Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PCY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Feb. 17, 2011

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $26.0800 (0.04%) ($26.0600 - $26.2900) on Thu. Feb. 17, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.37% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $26.0800(0.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   PCY declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JNK(62%)    LQD(60%)    EEM(51%)    EWG(49%)    SPY(49%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.185% in a week (0% probabilities).
IGOV(6%)    SHY(7%)    TLT(16%)    GLD(22%)    USO(24%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.185% (StdDev 0.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Resistance Level   $26.25
5 Day Moving Average   $26.07(0.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.13(-0.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.25(-0.65%)
To recent high   -5.5%
To recent low   0.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.53% (three month std-dev: 0.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110317

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_17_2011	27.2	26.25	26.13				26.08(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-20	-10000	0	-81	0.58	28%	-0.07	-88.7	0.37%	0	-1.2	34	0
2	Feb_16_2011	27.22	26.26	26.15				26.07(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-21	-10000	0	-82	0.32	25%	-0.04	-93	0.38%	0	-1.3	30	0
3	Feb_15_2011	27.23	26.28	26.19	26.07			26.01(-0.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-28	-10000	-11	-80	0.58	24%	-0.07	-98.2	0.41%	0	-1.8	22	0
4	Feb_14_2011	27.25	26.31	26.22	26.13			26.09(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-21	-10000	-5	-68	0.75	24%	-0.07	-100	0.42%	0	-1.6	26	0
5	Feb_11_2011	27.27	26.34	26.24	26.16			26.09(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-22	-10000	-7	-67	0.3	22%	-0.04	-96.2	0.43%	0	-1.8	24	0

6	Feb_10_2011	27.28	26.37	26.26	26.2			26.08(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-22	-10000	-9	-61	0.22	22%	-0.07	-75.4	0.43%	0	-1.8	32	0
7	Feb_9_2011	27.3	26.4	26.29	26.25			26.1(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-22	-10000	-13	-48	0.4	21%	-0.04	-68.9	0.43%	0	-1.9	35	0
8	Feb_8_2011	27.31	26.43	26.32	26.25			26.28(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8	-10000	0	-31	0.37	22%	-0.04	-68.4	0.43%	0	-1	34	0
9	Feb_7_2011	27.32	26.45	26.34	26.32			26.25(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-11	-10000	-2	-38	0.36	22%	-0.07	-70.2	0.43%	0	-1.3	28	0
10	Feb_4_2011	27.34	26.47	26.36	26.32			26.3(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	-10000	0	-42	0.32	22%	-0.04	-65	0.43%	0	-1.1	29	0

11	Feb_3_2011	27.35	26.49	26.36	26.32			26.34(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-15	-10000	0	-59	0.29	25%	-0.04	-68.4	0.44%	0	-1	25	0
12	Feb_2_2011	27.36	26.51	26.37	26.33			26.41(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-21	-10000	-2	-76	0.51	27%	-0.04	-58.3	0.44%	0	-0.6	29	0
13	Feb_1_2011	27.37	26.53	26.38	26.34			26.31(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	-10000	-4	-85	0.29	27%	-0.04	-44.1	0.44%	0	-1.2	25	0
14	Jan_31_2011	27.38	26.56	26.41	26.36			26.29(-0.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-27	-10000	-7	-86	0.36	27%	-0.07	-36.8	0.44%	0	-1.5	23	0
15	Jan_28_2011	27.4	26.58	26.44	26.4			26.3(-0.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-22	-10000	-2	-80	0.46	27%	-0.04	-35	0.44%	0	-1.7	23	0

16	Jan_27_2011	27.41	26.6	26.48	26.41			26.36(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-10000	-2	-70	0.73	26%	-0.04	-32.1	0.45%	0	-1.6	34	0
17	Jan_26_2011	27.42	26.6	26.52	26.42			26.43(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-20	-10000	-2	-73	0.28	26%	-0.04	-35.8	0.45%	0	-1.3	29	0
18	Jan_25_2011	27.43	26.61	26.54	26.43			26.42(-0.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-26	-10000	-7	-81	0.63	29%	-0.04	-30.2	0.45%	0	-1.4	24	0
19	Jan_24_2011	27.44	26.61	26.57	26.47			26.47(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-23	-10000	-5	-77	0.2	29%	-0.07	-20.4	0.45%	0	-1.2	36	0
20	Jan_21_2011	27.46	26.63	26.59	26.5			26.39(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-27	-10000	-12	-71	0.24	29%	-0.04	-10.2	0.45%	0	-1.8	39	0

21	Jan_20_2011	27.47	26.64	26.62	26.57			26.37(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-22	-10000	-12	-51	0.71	29%	-0.04	-2.4	0.45%	0	-2.5	42	0
22	Jan_19_2011	27.48	26.64	26.66	26.64			26.52(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-9	-10000	-5	-19	0.33	29%	-0.07	-2.9	0.45%	0	-1.6	52	0
23	Jan_18_2011	27.5	26.66	26.7	26.67			26.59(-0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-1	-10000	-3	5	0.38	28%	-0.04	-14.7	0.45%	0	-0.8	53	0
24	Jan_14_2011	27.51	26.66	26.72	26.69			26.61(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	2	-10000	-3	16	0.34	28%	-0.04	-31.6	0.45%	0	-0.4	49	0
25	Jan_13_2011	27.52	26.65	26.73	26.71			26.74(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	-10000	3	27	0.47	31%		-52.6	0.45%	0	0.9	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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