Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PCY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Sep. 29, 2009

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $26.1500 (0.15%) ($26.0500 - $26.1700) on Tue. Sep. 29, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.5% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $26.1500(0.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   PCY advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JNK(59%)    LQD(58%)    EEM(50%)    SPY(49%)    EWG(48%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.25% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(5%)    IGOV(7%)    TLT(14%)    GLD(21%)    USO(24%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.25% (StdDev 0.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.16(-0.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.18(-0.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.94(0.81%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   11%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 1.23% (three month std-dev: 0.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20091029

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_29_2009	24.37	25.94	26.18	26.16			26.15(0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	15	-10000	-2	65	0.14	66%	0.12	71.5	0.5%	0	0.7	67	0
2	Sep_28_2009	24.34	25.9	26.17	26.17			26.11(0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	16	-10000	-6	82	0.12	66%	0.12	74.8	0.51%	0	0.6	68	0
3	Sep_25_2009	24.31	25.86	26.16	26.17			26.09(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	30	-10000	0	120	0.15	66%	0.08	79.3	0.51%	0	0.7	71	0
4	Sep_24_2009	24.29	25.82	26.14	26.21			26.21(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	32	-10000	-4	140	0.15	69%	0.12	77.6	0.5%	0	1.1	76	0
5	Sep_23_2009	24.26	25.77	26.09	26.24			26.22(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	44	-10000	4	162	0.21	61%	0.12	82.3	0.52%	0	1.2	77	0

6	Sep_22_2009	24.23	25.71	26.04	26.21			26.2(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	44	-10000	5	160	0.17	61%	0.17	81.6	0.56%	0	1.3	77	0
7	Sep_21_2009	24.19	25.65	25.98	26.17			26.33(0.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	48	-10000	10	163	0.25	61%	0.12	81.6	0.56%	0	1.7	83	0
8	Sep_18_2009	24.16	25.59	25.89	26.1			26.08(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	43	-10000	7	151	0.16	58%	0.17	81.1	0.57%	0	1.3	81	0
9	Sep_17_2009	24.12	25.53	25.83	26.05			26.37(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	54	-10000	18	163	0.16	64%	0.12	83.9	0.55%	0	2.2	0	0
10	Sep_16_2009	24.09	25.46	25.73	25.92			26.09(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	44	-10000	11	142	0.19	53%	0.17	83.6	0.54%	0	1.9	0	0

11	Sep_15_2009	24.05	25.4	25.66	25.84			25.99(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	41	-10000	11	131	0.18	53%	0.17	80.6	0.58%	0	1.7	0	0
12	Sep_14_2009	24.01	25.34	25.6	25.76			25.96(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	41	-10000	13	126	0.15	53%	0.13	81	0.59%	0	1.9	93	0
13	Sep_11_2009	23.98	25.28	25.53	25.66			25.86(0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	35	-10000	10	110	0.16	59%	0.17	76.5	0.62%	0	1.9	93	0
14	Sep_10_2009	23.94	25.22	25.47	25.58			25.71(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	31	-10000	8	101	0.18	59%	0.13	61.8	0.62%	0	1.6	89	0
15	Sep_9_2009	23.91	25.18	25.42	25.52			25.68(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	31	-10000	8	98	0.15	59%	0.17	63.5	0.63%	0	1.7	90	0

16	Sep_8_2009	23.87	25.12	25.35	25.46			25.6(0.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	27	-10000	5	94	0.16	59%	0.21	57.4	0.63%	0	1.7	91	0
17	Sep_4_2009	23.82	25.08	25.3	25.42			25.45(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	25	-10000	4	89	0.11	63%	0.13	66.3	0.66%	0	1.4	80	0
18	Sep_3_2009	23.79	25.06	25.26	25.39			25.44(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	27	-10000	6	91	0.17	57%	0.13	76	0.66%	0	1.5	82	0
19	Sep_2_2009	23.76	25.03	25.21	25.34			25.41(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	28	-10000	5	96	0.2	60%	0.13	87.5	0.69%	0	1.6	86	0
20	Sep_1_2009	23.73	24.99	25.17	25.3			25.4(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	-10000	8	89	0.23	60%	0.17	101.1	0.71%	0	1.8	62	0

21	Aug_31_2009	23.69	24.96	25.11	25.23			25.39(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	-10000	7	82	0.17	60%	0.04	105.4	0.71%	0	1.9	70	0
22	Aug_28_2009	23.68	24.91	25.06	25.17			25.29(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	-10000	7	74	0.1	60%	0.17	100	0.71%	0	1.6	59	0
23	Aug_27_2009	23.64	24.87	25.01	25.11			25.23(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	-10000	5	61	0.12	60%	0.17	91.4	0.71%	0	1.4	57	0
24	Aug_26_2009	23.6	24.82	24.95	25.07			25.21(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	-10000	7	44	0.11	60%	0.13	85.8	0.72%	0	1.4	56	0
25	Aug_25_2009	23.57	24.76	24.92	25.01			25.02(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	14	-10000	5	39	0.12	59%		79.3	0.71%	0	0.9	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.