Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PCY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jul. 26, 2010

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $26.8500 (0.45%) ($26.7600 - $26.8700) on Mon. Jul. 26, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.66% (three month average)
RSI   88
Latest Price   $26.8500(0.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JNK(61%)    LQD(59%)    EEM(51%)    SPY(49%)    VWO(49%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.33% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(7%)    IGOV(7%)    TLT(15%)    GLD(22%)    USO(24%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.33% (StdDev 0.66%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.7(0.56%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.55(1.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.37(1.82%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   6.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.91% (three month std-dev: 0.66%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100826

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_26_2010	26.09	26.37	26.55	26.7			26.85(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	28	-10000	9	85	0.25	36%	0.04	74.7	0.66%	0	2	88	0
2	Jul_23_2010	26.08	26.32	26.49	26.62			26.73(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	-10000	9	76	0.29	36%	0.04	71.4	0.66%	0	1.9	87	0
3	Jul_22_2010	26.07	26.28	26.45	26.54			26.74(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	25	-10000	9	71	0.5	36%	0.04	68.8	0.66%	0	2.2	87	0
4	Jul_21_2010	26.06	26.25	26.4	26.46			26.64(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	20	-10000	6	61	0.33	36%	0.04	70.8	0.66%	0	2.1	83	0
5	Jul_20_2010	26.05	26.21	26.36	26.41			26.53(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	15	-10000	2	55	0.28	36%	0.04	76.9	0.66%	0	1.9	82	0

6	Jul_19_2010	26.04	26.19	26.32	26.39			26.44(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	18	-10000	5	55	0.45	36%	0.04	94.7	0.66%	0	1.7	78	0
7	Jul_16_2010	26.03	26.16	26.28	26.35			26.37(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	14	-10000	1	52	0.17	36%	0.04	94.7	0.66%	0	1.4	81	0
8	Jul_15_2010	26.02	26.14	26.26	26.34			26.32(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	14	-10000	1	54	0.22	36%	0.04	100	0.66%	0	1.2	74	0
9	Jul_14_2010	26.01	26.11	26.24	26.33			26.4(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	17	-10000	3	57	0.52	38%	0.04	101.6	0.66%	0	1.8	72	0
10	Jul_13_2010	26	26.08	26.2	26.3			26.4(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	19	-10000	7	56	0.23	38%	0.04	103.3	0.66%	0	2	76	0

11	Jul_12_2010	25.99	26.05	26.17	26.24			26.28(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	-10000	5	45	0.24	38%	0.04	98.4	0.66%	0	1.4	62	0
12	Jul_9_2010	25.98	26.02	26.13	26.2			26.3(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	-10000	5	37	0.26	38%	0.04	93.4	0.66%	0	1.8	69	0
13	Jul_8_2010	25.97	25.99	26.1	26.16			26.29(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	12	-10000	5	34	0.33	38%	0.04	82.3	0.66%	0	1.9	72	0
14	Jul_7_2010	25.96	25.95	26.08	26.12			26.22(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	11	-10000	3	35	0.67	40%	0.08	62.3	0.66%	0	1.5	72	0
15	Jul_6_2010	25.94	25.92	26.08	26.09			26.12(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	-10000	1	35	0.5	40%	0	49.3	0.66%	0	1.1	71	0

16	Jul_2_2010	25.94	25.89	26.05	26.08			26.08(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	15	-10000	4	47	0.36	40%	0.04	46.6	0.65%	0	1	71	0
17	Jul_1_2010	25.93	25.88	26.03	26.05			26.09(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	-10000	2	46	0.51	40%	0.04	49.3	0.66%	0	1.1	69	0
18	Jun_30_2010	25.92	25.86	26.01	26.03			26.11(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	-10000	1	49	0.28	40%	0.04	58.6	0.65%	0	1.4	73	0
19	Jun_29_2010	25.91	25.84	25.98	26.02			26.06(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10000	1	58	0.35	40%	0.04	66.7	0.65%	0	1.3	77	0
20	Jun_28_2010	25.9	25.83	25.95	26.02			26.07(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	16	-10000	0	64	0.14	40%	0.08	68.2	0.65%	0	1.4	78	0

21	Jun_25_2010	25.88	25.8	25.92	26.02			25.94(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	18	-10000	0	70	0.16	40%	0	77.4	0.65%	0	0.9	67	0
22	Jun_24_2010	25.88	25.78	25.9	26.01			25.99(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	-10000	4	74	0.21	40%	0.04	78.8	0.65%	0	1.2	58	0
23	Jun_23_2010	25.87	25.75	25.87	25.98			26.06(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	-10000	6	67	0.19	40%	0.04	64.3	0.65%	0	1.7	59	0
24	Jun_22_2010	25.86	25.73	25.82	25.93			25.97(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	-10000	5	50	0.15	40%	0.04	53	0.65%	0	1.4	59	0
25	Jun_21_2010	25.85	25.71	25.77	25.89			26.07(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	15	-10000	8	35	0.3	40%		46.8	0.65%	0	2.3	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.