1	120	0.32	46%	0	-3.5	0.63%	0	1.1	66	0
23	Oct_20_2011	27.2	26.58	26.81	26.94			26.98(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	33	-10000	1	130	1.17	47%	0	-20.2	0.62%	0	1.4	72	0
24	Oct_19_2011	27.2	26.57	26.75	26.93			26.97(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	-10000	3	127	0.26	47%	0	-29.2	0.63%	0	1.3	60	0
25	Oct_18_2011	27.2	26.58	26.68	26.9			26.95(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	-10000	10	119	0.23	47%		-34.1	0.63%	0	1	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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