Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PCY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Nov. 25, 2009

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $25.9000 (0%) ($25.8000 - $25.9300) on Wed. Nov. 25, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.53% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $25.9000(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JNK(60%)    LQD(58%)    EEM(50%)    SPY(49%)    EWG(48%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.265% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(5%)    IGOV(8%)    TLT(14%)    GLD(21%)    USO(24%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.265% (StdDev 0.53%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.83(0.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.86(0.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.84(0.23%)
To recent high   -3%
To recent low   3.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.54% (three month std-dev: 0.53%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20091225

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_25_2009	25.41	25.84	25.86	25.83			25.9(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-1	-10000	3	-11	0.26	56%	0.08	-31.5	0.53%	0	0.4	56	0
2	Nov_24_2009	25.39	25.84	25.87	25.81			25.9(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	-10000	1	-5	0.24	56%	0.12	-60.3	0.54%	0	0.5	58	0
3	Nov_23_2009	25.36	25.82	25.87	25.81			25.81(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	3	-10000	0	10	0.19	56%	0	-79.3	0.54%	0	-0.1	67	0
4	Nov_20_2009	25.36	25.83	25.87	25.8			25.78(0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	-10000	-4	15	0.18	56%	0.08	-75.7	0.54%	0	-0.3	57	0
5	Nov_19_2009	25.34	25.86	25.87	25.83			25.74(-0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-3	-10000	-9	14	0.87	56%	0.08	-65.4	0.54%	0	-0.6	45	0

6	Nov_18_2009	25.32	25.88	25.87	25.89			25.81(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-10000	-7	25	0.2	56%	0.08	-57.3	0.54%	0	-0.3	45	0
7	Nov_17_2009	25.3	25.91	25.88	25.94			25.85(0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	-10000	-4	51	0.6	56%	0.12	-51	0.54%	0	-0.2	62	0
8	Nov_16_2009	25.27	25.94	25.85	25.97			25.84(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	13	-10000	3	43	0.25	56%	0.08	-46.3	0.54%	0	-0.4	47	0
9	Nov_13_2009	25.25	25.97	25.84	25.95			25.91(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	10	-10000	4	26	0.22	53%	0.12	-44.8	0.55%	0	-0.2	47	0
10	Nov_12_2009	25.22	25.99	25.83	25.92			26.05(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	5	-10000	5	4	0.51	57%	0.08	-45.5	0.59%	0	0.2	43	0

11	Nov_11_2009	25.2	26.02	25.82	25.88			26.06(0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	-10000	8	-18	0.21	54%	0.16	-43	0.61%	0	0.1	43	0
12	Nov_10_2009	25.16	26.04	25.82	25.82			25.97(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-7	-10000	11	-61	0.28	54%	0.08	-41.5	0.62%	0	-0.2	39	0
13	Nov_9_2009	25.14	26.07	25.76	25.73			25.78(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-23	-10000	4	-102	0.21	52%	0.12	-45.1	0.62%	0	-0.8	33	0
14	Nov_6_2009	25.11	26.11	25.78	25.7			25.76(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-35	-10000	-4	-126	0.2	52%	0.08	-45.1	0.62%	0	-0.9	34	0
15	Nov_5_2009	25.09	26.14	25.83	25.73			25.81(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-35	-10000	-4	-127	0.14	52%	0.08	-41.3	0.62%	0	-0.9	36	0

16	Nov_4_2009	25.07	26.17	25.88	25.76			25.77(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-27	-10000	7	-128	0.21	54%	0.08	-37.7	0.62%	0	-1.1	33	0
17	Nov_3_2009	25.05	26.2	25.94	25.7			25.51(-0.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-48	-10000	-11	-158	0.4	52%	0.08	-42.3	0.62%	0	-2	23	0
18	Nov_2_2009	25.03	26.24	26.04	25.79			25.66(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-43	-10000	-9	-145	0.64	52%	0.08	-37.7	0.62%	0	-1.9	30	0
19	Oct_30_2009	25.01	26.27	26.12	25.86			25.9(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-42	-10000	-10	-136	0.16	55%	0.08	-30.8	0.6%	0	-1.3	38	0
20	Oct_29_2009	24.99	26.29	26.17	25.94			25.94(1.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-38	-10000	-10	-120	0.25	55%	0.12	-24.2	0.61%	0	-1.3	39	0

21	Oct_28_2009	24.96	26.3	26.23	26.02			25.48(-1.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-47	-10000	-25	-112	0.47	49%	0.08	-17.9	0.57%	0	-3.3	28	0
22	Oct_27_2009	24.94	26.34	26.36	26.21			25.96(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-27	-10000	-16	-61	0.23	59%	0.08	2.9	0.52%	0	-2.1	37	0
23	Oct_26_2009	24.92	26.34	26.42	26.32			26.04(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-15	-10000	-12	-23	0.32	59%	0.08	18.8	0.52%	0	-1.9	43	0
24	Oct_23_2009	24.9	26.36	26.47	26.4			26.3(-0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-1	-10000	-4	9	0.22	64%	0.12	29.5	0.51%	0	-0.4	56	0
25	Oct_22_2009	24.87	26.35	26.48	26.43			26.33(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	2	-10000	-6	27	0.23	64%		32.3	0.51%	0	-0.1	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.